Crafty-Ordination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$430

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.8%

Resolved

Trades

6,970

lifetime

Volume

$28.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 05-14 18:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

91% 57% +$427

Politics

7% 50% +$2

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 716 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	199	$3.0K	57,497	64,140	-6,643	open	—	05-14 18:37
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	429	$1.7K	16,989	16,047	+942	open	—	04-23 17:25
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	336	$1.2K	66,532	78,102	-11,570	open	—	04-23 00:52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	154	$1.0K	7,429	6,420	+1,008	open	—	04-28 04:38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	117	$929	3,235	3,413	-178	open	—	04-28 05:20
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	31	$879	632	604	+28	open	—	04-08 14:01
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	18	$822	505	503	+2	open	—	04-21 15:35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	64	$811	1,395	2,080	-685	open	—	04-27 18:53
white house of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 200plus	36	$705	630	588	+42	open	—	04-07 15:52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	93	$695	4,648	5,174	-526	open	—	04-27 16:58
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	164	$544	15,670	13,375	+2,295	open	—	04-27 05:16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	38	$536	643	633	+11	open	—	04-28 04:37
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	130	$486	31,109	20,071	+11,038	open	—	04-22 19:01
donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 100 119	53	$478	739	710	+29	open	—	04-08 08:41
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	19	$463	486	486	+0	Yes	$-6	04-09 07:37
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 80 81f	10	$433	293	287	+6	open	—	04-15 07:32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	46	$391	1,173	1,128	+44	open	—	04-26 16:25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	65	$381	6,472	5,401	+1,072	open	—	04-27 20:09
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	12	$371	244	243	+1	open	—	04-22 08:45
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	34	$355	626	979	-353	open	—	04-24 15:20
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	35	$333	1,259	502	+757	open	—	04-24 14:37
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 100 119	32	$296	305	297	+7	open	—	04-11 01:17
highest temperature in atlanta on april 15 2026 84 85f	11	$278	234	162	+72	open	—	04-15 21:19
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	64	$251	39,122	3,293	+35,828	open	—	04-25 11:59
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 120 139	23	$242	177	174	+3	open	—	04-11 22:10
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 78 79f	48	$236	47,233	373	+46,861	open	—	04-14 21:59
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	125	$235	17,900	10,876	+7,024	open	—	04-28 06:26
khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 0 4	19	$231	159	158	+1	open	—	04-11 22:03
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	32	$209	1,585	2,085	-500	open	—	04-30 19:07
white house of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 200plus	57	$196	345	318	+27	open	—	04-09 05:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 18:37:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$20	0x6c4bb8…
05-14 18:36:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$20	0x3f7e2b…
05-14 18:26:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$20	0x40c811…
05-14 14:01:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,350	1¢	$24	0xf9b84a…
05-14 05:20:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$10	0xc89ff4…
05-13 18:21:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,500	1¢	$15	0x436556…
05-13 14:47:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,614	1¢	$18	0x54ad0d…
05-13 14:37:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x35eb48…
05-13 14:23:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x8b88f6…
05-13 14:09:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x3e522c…
05-13 13:52:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$22	0xb70a5f…
05-13 13:26:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3,000	1¢	$33	0xa505c5…
05-13 13:23:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x5bdb39…
05-13 13:22:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x89d36a…
05-13 13:21:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x06673e…
05-13 13:21:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xdbafb8…
05-13 13:19:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$11	0x6bdb3e…
05-13 13:11:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	758	1¢	$9	0x37fd73…
05-13 12:40:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$11	0x2aded6…
05-13 12:38:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$11	0x886e6e…
05-13 12:38:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$11	0x2b7c7a…
05-13 07:30:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$24	0x3daf79…
05-13 07:22:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,128	1¢	$14	0x53e93c…
05-13 06:56:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$12	0xc32ce9…
05-13 06:36:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$12	0x922881…
05-13 06:33:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$12	0xa17aa0…
05-13 02:26:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$24	0xdbf46c…
05-13 02:04:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$24	0x22c09f…
05-13 01:38:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	540	1¢	$7	0x092d83…
05-13 01:33:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x491841…
