Orange-Forte — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$30

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

89 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$13.7K

$13.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

$308

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 67% +$29

Other

6% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	+270	$270	100¢	$270	+$0	05-05 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	+16	$16	99¢	$16	+$0	05-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	+10	$5	99¢	$10	+$5	05-05 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	+10	$5	70¢	$7	+$2	05-05 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	+10	$5	57¢	$6	+$1	05-05 15:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$1.5K	1,508	+1,508	Up	+$3	05-04 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$1.5K	1,508	+1,508	Down	+$15	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$1.5K	1,529	+1,529	Up	+$41	05-04 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$742	750	+750	Down	+$7	05-05 01:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$689	689	+689	Up	+$1	05-05 00:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$501	522	+522	open	—	05-05 09:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$430	434	+434	Down	+$4	05-05 02:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$416	420	+420	Down	+$4	05-05 00:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$312	312	+312	Down	+$0	05-04 22:29
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$308	308	+308	Down	+$0	05-04 23:44
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$308	308	+308	Down	+$0	05-04 23:34
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$308	308	+308	Up	+$0	05-05 00:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$307	310	+310	Down	+$3	05-05 03:55
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$290	290	+290	Down	+$0	05-05 00:29
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$275	275	+275	Down	+$0	05-04 22:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	1	$270	270	+270	open	—	05-05 15:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$265	265	+265	open	—	05-05 10:15
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$265	265	+265	Up	+$0	05-05 02:44
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$258	258	+258	Down	+$0	05-04 23:44
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$258	258	+258	open	—	05-05 14:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9PM ET	1	$255	255	+255	Up	+$0	05-05 01:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$254	254	+254	Down	+$0	05-05 02:49
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$234	234	+234	Down	+$0	05-04 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$230	233	+233	Down	+$2	05-04 22:34
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$226	226	+226	open	—	05-05 07:45
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$215	215	+215	Down	+$0	05-04 20:14
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$190	190	+190	Down	+$0	05-04 20:44
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$160	160	+160	Up	+$0	05-04 21:14
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$150	150	+150	Up	+$0	05-04 21:14
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$150	150	+150	Down	+$0	05-04 23:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x2e02ba…
05-05 16:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x425438…
05-05 15:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe99137…
05-05 15:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x96c6b3…
05-05 15:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0xc199c9…
05-05 15:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x90fd3c…
05-05 14:44:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0xc589af…
05-05 14:44:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x148ad3…
05-05 14:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3a4cd5…
05-05 13:25:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x05b911…
05-05 13:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xf10778…
05-05 13:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4c7825…
05-05 12:01:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4ebb2c…
05-05 11:55:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xb67250…
05-05 11:50:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf8d488…
05-05 10:15:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	257	100¢	$257	0xb634e6…
05-05 10:15:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d64c6…
05-05 09:35:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x4f6005…
05-05 09:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	507	97¢	$490	0x760bd2…
05-05 09:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xaa8f6e…
05-05 08:26:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1f1a1f…
05-05 08:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2aa9e4…
05-05 07:45:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x724bef…
05-05 07:45:04	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x8b5afd…
05-05 07:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xbb0009…
05-05 07:10:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa577f3…
05-05 06:45:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7e6027…
05-05 05:59:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x25a2c4…
05-05 05:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0x7ab9b0…
05-05 05:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x0d0e08…
05-05 05:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3b3c63…
05-05 05:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x21faa9…
05-05 04:45:04	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x1dc5c5…
05-05 04:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0xd9503d…
05-05 04:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x4c9206…
05-05 04:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x06d421…
05-05 04:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x47e768…
05-05 03:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	310	99¢	$307	0x7789e9…
05-05 02:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xafba3f…
05-05 02:49:36	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa025ce…
05-05 02:49:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0xb3ea9b…
05-05 02:44:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x4a3bba…
05-05 02:40:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	276	1¢	$3	0xa57627…
05-05 02:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	434	99¢	$430	0x615fe7…
05-05 01:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0xd63b1a…
05-05 01:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x718673…
05-05 01:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0b30c6…
05-05 01:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x8d606d…
05-05 01:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x484182…
05-05 01:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	750	99¢	$742	0x47ee07…
05-05 00:54:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	689	100¢	$689	0xf7a5d8…
05-05 00:34:22	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	308	100¢	$308	0x564e97…
05-05 00:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	420	99¢	$416	0x90ea59…
05-05 00:29:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0x1105b6…
05-05 00:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,508	99¢	$1,493	0x78fc07…
05-05 00:20:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x409b9e…
05-05 00:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa13c06…
05-05 00:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xce7a59…
05-04 23:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x118db0…
05-04 23:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2c1cc1…
05-04 23:44:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	308	100¢	$308	0x661a79…
05-04 23:44:44	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x985a89…
05-04 23:44:36	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0x5aee51…
05-04 23:34:46	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	308	100¢	$308	0xf30a4b…
05-04 23:29:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xe9038c…
05-04 23:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,508	98¢	$1,479	0xf8c629…
05-04 23:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x153029…
05-04 23:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x40056b…
05-04 23:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x97239a…
05-04 22:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0xb6321e…
05-04 22:49:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xd1c17d…
05-04 22:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	233	99¢	$230	0x4f8e1e…
05-04 22:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcd578f…
05-04 22:29:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xe8d9c5…
05-04 22:29:40	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0xe13536…
05-04 22:29:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	312	100¢	$312	0x6e3bbd…
05-04 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	59	52¢	$31	0x4aef90…
05-04 22:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x7299c0…
05-04 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc64d87…
05-04 21:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x6b04a1…
05-04 21:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,508	100¢	$1,505	0x9f2b26…
05-04 21:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x75211b…
05-04 21:14:46	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xfcd213…
05-04 21:14:32	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xc7d634…
05-04 20:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x55bbe5…
05-04 20:44:36	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x40fabe…
05-04 20:29:34	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0xac2887…
05-04 20:14:46	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0xce1d05…
05-04 20:04:38	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xf80946…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9	43	$5.26K	54	05-05 16:04
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	34	$7.21K	217	05-05 16:07
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	33	$2.06K	81	05-05 16:07
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	32	$885	94	05-05 16:04
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	21	$1.96K	86	05-05 16:02
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	21	$1.90K	68	05-05 16:02
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	11	$1.30K	20	05-05 16:02
Thirsty-Adjustment 0x2f32…ada6	11	$750	118	05-05 09:10