Realized P&L (30d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
—
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
8
20 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$42
$123 lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$50
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 11-05 19:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
37% 100% +$16
Sports
32% 33% +$2
Other
27% 25% -$6
Crypto
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $14 76¢ $15 +$1 11-01 10:34
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +45 $5 15¢ $7 +$2 10-11 08:22
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +22 $5 24¢ $5 +$0 10-11 08:22
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-05 19:36
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +70 $5 7¢ $5 $0 11-05 19:14
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +10 $5 38¢ $4 -$1 11-05 19:37
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +36 $5 10¢ $3 -$2 05-18 08:35
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +30 $5 7¢ $2 -$3 05-18 08:35
Revolut IPO before 2027? Yes +62 $5 3¢ $2 -$3 05-18 08:19
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +500 $2 0¢ $2 -$1 11-05 19:15