Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$587

Unrealized P&L

+$342

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

191

Trades

798

lifetime

Volume

$27.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$278

9 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 11-13 00:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Politics

52% 50% -$834

Other

44% 55% +$563

Tech

5% 50% -$298

Sports

0% 0% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	-1,714	-$348	7¢	$-119	+$229	06-13 08:24
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	-1,188	-$119	6¢	$-75	+$43	06-14 22:51
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	+26	$22	90¢	$24	+$1	11-11 19:55
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	+20	$19	94¢	$19	+$0	11-10 20:25
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	+18	$7	70¢	$13	+$5	08-14 18:17
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	Yes	-304	-$74	3¢	$-10	+$63	07-09 06:31
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	+8	$7	89¢	$7	+$0	11-10 20:06
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	+8	$7	83¢	$7	$0	11-10 00:05
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	11-09 18:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will company b be accused of insider trading	7	$2.5K	2,925	1,131	+1,793	No	+$1,083	02-26 11:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$1.4K	941	941	+0	Yes	+$474	03-01 01:41
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$1.2K	790	790	+0	Yes	+$76	03-04 17:30
andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 0 99	5	$1.0K	1,542	1,542	+0	No	-$432	03-07 05:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$888	1,480	1,480	+0	Yes	+$59	06-10 00:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$768	422	422	+0	No	+$61	05-12 12:17
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$709	1,176	571	+604	No	-$115	03-09 03:46
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$700	1,891	1,891	+0	No	-$94	03-09 03:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$673	473	473	+0	No	+$53	03-05 06:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$642	528	528	+0	Yes	+$242	05-09 09:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$639	1,056	0	+1,056	Yes	-$639	04-01 13:24
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	4	$593	652	652	+0	No	+$136	03-04 04:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	7	$542	682	412	+269	Yes	-$58	06-14 22:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$511	345	345	+0	No	+$159	03-28 12:35
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	2	$490	329	329	+0	No	+$128	03-06 15:02
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	2	$489	731	728	+3	Connecticut Huskies	-$5	03-28 12:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$394	218	218	+0	No	+$28	03-03 11:28
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	2	$362	225	225	+0	No	+$69	03-02 16:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$350	254	254	+0	No	+$147	03-28 11:52
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	1	$348	0	1,714	-1,714	open	—	06-13 08:24
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	13	$344	354	177	+177	No	+$10	06-25 20:26
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	1	$341	2,434	0	+2,434	Yes	-$341	02-28 06:22
qatarenergy resumes lng production by march 14	2	$331	210	210	+0	No	+$21	03-05 18:56
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$306	260	260	+0	No	+$102	03-06 14:50
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$301	1,360	0	+1,360	Yes	-$301	02-28 06:21
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	4	$294	370	370	+0	No	-$90	03-28 14:28
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	2	$292	206	206	+0	No	+$115	03-04 04:27
andrew tate of tweets february 27 march 6 2026 100 129	2	$273	191	191	+0	Yes	+$107	03-07 01:16
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by march 15	2	$273	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$78	03-03 00:55
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$273	155	155	+0	No	+$32	03-31 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 00:24:55	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x31183b…
11-13 00:01:13	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x2ff211…
11-12 22:09:48	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc67e6f…
11-12 22:08:27	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc201bc…
11-12 22:08:25	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x6f455e…
11-12 09:45:48	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x79397c…
11-12 04:42:34	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x4c040d…
11-12 04:33:39	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0x36eeb8…
11-12 03:53:19	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfb822c…
11-12 03:53:19	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0xf9b4fe…
11-12 03:53:19	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0xf0e661…
11-11 19:55:28	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x869b45…
11-11 19:21:34	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x5331fc…
11-11 14:01:21	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xdc1e2e…
11-11 12:25:45	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x524641…
11-10 20:25:57	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x60ea43…
11-10 20:06:21	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x5f9055…
11-10 18:30:10	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x1cfa5f…
11-10 14:55:52	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xd29700…
11-10 02:07:55	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xa06287…
11-10 02:07:54	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x1a6fd2…
11-10 01:58:00	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7005ce…
11-10 00:05:40	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x839e5f…
11-09 23:49:25	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xd215ce…
