Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$97

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

Trades

800

lifetime

Volume

$158.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$198

Open exposure

$669

6 positions

First seen

2026-08-10

last 11-06 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

62% 55% -$16,192

Politics

38% 62% -$1,539

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+3,069	$271	9¢	$272	+$1	11-06 14:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	Yes	+300	-$12	46¢	$138	+$150	11-06 16:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Yes	+1,006	$171	12¢	$126	-$45	11-04 16:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+800	$120	15¢	$116	-$4	11-06 10:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+76	-$21	23¢	$17	+$38	11-06 15:00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+0	$43	4¢	$0	-$43	10-20 15:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	44	$19.9K	80,882	80,882	+0	open	—	09-09 19:50
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	38	$16.6K	21,421	16,823	+4,598	Yes	-$9,089	09-16 13:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	6	$12.2K	6,680	6,680	+0	No	+$298	08-16 14:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	11	$10.5K	13,148	13,148	+0	Yes	-$4,840	09-16 13:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	32	$10.1K	13,082	13,072	+10	No	-$181	10-28 19:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	42	$8.0K	35,036	33,036	+2,000	No	-$65	10-11 14:15
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	121	$5.9K	76,152	76,152	+0	No	-$1,050	10-20 14:55
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	22	$5.3K	11,606	11,606	+0	open	—	08-18 15:49
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	45	$5.0K	10,083	10,083	+0	open	—	10-13 17:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	10	$4.7K	11,450	11,450	+0	open	—	11-02 19:32
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	8	$4.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$200	08-16 14:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	16	$4.3K	4,335	3,400	+935	No	+$74	09-29 07:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	2	$4.1K	2,300	2,300	+0	Yes	+$69	09-27 21:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	4	$3.8K	2,459	1,459	+1,000	No	+$13	09-18 12:31
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	11	$3.5K	2,862	2,100	+762	Yes	+$72	10-20 16:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	3	$3.0K	1,669	1,669	+0	No	+$20	08-14 22:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	22	$2.9K	2,392	2,392	+0	Yes	-$952	10-19 16:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	5	$2.6K	1,894	894	+1,000	Yes	+$73	10-17 01:00
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	10	$2.5K	1,603	1,603	+0	open	—	09-29 07:43
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	5	$2.4K	1,253	1,253	+0	Yes	+$12	09-20 23:43
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	30	$2.3K	11,604	10,102	+1,502	No	-$418	08-26 10:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$2.2K	1,950	1,000	+950	Yes	-$230	10-24 08:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	16	$1.9K	4,034	0	+4,034	No	-$1,887	09-09 19:50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	13	$1.9K	2,132	2,132	+0	No	+$43	11-02 14:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	6	$1.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$1	10-04 07:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	2	$1.7K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$77	08-14 22:02
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	4	$1.4K	3,387	3,387	+0	open	—	10-04 13:22
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	24	$914	1,905	771	+1,133	Yes	+$541	09-22 19:27
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	17	$748	4,389	4,389	+0	open	—	10-20 15:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	9	$699	1,076	1,000	+76	open	—	11-06 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 16:17:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	Yes	SELL	300	44¢	$132	0x868675…
11-06 15:16:18	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	SELL	300	16¢	$48	0x158588…
11-06 15:00:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	76	25¢	$19	0x312d85…
11-06 14:41:28	Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,286	9¢	$206	0xa24294…
11-06 12:57:34	Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	783	8¢	$65	0x1c1bb9…
11-06 10:58:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	15¢	$45	0x420c63…
11-06 10:56:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0x3bf20d…
11-06 07:00:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	SELL	169	20¢	$34	0xea7ba1…
11-06 03:35:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	Yes	SELL	193	50¢	$96	0x753a84…
11-05 21:33:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	Yes	SELL	207	45¢	$93	0xec5254…
11-05 21:14:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	500	32¢	$160	0x87bbed…
11-05 21:11:27	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	480	40¢	$192	0x484378…
11-05 21:04:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	Yes	SELL	500	8¢	$40	0x8087b0…
11-05 21:03:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xc6ae26…
11-05 21:03:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	SELL	131	17¢	$22	0x756c89…
11-04 22:15:43	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	195	19¢	$37	0xbc8736…
11-04 21:39:30	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xced38e…
11-04 21:38:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	500	11¢	$55	0xfaa58c…
11-04 18:19:12	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	480	39¢	$187	0x30beef…
11-04 17:37:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	Yes	BUY	1,000	31¢	$310	0xe7e241…
11-04 16:45:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	BUY	265	16¢	$42	0x2ecdc3…
11-04 16:43:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xfaca78…
11-04 16:41:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x00b2eb…
11-04 16:41:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Yes	BUY	175	12¢	$21	0x4023da…
11-04 16:40:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x27a143…
11-04 16:40:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Yes	BUY	165	12¢	$20	0xcafb3c…
