Royal-Frosting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$202

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-22 02:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$18

Other

0% 100% +$4

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		-7	-$6	97¢	$-6	$0	10-22 02:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	1	$309	309	+309	Yes	+$0	05-08 16:45
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 8	1	$306	307	+307	No	+$0	04-08 07:44
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$306	306	+306	No	+$0	04-07 07:22
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	1	$305	305	+305	Yes	+$0	03-18 10:03
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 28	1	$305	305	+305	No	+$0	03-27 15:34
bitcoin above 76k on april 3	1	$303	303	+303	No	+$0	04-02 05:07
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 8	1	$302	302	+302	No	+$0	01-06 22:17
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 17	1	$302	302	+302	No	+$0	03-17 09:41
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	1	$301	302	+302	No	+$1	03-15 12:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$299	300	+300	No	+$0	05-04 15:30
bitcoin above 80k on january 10	1	$299	299	+299	Yes	+$0	01-09 04:11
bitcoin above 58k on march 14	1	$298	298	+298	Yes	+$0	03-13 11:25
will the price of ethereum be less than 1400 on march 3	1	$297	297	+297	No	+$0	03-02 15:49
ethereum above 2500 on march 1	1	$296	296	+296	No	+$0	03-01 00:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$295	295	+295	No	+$0	05-19 08:47
bitcoin above 82k on april 18	1	$294	295	+295	No	+$1	04-17 11:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	1	$294	295	+295	No	+$0	05-18 07:15
bitcoin above 76k on april 9	1	$294	294	+294	No	+$0	04-09 06:13
bitcoin above 80k on february 11	1	$294	294	+294	No	+$0	02-10 02:57
bitcoin above 90k on february 6	1	$293	294	+294	No	+$0	02-05 01:50
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 26	1	$292	293	+293	No	+$0	02-24 06:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 2	1	$292	292	+292	No	+$0	01-02 00:37
bitcoin above 76k on february 23	1	$292	292	+292	No	+$0	02-22 05:22
bitcoin above 78k on february 20	1	$292	292	+292	No	+$0	02-18 21:54
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 26	1	$292	292	+292	No	+$0	03-25 15:08
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on february 13	1	$291	291	+291	No	+$0	02-12 00:26
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	1	$291	291	+291	Yes	+$0	04-10 08:47
ethereum above 2700 on february 8	1	$290	291	+291	No	+$0	02-07 00:16
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	1	$290	290	+290	No	+$0	03-20 13:55
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 15	1	$288	289	+289	No	+$0	02-14 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 02:45:11	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x4dd5f9…
08-13 04:07:49	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x16cdc8…
08-12 01:21:19	bitcoin above 66k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x169d3d…
08-06 03:07:38	ethereum above 2200 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2f80fa…
07-29 12:05:27	ethereum above 2100 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x54500b…
06-18 03:55:56	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d000a…
06-18 03:54:16	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0xc82686…
06-18 03:52:22	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd8164b…
06-18 03:50:23	will hyperliquid reach 80 in june	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x2b2169…
06-18 03:48:47	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe88edf…
06-13 13:14:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 15?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x7abc97…
06-07 14:48:13	bitcoin above 72k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xcf1b37…
05-19 08:47:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	295	100¢	$295	0x314c14…
05-18 07:15:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	295	100¢	$294	0xae9c43…
05-10 01:33:36	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xfcd9db…
05-10 01:31:58	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x46822e…
05-08 16:45:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	309	100¢	$309	0xf92fb9…
05-04 15:30:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x08d877…
04-27 14:33:48	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	276	100¢	$276	0x022441…
04-19 22:10:12	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x350bd7…
04-17 11:20:44	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	295	100¢	$294	0x667477…
