Short-Hypothermia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$245

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$1.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 08-25 07:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

54% 99% -$296

Sports

40% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$51

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$602	507	507	+0	No	+$0	04-10 06:10
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$297	900	0	+900	Yes	-$297	06-15 18:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 08:00 UTC	1	$49	100	0	+100	Up	+$51	03-02 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C or higher on May 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-29 08:32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on May 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-25 05:33
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-18 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on May 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on May 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-25 05:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 21?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 03:08
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 18?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-17 07:11
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on May 29?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-29 08:27
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-29 08:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on August 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	08-25 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or below on August 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	08-25 07:07
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	05-18 08:21
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or below on May 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 03:13
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	05-29 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 9?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-09 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 9?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-09 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 2?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-02 02:48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 18?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-17 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 40°C or higher on May 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 13?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-12 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on July 15?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-14 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	08-25 07:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 07:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x508e00…
08-25 07:09:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on August 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb8e755…
08-25 07:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or below on August 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x79146c…
07-24 09:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x76d848…
07-24 09:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc697a5…
07-24 09:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xce20fd…
07-17 07:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8bceec…
07-17 07:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on July 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf3a63f…
07-17 07:06:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa77a7f…
07-14 03:08:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63469c…
07-14 03:07:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x62e79a…
07-14 03:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07a8d4…
07-02 02:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb22488…
07-02 02:49:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81b1e5…
07-02 02:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x838607…
06-15 18:13:24	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	900	33¢	$297	0xa2978f…
06-12 03:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x43ddc5…
06-12 03:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1e60ba…
06-12 03:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4415a5…
06-09 06:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa584c5…
06-09 06:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2de7f0…
06-09 06:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x27b8ca…
06-09 06:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 100°F or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x578b1b…
06-09 06:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb2bbc6…
05-29 08:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf191e5…
05-29 08:31:06	Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x59571b…
05-29 08:29:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x675130…
05-29 08:27:54	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on May 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xab5b39…
05-25 05:33:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on May 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c7b2c…
05-25 05:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8357a6…
05-25 05:30:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6ac252…
05-25 05:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44a136…
05-25 05:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95aec1…
05-25 05:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 40°C or higher on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3ebea3…
05-25 03:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x024b2f…
05-25 03:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on May 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x72ab04…
05-25 03:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7dd38a…
05-25 03:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x035328…
05-25 03:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or below on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9bfca6…
05-25 03:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9a87b9…
05-21 09:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea7707…
05-21 09:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5a9813…
05-21 09:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e19f7…
05-21 09:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x134cb5…
05-21 09:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5cfcdd…
05-21 09:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeffc29…
05-20 08:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcee2a6…
05-20 08:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xcafd7b…
05-20 08:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe76213…
05-18 08:48:40	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb796e4…
05-18 08:47:30	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xeee636…
05-18 08:23:13	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1bed1…
05-18 08:21:28	Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x30cbb6…
05-18 08:20:09	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2fb6e…
05-18 08:08:46	Will "Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdaa23d…
05-14 10:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x3f5a77…
05-14 10:32:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1e8f1…
05-14 10:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc3f1fb…
05-14 06:18:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97f974…
05-14 06:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb31c7f…
05-14 06:16:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x1e8ebd…
05-14 06:14:35	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2a1cb0…
05-14 06:13:37	Will the lowest temperature in London be 1°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf441c…
05-14 06:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3e5de8…
05-14 06:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xabc1d2…
05-14 06:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x691d3e…
05-14 06:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a9299…
05-11 05:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9f6d6b…
05-11 05:44:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc0425…
05-11 05:43:05	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf1b812…
05-11 05:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x90085b…
05-11 05:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 7°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x242f0a…
05-11 05:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef4a57…
05-11 05:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa1bb6c…
05-11 05:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbfa22b…
05-11 05:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6df084…
05-11 05:35:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d8999…
05-11 05:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa73b00…
05-11 05:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8252a7…
05-09 06:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2f729f…
05-09 06:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 57°F or below on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9b9fe7…
05-09 06:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8c541c…
05-08 07:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 16°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd3b602…
05-08 07:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1c7faf…
05-08 07:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3aeb8e…
05-07 03:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xed6981…
05-07 03:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9967e7…
05-07 03:24:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb6a166…
04-28 09:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1c9fab…
04-28 09:43:32	Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8dcb86…
04-28 09:41:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdb76a9…
04-24 09:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5d1336…
04-24 08:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on April 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa609ef…
04-24 08:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x6078e8…
04-10 06:10:39	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	309	94¢	$291	0x53672a…
04-09 04:55:29	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	309	94¢	$290	0xd48dca…
03-14 06:47:13	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	198	5¢	$10	0x633dff…
03-13 03:46:47	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$2	0xece94e…
03-13 03:31:31	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	169	5¢	$9	0xaf4867…
03-02 07:56:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xdb54f3…