11-04 13:45:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Yes	BUY	232	19¢	$44	0xa53263…
11-04 13:38:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Yes	BUY	29	19¢	$6	0x5cb877…
11-04 13:05:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x579090…
11-04 13:02:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xf7a45b…
11-04 02:20:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x6e0d1c…
11-03 14:00:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Yes	BUY	188	19¢	$36	0x5307d4…
11-03 13:50:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xd1a237…
11-03 13:45:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?	Yes	BUY	166	21¢	$35	0x70d6c5…
11-03 01:16:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	60	40¢	$24	0xb466e2…
11-03 01:15:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	11	40¢	$5	0x9d1b38…
11-03 01:06:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x1c69d4…
11-03 01:06:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	68	40¢	$27	0x48b390…
11-03 01:06:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	224	40¢	$89	0xc2cfc1…
11-03 01:06:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	127	40¢	$51	0x4cbb6d…
11-02 20:05:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	1,000	32¢	$320	0x54fdb5…
11-02 19:32:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	12¢	$240	0x7b8d23…
11-02 18:01:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	Yes	BUY	318	12¢	$38	0xa5abde…
11-02 18:00:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	Yes	BUY	182	12¢	$22	0x402de7…
11-02 14:26:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?	No	BUY	187	15¢	$28	0x53fc49…
11-02 14:26:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?	No	BUY	256	15¢	$38	0x157184…
11-02 14:25:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x13d678…
11-02 14:23:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?	No	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0xa97b3d…
11-02 14:12:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,192	3¢	$31	0x43ccf2…
11-02 13:20:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	12¢	$240	0x1dd5df…
11-02 12:46:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	719	2¢	$14	0xf126b5…
11-02 12:42:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	281	2¢	$5	0x3e5ad9…
11-02 12:33:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	2¢	$1	0x625002…
11-02 11:12:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	12¢	$240	0xda0908…
11-02 11:07:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$3	0x0b2f1a…
11-02 10:38:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	Yes	SELL	700	10¢	$70	0xa5f72f…
11-02 10:00:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	Yes	SELL	800	9¢	$72	0x8ec075…
11-02 09:44:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	940	97¢	$916	0x1cbbab…
10-30 15:47:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	140	92¢	$129	0xa243a5…
10-29 19:48:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x9c1aee…
10-29 19:24:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	28	25¢	$7	0x201af7…
10-29 15:40:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x1b09f0…
10-29 15:40:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3ffbcc…
10-29 15:40:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xe5a28c…
10-29 15:40:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x3e6ab8…
10-29 15:40:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x0ccb46…
10-29 15:36:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xc1f9bb…
10-29 14:43:23	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0x3bb902…
10-29 13:41:59	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xb8ffa7…
10-29 11:47:17	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x4883f8…
10-29 08:13:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x5a8240…
10-29 08:13:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	281	94¢	$264	0x3a5125…
10-28 19:34:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4942a6…
10-24 08:25:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	800	94¢	$752	0x16c411…
10-23 20:03:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0x13bf89…
10-23 20:02:47	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	150	14¢	$21	0xed6a4c…
10-23 20:02:23	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	SELL	375	20¢	$75	0xab8e27…
10-23 20:02:14	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0x13621d…
10-23 20:02:02	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	SELL	170	21¢	$36	0x52fe58…
10-23 16:56:27	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0xd353bd…
10-22 13:22:38	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xb59bd2…
10-22 13:19:24	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xf6b7df…
10-20 16:27:14	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x92113e…
10-20 15:07:41	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	956	9¢	$86	0xe71024…
10-20 14:55:21	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	265	2¢	$5	0xbf4611…
10-20 14:48:33	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x3ce5aa…
10-20 14:48:33	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	9¢	$3	0x26135c…
10-20 12:12:42	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	2¢	$4	0xc5fef7…
10-20 11:59:33	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$8	0x0eb0d4…
10-19 19:39:30	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	180	90¢	$163	0x02401c…
10-19 19:38:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,150	13¢	$150	0x84d0e1…
10-19 19:32:03	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	802	1¢	$9	0x75c72a…
10-19 19:31:30	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	1¢	$4	0x5375bc…
10-19 16:58:12	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	120	90¢	$109	0x753ed9…
10-19 16:57:30	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	222	90¢	$201	0xa12ec2…
10-19 16:57:08	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x46d068…
10-19 16:51:51	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	408	1¢	$5	0x2ed1ca…
10-19 16:42:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	144	73¢	$105	0x3fbdf0…
10-19 16:42:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x12a94a…
10-19 16:42:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	63	73¢	$46	0x2bf37a…