Orange-Forte — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$30

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

132

132 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$17.6K

$17.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$134

Open exposure

$22

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 67% +$29

Other

6% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	+10	$5	100¢	$10	+$5	05-05 22:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	+10	$5	99¢	$10	+$5	05-05 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	+2	$1	100¢	$2	+$1	05-05 22:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	+10	$5	0¢	$0	$-5	05-05 22:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$1.5K	1,508	+1,508	Up	+$3	05-04 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$1.5K	1,508	+1,508	Down	+$15	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$1.5K	1,529	+1,529	Up	+$41	05-04 23:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$959	960	+960	open	—	05-05 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$742	750	+750	Down	+$7	05-05 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$706	713	+713	open	—	05-05 20:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$689	689	+689	Up	+$1	05-05 00:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$541	542	+542	open	—	05-05 19:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$501	522	+522	open	—	05-05 09:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$430	434	+434	Down	+$4	05-05 02:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$416	420	+420	Down	+$4	05-05 00:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$312	312	+312	Down	+$0	05-04 22:29
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$308	308	+308	Down	+$0	05-04 23:44
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$308	308	+308	Down	+$0	05-04 23:34
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$308	308	+308	open	—	05-05 20:59
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$308	308	+308	Up	+$0	05-05 00:34
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$308	308	+308	open	—	05-05 18:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$307	310	+310	Down	+$3	05-05 03:55
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$290	290	+290	Down	+$0	05-05 00:29
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$275	275	+275	Down	+$0	05-04 22:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	1	$270	270	+270	open	—	05-05 15:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$265	265	+265	Up	+$0	05-05 02:44
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$265	265	+265	open	—	05-05 10:15
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$258	258	+258	open	—	05-05 18:14
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$258	258	+258	open	—	05-05 14:44
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$258	258	+258	Down	+$0	05-04 23:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9PM ET	1	$255	255	+255	Up	+$0	05-05 01:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$254	254	+254	Down	+$0	05-05 02:49
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$234	234	+234	Down	+$0	05-04 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$230	233	+233	Down	+$2	05-04 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x75a768…
05-05 22:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2e66fd…
05-05 22:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0a7d47…
05-05 21:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x4ada00…
05-05 21:09:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x503bcc…
05-05 20:59:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	308	100¢	$308	0xc7314b…
05-05 20:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7b1c4b…
05-05 20:49:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x228f92…
05-05 20:49:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x25106c…
05-05 20:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xca2ff1…
05-05 20:44:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x521f9c…
05-05 20:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x972395…
05-05 20:35:04	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xf589b8…
05-05 20:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf2143a…
05-05 20:34:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1870fb…
05-05 20:34:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2d1dd8…
05-05 20:30:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x4dcb37…
05-05 20:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x26f3ec…
05-05 20:19:40	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	142	1¢	$1	0xf6a3bb…
05-05 20:07:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb2a018…
05-05 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	713	99¢	$706	0x452554…
05-05 19:57:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xee8e57…
05-05 19:57:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8141bf…
05-05 19:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	542	100¢	$541	0x7fe59e…
05-05 19:51:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x1bc51a…
05-05 19:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6809dd…
05-05 19:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2cffa1…
05-05 19:17:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xe69640…
05-05 19:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x68a54f…
05-05 18:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfeb3e8…
05-05 18:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xae19b7…
05-05 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6673a9…
05-05 18:14:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0x70ed8f…
05-05 18:14:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0x676f32…
05-05 18:14:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0xa07dd8…
05-05 18:13:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	960	100¢	$959	0x2531cb…
05-05 18:09:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	308	100¢	$308	0xbc90bd…
05-05 17:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9694d7…
05-05 17:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x064e4b…
05-05 16:44:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	227	1¢	$2	0x92363e…
05-05 16:34:30	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x5d74b5…
05-05 16:34:30	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x5b5147…
05-05 16:27:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x83f861…
05-05 16:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x425438…
05-05 16:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x2e02ba…
05-05 15:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe99137…
05-05 15:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x96c6b3…
05-05 15:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0xc199c9…
05-05 15:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x90fd3c…
05-05 14:44:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0xc589af…
05-05 14:44:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x148ad3…
05-05 14:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3a4cd5…
05-05 13:25:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x05b911…
05-05 13:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4c7825…
05-05 13:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xf10778…
05-05 12:01:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4ebb2c…
05-05 11:55:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xb67250…
05-05 11:50:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf8d488…
05-05 10:15:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	257	100¢	$257	0xb634e6…
05-05 10:15:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d64c6…
05-05 09:35:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x4f6005…
05-05 09:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	507	97¢	$490	0x760bd2…
05-05 09:10:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xaa8f6e…
05-05 08:26:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1f1a1f…
05-05 08:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2aa9e4…
05-05 07:45:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x724bef…
05-05 07:45:04	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x8b5afd…
05-05 07:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xbb0009…
05-05 07:10:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa577f3…
05-05 06:45:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7e6027…
05-05 05:59:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x25a2c4…
05-05 05:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0x7ab9b0…
05-05 05:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x0d0e08…
05-05 05:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3b3c63…
05-05 05:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x21faa9…
05-05 04:45:04	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x1dc5c5…
05-05 04:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x4c9206…
05-05 04:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0xd9503d…
05-05 04:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x06d421…
05-05 04:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x47e768…
05-05 03:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	310	99¢	$307	0x7789e9…
05-05 02:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xafba3f…
05-05 02:49:36	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa025ce…
05-05 02:49:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0xb3ea9b…
05-05 02:44:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x4a3bba…
05-05 02:40:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	276	1¢	$3	0xa57627…
05-05 02:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	434	99¢	$430	0x615fe7…
05-05 01:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0xd63b1a…
05-05 01:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x718673…
05-05 01:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0b30c6…
05-05 01:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x8d606d…
05-05 01:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x484182…
05-05 01:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	750	99¢	$742	0x47ee07…
05-05 00:54:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	689	100¢	$689	0xf7a5d8…
05-05 00:34:22	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	308	100¢	$308	0x564e97…
05-05 00:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	420	99¢	$416	0x90ea59…
05-05 00:29:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0x1105b6…
05-05 00:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,508	99¢	$1,493	0x78fc07…
05-05 00:20:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x409b9e…
05-05 00:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa13c06…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9	70	$7.75K	85	05-05 22:25
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	56	$12.7K	321	05-05 22:30
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	48	$678	181	05-05 22:30
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	47	$1.11K	133	05-05 22:20
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	45	$4.43K	120	05-05 20:55
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	40	$3.47K	171	05-05 22:30
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	39	$3.53K	128	05-05 22:35
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	36	$756	73	05-05 22:10