Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

25.1%

Resolved

Trades

261

lifetime

Volume

$791

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-09

last 08-08 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

54% 21% -$60

Politics

25% 10% $0

Sports

20% 15% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		+0	$0	97¢	$0	$0	06-17 09:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	9	$50	103	92	+12	Yes	+$9	07-09 14:02
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	10	$29	108	108	+0	No	+$2	07-18 20:22
will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	2	$21	26	26	+0	No	+$1	07-02 13:23
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$21	38	38	+0	No	$0	08-08 18:07
will xagusd reach 63 by june 29 2026	3	$20	84	0	+84	No	-$20	07-02 15:06
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$19	33	33	+0	Yes	$0	07-05 13:47
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	2	$19	100	100	+0	No	-$1	06-30 19:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$19	64	64	+0	open	—	07-19 19:53
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	6	$18	46	46	+0	open	—	07-22 16:26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$18	44	44	+0	open	—	07-19 14:09
will xagusd reach 60 by june 29 2026	2	$17	15	15	+0	Yes	-$3	06-29 10:38
will xauusd dip to 3900 by june 29 2026	3	$15	59	59	+0	No	-$5	06-30 15:28
will xagusd dip to 56 by june 29 2026	3	$15	20	20	+0	No	-$5	06-30 14:12
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	5	$14	28	28	+0	open	—	07-19 19:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$14	17	17	+0	No	$0	08-02 23:15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$13	32	32	+0	No	+$1	06-27 08:48
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	07-23 01:39
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$12	12	12	+0	No	$0	07-18 17:48
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	4	$12	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-23 11:42
will bnb dip to 500 in june	2	$12	67	67	+0	No	-$8	06-30 19:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	4	$11	15	15	+0	Yes	-$1	06-17 10:17
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	4	$11	31	31	+0	No	-$1	07-23 19:37
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	4	$11	380	380	+0	No	-$9	06-30 19:37
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	5	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	07-17 21:24
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$10	18	18	+0	Yes	$0	07-16 13:26
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?	2	$10	29	29	+0	No	-$10	06-30 19:38
will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	2	$10	15	15	+0	No	$0	07-17 20:15
will xagusd dip to 56 in july 2026	2	$9	16	16	+0	Yes	-$1	07-07 12:40
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$8	61	61	+0	open	—	08-02 12:03
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$8	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-11 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 18:07:52	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xa502f1…
08-08 18:07:19	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x31da4c…
08-06 15:18:38	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	Yes	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0x9f9b62…
08-06 15:18:15	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xd67a09…
08-06 15:07:42	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0x7396b1…
08-06 15:07:14	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	17	13¢	$2	0x9d32f9…
08-06 15:06:42	Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0x9d1d71…
08-06 14:54:53	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0xdc7816…
08-06 11:13:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xd11cad…
08-05 14:30:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0xc489ac…
08-05 12:42:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x254c23…
08-03 16:28:21	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x483ef6…
08-03 16:27:45	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x9e28b1…
08-03 16:06:30	Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xbde852…
08-03 16:06:00	Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x0b7b5d…
08-03 16:05:35	Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x568b52…
08-03 14:34:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x093452…
08-03 14:33:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xd66c8c…
08-03 14:32:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x4046a9…
08-02 23:15:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xe3cf8d…
08-02 22:14:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x585ad3…
08-02 18:36:14	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xc1414a…
08-02 17:00:47	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x5fb917…
08-02 15:35:39	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd27db7…
08-02 12:03:47	Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	61	7¢	$4	0x6eaa00…
08-02 00:51:21	Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	61	7¢	$4	0xb7a7e9…
08-01 20:33:44	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xeed9a5…
07-31 21:57:53	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xa5292c…
07-31 21:56:33	Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x789407…
07-31 20:20:00	Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0x2d8ee4…
07-31 20:19:26	Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	52	8¢	$4	0x95da95…
07-31 14:48:03	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x4dd569…
07-31 13:45:24	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x4dbf0b…
07-31 13:24:36	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	26	16¢	$4	0x96244f…
07-31 12:49:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xc164b7…
07-31 10:42:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x8b0a7b…
07-26 21:51:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0x5f10c8…
07-26 21:45:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0xd2a6b0…
07-25 21:56:43	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0xbbc3cf…
07-25 19:43:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xcd3ad2…
07-23 21:01:51	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0xc16f54…
07-23 20:40:45	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x481900…
07-23 19:37:10	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x1e15e6…
07-23 16:31:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xdd2cc5…
07-23 12:26:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x8cd331…
07-23 12:07:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x747e35…
07-23 11:42:01	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0xda7f5f…
07-23 11:39:33	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xf48895…
07-23 01:39:27	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x590097…
07-23 00:46:19	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xf2155b…
07-22 16:26:19	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x4b8557…
07-22 16:22:01	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xc4a775…
07-22 12:39:18	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x78fc5b…
07-22 12:36:12	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xfe144e…
07-21 22:02:10	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x869091…
07-21 20:09:03	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xb5ea73…
07-19 19:53:36	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0x390af7…
07-19 19:52:24	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xb6607e…
07-19 19:50:51	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0x2aa78e…
07-19 19:48:46	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x734f41…
07-19 19:47:25	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x7cafec…
07-19 19:45:31	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0x808b58…
07-19 19:39:58	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x9227bd…
07-19 16:35:28	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x6c850d…
07-19 15:47:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xcefffb…
07-19 14:17:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x048618…
07-19 14:09:30	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0x74cb8d…
07-19 13:05:37	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x1a9f37…
07-19 09:43:55	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x26016c…
07-19 09:25:18	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xea25e3…
07-19 01:25:52	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xac3b5f…
07-19 01:15:31	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x833334…
07-18 20:22:19	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x6b0b44…
07-18 20:04:09	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xc27fc2…
07-18 18:45:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x1c4765…
07-18 18:40:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x57a588…
07-18 17:48:18	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x1c0a43…
07-18 15:56:52	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd03ef0…
07-18 15:20:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0x70cbec…
07-18 14:49:04	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x028d99…
07-18 14:37:13	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x589318…
07-18 12:46:24	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xe7e4fa…
07-18 03:00:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xa54905…
07-18 02:32:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xbcb9c9…
07-18 02:10:13	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xd79fa7…
07-18 02:04:03	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd44e26…
07-17 23:26:21	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x0ae357…
07-17 23:12:45	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?	Yes	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0xd782b1…
07-17 23:08:25	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0xb993d4…
07-17 22:09:33	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x7f8e5f…
07-17 21:24:10	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x3cb979…
07-17 20:37:57	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x752ef8…
07-17 20:35:27	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x1bb745…
07-17 20:27:09	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xd1c0fd…
07-17 20:16:03	will hyperliquid reach 76 in july	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x4f0f04…
07-17 20:15:57	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x9e7f3e…
07-17 20:15:19	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xd99262…
07-17 19:12:52	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xdb4aeb…
07-17 00:32:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xc8e8e6…
07-17 00:07:07	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x2e85eb…