Beneficial-Curio — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$116

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

183

Trades

1,172

lifetime

Volume

$9.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-05

last 07-07 05:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

64% 33% +$75

Politics

35% 42% +$41

Sports

1% 27% -$6

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$15

Crypto

0% 20% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes		-67	-$12	6¢	$-4	+$8	05-06 02:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	64	$1.1K	768	993	-225	No	-$16	06-19 14:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	36	$735	546	536	+10	No	+$101	04-23 12:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	46	$705	508	508	+0	No	+$66	05-12 14:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	42	$571	463	463	+0	No	+$56	07-03 13:29
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	36	$544	339	339	+0	No	+$50	07-04 00:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	27	$522	315	290	+25	No	+$48	05-04 18:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	28	$288	303	303	+0	No	+$6	05-06 02:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	27	$280	197	177	+20	No	+$36	04-29 14:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	20	$277	190	233	-43	Yes	+$39	06-05 04:06
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	3	$200	132	132	+0	No	+$55	04-15 21:57
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	25	$183	341	341	+0	No	-$20	04-21 13:07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	21	$172	148	148	+0	No	+$18	05-19 07:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	18	$141	82	82	+0	No	+$9	04-26 22:33
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	14	$128	151	151	+0	Yes	+$51	06-17 01:24
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	30	$122	238	238	+0	No	-$59	06-24 14:53
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	15	$106	271	271	+0	No	+$32	04-21 15:25
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	19	$98	132	132	+0	No	-$25	04-30 00:12
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	18	$98	214	142	+72	No	$0	06-24 17:43
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	8	$91	91	91	+0	No	-$14	04-17 14:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	8	$83	178	173	+5	Yes	+$1	04-20 14:40
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	8	$76	122	122	+0	Yes	-$9	04-21 13:04
israel closes its airspace by june 8	6	$69	69	69	+0	No	-$12	06-08 13:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	15	$68	176	176	-0	open	—	07-04 04:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	13	$67	71	71	+0	Yes	+$5	05-17 19:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	7	$63	80	80	+0	No	-$7	05-06 02:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	4	$60	47	47	+0	No	$0	04-19 21:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$59	34	34	+0	No	+$2	04-21 14:28
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 20 million barrels per day in May?	9	$57	40	40	+0	No	+$3	05-06 02:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	7	$55	99	99	+0	No	$0	04-14 13:50
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	7	$52	155	0	+155	Yes	-$52	04-16 15:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 05:43:25	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x029eaf…
07-07 00:01:23	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x0d512e…
07-06 23:59:38	Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0x4d26c6…
07-06 23:59:20	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x693f6d…
07-06 23:59:10	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x38fbb0…
07-06 23:59:05	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$5	0x8bb63d…
07-06 23:58:55	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0x2fe833…
07-06 23:55:29	Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0xb8f479…
07-06 23:17:07	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	2¢	$1	0x65f7e3…
07-06 23:16:49	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xac1282…
07-06 23:16:41	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	283	1¢	$2	0x507654…
07-06 23:16:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xff1895…
07-06 23:16:20	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	2¢	$3	0xeae2af…
07-06 22:01:23	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0xb00bba…
07-04 05:10:28	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x479274…
07-04 04:57:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	60	19¢	$11	0xe01ce5…
07-04 04:50:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	60	19¢	$11	0xee8a62…
07-04 04:22:11	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x1275d3…
07-04 02:19:17	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	315	2¢	$5	0x5611b5…
07-04 00:57:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	44	94¢	$42	0x4c903a…
07-03 13:29:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	90	74¢	$67	0xdfd41c…
07-03 13:29:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xa749c3…
07-03 13:05:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	44	93¢	$41	0xfb0eb7…
07-03 09:20:53	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xb7cfcc…
07-03 07:38:38	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x9a4810…
07-03 00:41:31	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0x30ad80…
07-03 00:39:26	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x9d9939…
07-02 17:59:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xca6f06…
07-02 17:49:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	25	74¢	$18	0xe4c9a1…
07-02 14:42:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x7c8049…
07-02 14:33:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4cac1f…
07-02 14:28:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x153839…
07-02 14:27:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xd0e8eb…
07-02 14:24:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0xf3e728…
07-02 13:44:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0xfcf6df…
07-02 11:41:13	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xdf0381…
07-02 11:23:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0x8bb67b…
07-02 06:25:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0xa4ea43…
07-02 04:50:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xff2f1d…
07-02 04:34:43	Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x46ee18…
07-02 04:34:26	will canada reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134471	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x20c6d1…
07-02 04:34:07	will canada reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149713	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4234a0…
07-02 04:32:14	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x971c84…
07-02 04:31:23	Will a player representing Canada be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xd2d9f4…
07-02 04:30:50	Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xe55141…
07-02 04:28:58	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x940d3a…
07-02 04:28:34	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xbc4465…
07-02 04:28:25	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$3	0x109cde…
07-02 04:28:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$5	0x605d63…
07-02 04:28:01	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0xe5b9c5…
07-02 00:31:16	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x88f0eb…
07-02 00:27:41	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0xb2dd43…
07-02 00:27:02	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x8405d7…
07-02 00:00:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x2e2882…
07-01 20:56:44	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x35c89e…
07-01 20:20:46	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xc6316b…
07-01 20:18:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x07917a…
07-01 19:43:26	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x691e24…
07-01 18:55:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	64	87¢	$56	0x171104…
07-01 18:54:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x9cda3e…
07-01 18:43:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0x631f9a…
07-01 18:41:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0x83b1c2…
07-01 18:30:38	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0x4c0219…
07-01 16:25:13	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x6c0701…
07-01 15:40:20	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2b6170…
07-01 15:35:07	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x2b95f4…
07-01 15:34:53	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0f8396…
07-01 15:34:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0c2452…
07-01 15:34:20	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x60e993…
07-01 15:34:13	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x6a5a97…
07-01 15:28:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x599276…
07-01 14:01:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xf62734…
07-01 14:00:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x656e89…
06-30 23:12:26	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x023a1a…
06-30 19:13:08	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xe5ec34…
06-30 14:11:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x0a4374…
06-30 14:09:20	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xf6910e…
06-30 14:08:41	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	163	0¢	$1	0x7e8666…
06-30 14:08:38	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0xd669f2…
06-30 14:02:11	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	70	11¢	$8	0xabf256…
06-30 14:01:56	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x5df0ea…
06-30 08:47:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x1e0e00…
06-30 04:33:52	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x65983a…
06-30 04:33:34	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xc65c12…
06-29 22:09:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xc117ae…
06-29 08:02:25	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xa5be79…
06-29 08:02:02	Will fewer than 75 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	SELL	57	3¢	$2	0xed2f94…
06-29 06:48:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x231a79…
06-29 06:46:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x672acb…
06-28 23:39:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	60	79¢	$47	0x0bcf05…
06-28 23:36:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0x2bbe5a…
06-28 23:35:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0x79e821…
06-28 23:35:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	47	21¢	$10	0x51d7df…
06-28 23:34:38	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	28¢	$13	0xc4946d…
06-28 22:35:07	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x86439e…
06-28 21:05:14	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0x1fc016…
06-28 21:01:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3f3601…
06-28 21:00:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x51d73f…
06-28 20:59:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	29	27¢	$8	0x11481a…
06-28 20:05:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0xd7c688…