05-13 01:33:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x4382b7…
05-13 01:28:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xa56503…
05-13 01:13:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x5a0fb2…
05-13 01:02:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	842	1¢	$12	0x190927…
05-12 23:44:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	900	1¢	$12	0x700649…
05-12 23:38:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	650	1¢	$8	0x995af9…
05-12 11:59:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$14	0x5cd0be…
05-12 06:45:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$11	0x712b1c…
05-12 06:45:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	672	2¢	$15	0x3064d6…
05-10 22:06:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,538	2¢	$26	0xd14a24…
05-10 22:04:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	859	2¢	$14	0x9dc15b…
05-10 10:50:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$13	0x3b3aba…
05-10 10:47:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	132	3¢	$3	0x18003b…
05-10 10:34:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	954	3¢	$25	0x13146b…
05-10 05:54:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$28	0xb089bf…
05-10 05:54:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$15	0x45dba7…
05-10 02:40:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,244	2¢	$22	0x8fe0b5…
05-10 02:39:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	756	2¢	$14	0xe15eff…
05-09 21:29:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$18	0x57a347…
05-09 21:12:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	178	2¢	$3	0x756a6a…
05-09 21:08:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe4db87…
05-09 20:29:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0xdd326c…
05-09 20:29:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x7c4c4d…
05-09 20:29:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x3ebfa7…
05-09 20:29:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0xd2e0d9…
05-09 18:05:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	338	2¢	$6	0x00ba8c…
05-09 18:03:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	232	2¢	$4	0x1b68fc…
05-09 16:45:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	215	2¢	$4	0xe471b5…
05-09 06:25:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	4¢	$70	0xaa4c6e…
05-09 05:58:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$34	0x4618a3…
05-09 04:26:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,561	1¢	$22	0x45ae0f…
05-09 03:45:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	372	2¢	$8	0xd02d12…
05-09 02:50:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	220	3¢	$7	0x36458c…
05-09 02:40:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	272	3¢	$9	0xfecd94…
05-09 02:37:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	219	3¢	$7	0x23c36a…
05-09 02:32:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$26	0x898133…
05-09 02:06:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$17	0xe867c8…
05-08 13:25:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$21	0x8e2aaa…
05-08 13:25:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$31	0x852b3a…
05-08 13:25:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0x2fb99e…
05-08 12:41:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	328	7¢	$22	0x81875d…
05-08 12:40:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	172	7¢	$12	0x2a7194…
05-08 04:35:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	5¢	$52	0x566db0…
05-08 04:32:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	308	5¢	$16	0xf26d47…
05-08 04:32:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	594	5¢	$30	0xe19ca7…
05-08 04:29:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	98	5¢	$5	0xb49193…
05-08 03:52:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x949ee6…
05-08 03:49:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x9463e6…
05-08 03:46:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,851	5¢	$87	0x2f6514…
05-08 03:43:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xdd46ff…
05-08 03:41:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	424	4¢	$17	0x433906…
05-08 03:41:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xe4b6c4…
05-08 02:40:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10,000	4¢	$400	0x2629ae…
05-08 02:39:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x349176…
05-08 02:36:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xc35ab0…
05-08 02:32:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	455	4¢	$18	0x0e16c0…
05-08 02:04:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	685	4¢	$25	0x121c56…
05-08 00:15:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	653	4¢	$24	0x1e5777…
05-08 00:15:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	381	4¢	$14	0xe2550e…
05-07 23:44:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0x16b70a…
05-07 23:38:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	697	4¢	$26	0xe586d9…
05-07 23:37:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	179	4¢	$7	0x2897e5…
05-07 23:33:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	61	4¢	$2	0x6b4885…
05-07 23:12:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	464	4¢	$18	0xd3994e…
05-07 22:27:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	472	3¢	$16	0xf0b0c8…
05-07 22:26:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$38	0x4fd92d…
05-07 22:14:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	655	3¢	$21	0xcd1c93…
05-07 22:12:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xc4dd44…
05-07 22:11:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	171	3¢	$6	0x79ad9d…
05-07 22:11:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	147	4¢	$5	0x3112b4…