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Realized P&L (7d)
+$9
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
94.9%
Resolved (7d)
13
Trades (7d)
16
182 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$119
$3.94K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$392
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-27
last 11-08 18:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 39 days
Categories
Other
49% 59% -$252
Crypto
44% 88% +$29
Tech
5% — —
Politics
2% 83% +$1
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +200 $158 78¢ $155 -$3 10-29 09:01
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +100 $86 90¢ $90 +$4 10-18 15:54
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026? No +68 $45 94¢ $64 +$18 11-08 18:36
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +30 $28 92¢ $28 +$0 10-29 09:01
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? No +20 $15 82¢ $16 +$1 10-24 12:16
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $10 28¢ $14 +$4 09-15 18:49
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? Yes +100 $45 8¢ $8 -$38 08-14 05:09
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 11-03 18:06
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$0 11-06 16:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 10-25 17:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $2 45¢ $2 $0 11-08 08:58
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +5 $2 29¢ $1 $0 11-01 18:06
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +5 $3 26¢ $1 -$2 10-25 17:13