11-09 23:48:25	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xa4b6ad…
11-09 23:48:25	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5e2605…
11-09 22:08:06	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1cb789…
11-09 18:35:28	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7c6de7…
11-09 18:35:28	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1830eb…
11-08 03:49:19	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x18b004…
11-08 03:14:51	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0xc3ead3…
11-08 03:14:49	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	44	40¢	$18	0x023d29…
11-07 23:36:15	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x8c625a…
11-07 23:36:13	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xadd55a…
11-07 23:36:09	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xed4bab…
11-07 23:35:57	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x5493e1…
11-07 23:30:58	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xf0462b…
11-07 23:30:57	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x8f1143…
11-07 23:29:19	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xc39b46…
11-07 23:29:18	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xccad41…
11-07 21:16:15	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xe14514…
11-07 21:16:13	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xaebcf6…
11-07 17:07:27	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0x99c6c4…
11-07 11:31:25	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x47315d…
11-07 11:08:18	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0xb6ea20…
11-06 19:52:01	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x4393b0…
11-06 16:30:46	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x286cc4…
11-06 10:59:15	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x733ca2…
11-06 10:55:49	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x48a0ca…
11-06 07:13:10	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	62	20¢	$12	0xdbdd81…
11-06 02:50:58	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xe3978c…
11-06 02:46:03	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x56411a…
11-06 02:46:03	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x4f7460…
11-05 17:30:03	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0xf7de4c…
11-05 17:28:27	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	36	24¢	$9	0x10a3bb…
11-05 17:25:12	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x0dc45a…
11-05 17:25:10	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xb8defd…
11-05 10:08:46	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd58dd1…
11-05 09:32:40	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xbf94ae…
11-05 09:26:25	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xcce4be…
11-05 09:26:24	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x1aa323…
11-05 06:15:19	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x9cfa46…
11-04 23:19:57	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb6b525…
11-04 19:16:40	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb2a70a…
10-31 11:13:49	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5d79a9…
10-31 09:11:51	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xd8d854…
10-31 00:48:15	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x3c41f2…
10-30 15:30:55	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xdfd261…
10-29 21:48:42	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x73bf99…
10-29 12:46:56	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	17	86¢	$15	0xbe7ea1…
10-28 02:28:41	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x3caf83…
10-28 02:28:41	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x1f55fc…
10-28 02:28:41	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x1c22b4…
10-28 02:28:41	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x001b7f…
10-27 15:30:33	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7e6ad6…
10-27 15:13:09	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xb30fd9…
10-27 09:01:24	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb82de1…
10-26 10:58:08	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x88e78e…
10-26 10:32:11	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xdefb8e…
10-26 08:36:45	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x938d9d…
10-25 08:47:59	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xebb890…
10-25 08:47:59	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x427d17…
08-16 15:10:46	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x5d506d…
08-14 22:02:31	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xbaf00a…
08-14 22:02:27	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x4e82f7…
08-14 22:02:21	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x5d7a0d…
08-14 22:01:01	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0xe90e94…
08-14 19:10:15	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x8a5593…
08-14 19:09:28	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x6c8ce6…
08-14 19:09:27	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x8f82c4…
08-14 19:09:27	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x86ef2c…
08-14 19:09:27	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x26591a…
08-14 19:01:01	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x6ed224…
08-14 18:17:33	Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x60e61c…
08-14 17:10:33	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0x33ee22…
08-14 13:18:57	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xd1ecbc…
08-14 09:29:45	megaquake by august 31 20260729155103111	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x244358…
08-14 01:11:04	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4ae07e…
08-13 23:27:27	Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xbe9bc1…
08-13 20:39:25	Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xa561bc…