Noteworthy-Longboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$227

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

976

Trades

1,621

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-26 17:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 37% -$333

Other

20% 31% +$39

Sports

1% 44% +$69

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes		+12	$6	74¢	$9	+$3	10-26 17:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 08:10 UTC	3	$429	280	280	+0	Down	+$129	09-27 08:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:45 UTC	2	$285	189	189	+0	Up	+$85	09-27 10:49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	4	$159	600	600	+0	No	+$9	09-17 06:33
Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?	2	$159	109	109	+0	Yes	+$59	09-26 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 08:05 UTC	7	$149	134	132	+2	Up	-$22	03-16 08:10
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 6pm et	5	$143	163	72	+91	Up	+$1	03-15 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$135	96	96	+0	Up	+$35	09-23 11:31
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	2	$132	101	100	+0	Yes	+$32	09-29 06:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 22:00 UTC	8	$124	176	70	+106	Down	+$15	03-15 22:16
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 3pm et	3	$119	128	98	+29	Up	+$11	03-15 19:29
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	2	$115	95	95	+0	Yes	+$75	10-15 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:50 UTC	2	$110	206	0	+206	Down	-$110	09-27 10:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:40 UTC	1	$100	213	0	+213	Down	-$100	09-27 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 08:05 UTC	1	$100	196	0	+196	Up	-$100	09-27 08:05
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-26?	1	$100	175	0	+175	No	-$100	10-26 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2AM ET	6	$99	151	118	+33	Down	+$49	09-14 06:33
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 11am et	6	$96	210	44	+166	Down	-$7	03-15 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$92	83	83	+0	Up	+$72	10-21 18:23
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	4	$88	286	286	+0	No	-$32	09-28 19:56
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 10am et	8	$88	131	120	+10	Up	+$38	03-15 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 07:45 UTC	6	$88	129	58	+71	Down	-$55	03-16 07:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 20:20 UTC	5	$88	92	46	+47	Down	+$3	03-15 20:25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	4	$87	120	109	+11	Yes	+$16	09-18 12:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 20:00 UTC	5	$86	100	65	+34	Down	+$5	03-15 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5AM ET	2	$86	71	71	+0	Up	+$56	09-22 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$84	114	64	+50	Down	+$42	09-22 17:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:35 UTC	2	$81	42	42	+0	Up	+$1	09-29 13:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 06:30 UTC	5	$81	66	65	+1	Up	+$29	03-16 06:35
Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	3	$80	129	0	+129	Philip Sekulic	+$49	09-10 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$73	53	53	+0	Down	+$13	09-23 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:04:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xc27680…
10-26 16:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe89b9f…
10-26 16:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x002f3c…
10-26 16:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	82	6¢	$5	0x957ffa…
10-26 16:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x2deb8b…
10-26 16:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x99feeb…
10-26 16:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x59b4d6…
10-26 13:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xcee39b…
10-26 13:28:15	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xb693ef…
10-26 13:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x39034b…
10-22 19:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	462	0¢	$1	0x6caffa…
10-22 08:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x1dbe4a…
10-21 21:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x72c6cc…
10-21 21:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfb4e58…
10-21 21:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4a5530…
10-21 21:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x610ee4…
10-21 21:09:41	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x95eeaa…
10-21 21:07:00	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xa2c813…
10-21 21:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x064340…
10-21 21:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5d3f78…
10-21 20:56:44	Lyon Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tommy Paul	Benjamin Bonzi	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1e66a7…
10-21 20:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xe7ad8b…
10-21 20:53:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	16¢	$13	0xf1d17f…
10-21 20:49:38	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	17	87¢	$14	0x2bdcb4…
10-21 20:27:50	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x5bfac7…
10-21 19:36:42	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x0e931f…
10-21 18:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5ac6b7…
10-21 18:32:14	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x652ed3…
10-21 18:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x8a9d71…
10-21 18:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	83	98¢	$82	0xfe94fd…
10-21 18:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xde88f2…
10-21 14:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xddb8c8…
10-21 14:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x09332e…
10-21 14:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x5ac8c3…
10-20 21:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xbad059…
10-20 21:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x74411f…
10-20 21:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x58474d…
10-20 20:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0x744739…
10-20 20:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xfdce8f…
10-20 19:59:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	6¢	$10	0x489689…
10-20 13:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x07a12c…
10-20 13:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb7a4af…
10-20 13:30:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xbe408b…
10-20 12:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb97c2a…
10-20 11:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x4f92a1…
10-20 11:26:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	66¢	$21	0x86b973…
10-20 06:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xe162d9…
10-20 06:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	21¢	$7	0xfa9b71…
10-20 06:51:08	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x6d000b…
10-16 22:00:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x242b96…
10-16 21:59:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x037d24…
10-16 21:59:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc2d48e…
10-16 06:52:21	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xcfa8b1…
10-16 06:48:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x3846fc…
10-15 21:06:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa28069…
10-15 20:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x760c41…
10-15 20:59:14	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x94ab24…
10-15 20:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x6b89f7…
10-15 17:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x83df04…
10-15 16:57:01	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xc192c7…
10-12 13:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x7b107d…
10-06 20:43:38	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	337	1¢	$5	0x677cd4…
10-06 20:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3dff27…
10-06 19:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x56b246…
10-06 19:04:39	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	182	22¢	$40	0x8a8a59…
10-05 15:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x05a169…
10-04 11:07:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0xcd75a5…
10-03 16:50:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x19af64…
10-03 16:41:45	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x8e023b…
10-03 09:21:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x4f815b…
10-03 09:19:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	5¢	$6	0x0f3fe0…
10-03 06:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb57450…
10-03 06:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x69c951…
10-03 06:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc958d6…
10-03 06:27:42	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x78c86c…
10-02 21:12:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa6e34f…
10-02 21:12:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	4¢	$5	0x65a25c…
10-02 21:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x37d794…
10-02 21:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x686a35…
10-02 19:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xaff87e…
09-30 20:32:54	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x6aba0f…
09-30 15:04:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xf42a45…
09-30 15:04:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0xd2d181…
09-30 15:01:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x78df3c…
09-30 14:59:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc45944…
09-30 14:58:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xb1bb91…
09-30 14:58:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x510de1…
09-30 14:56:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0af4d6…
09-30 14:53:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x61b7dd…
09-30 14:53:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x294c88…
09-30 14:12:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0xefacf5…
09-30 14:11:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc95806…
09-30 14:11:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe780ae…
09-30 14:10:35	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0xf5f8b5…
09-30 14:10:30	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	64	3¢	$2	0x3af9c2…
09-30 14:10:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x6008f9…
09-29 17:46:36	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 09 29	GamerLegion	SELL	27	11¢	$3	0x56a241…
09-29 17:39:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xb4cd45…
09-29 17:35:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8dbb1a…
09-29 17:30:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x3c748b…