04-15 12:11:24	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2700 on april 16	No	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0x10cf40…
04-12 10:36:43	bitcoin above 62k on april 13	Yes	BUY	288	100¢	$288	0x5bee9e…
04-12 04:23:37	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xcc153f…
04-12 04:22:01	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3d75fb…
04-12 04:20:23	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xa267a4…
04-10 08:47:43	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	291	100¢	$291	0x2dbf6e…
04-09 06:13:55	bitcoin above 76k on april 9	No	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0x122931…
04-08 07:44:25	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 8	No	BUY	307	100¢	$306	0x2f61ac…
04-07 07:22:03	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	306	100¢	$306	0x5f0d22…
04-02 05:07:23	bitcoin above 76k on april 3	No	BUY	303	100¢	$303	0x490768…
03-27 15:34:49	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 28	No	BUY	305	100¢	$305	0x6e7180…
03-25 15:08:47	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 26	No	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0x416053…
03-23 14:17:11	bitcoin above 78k on march 24	No	BUY	289	99¢	$286	0x2f1e5e…
03-21 02:12:09	will deepseek have the best ai model for math on march 31	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x8ace44…
03-20 13:55:09	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xa5ee7a…
03-18 10:03:11	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	305	100¢	$305	0x81cdb7…
03-17 09:41:49	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 17	No	BUY	302	100¢	$302	0x29b402…
03-15 12:19:15	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	302	100¢	$301	0x324c26…
03-13 11:25:23	bitcoin above 58k on march 14	Yes	BUY	298	100¢	$298	0xf10f92…
03-11 08:44:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 11	No	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0xac4d0e…
03-02 15:49:33	will the price of ethereum be less than 1400 on march 3	No	BUY	297	100¢	$297	0x326720…
03-01 00:41:37	ethereum above 2500 on march 1	No	BUY	296	100¢	$296	0x3a8135…
02-24 06:16:46	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on february 26	No	BUY	293	100¢	$292	0x75b058…
02-22 05:22:10	bitcoin above 76k on february 23	No	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0x18d3e8…
02-18 21:54:32	bitcoin above 78k on february 20	No	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0xf79760…
02-16 04:17:03	bitcoin above 78k on february 17	No	BUY	286	100¢	$285	0x19d76c…
02-14 03:23:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 15	No	BUY	289	100¢	$288	0x148a46…
02-12 00:26:59	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on february 13	No	BUY	291	100¢	$291	0x2652f3…
02-10 02:57:57	bitcoin above 80k on february 11	No	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0x834147…
02-07 00:16:25	ethereum above 2700 on february 8	No	BUY	291	100¢	$290	0xd32158…
02-05 01:50:11	bitcoin above 90k on february 6	No	BUY	294	100¢	$293	0x40cf4e…
02-01 23:14:02	ethereum above 3400 on february 3	No	BUY	281	100¢	$281	0x4e6b2e…
01-31 10:43:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on february 1	No	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0x874d70…
01-29 02:05:54	bitcoin above 80k on january 30	Yes	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0x70d7a0…
01-26 21:18:03	bitcoin above 98k on january 28	No	BUY	282	100¢	$282	0x3b8f9d…
01-24 14:15:00	bitcoin above 100k on january 26	No	BUY	274	100¢	$273	0x263f2f…
01-21 10:22:22	bitcoin above 102k on january 23	No	BUY	279	100¢	$279	0xddc653…
01-18 10:44:10	will the price of ethereum be less than 2700 on january 20	No	BUY	267	100¢	$267	0x460a75…
01-16 23:56:08	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0xde5619…
01-16 23:54:48	will hyperliquid hit 38 in january	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xf2373b…
01-16 23:53:30	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xbe96f0…
01-15 04:05:44	bitcoin above 82k on january 17	Yes	BUY	288	100¢	$288	0xb460f4…
01-13 06:31:29	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 14	No	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0xa05742…
01-09 04:11:38	bitcoin above 80k on january 10	Yes	BUY	299	100¢	$299	0x18a1b1…
01-06 22:17:55	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 8	No	BUY	302	100¢	$302	0x29567d…
01-04 19:22:03	ethereum above 2500 on january 6	Yes	BUY	287	100¢	$286	0x936594…
01-02 00:37:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 2	No	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0xb057f9…