Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$108

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$476

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$93

7 positions

First seen

2026-06-09

last 10-31 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

44% 60% -$3

Other

36% 50% +$48

Sports

12% 100% +$69

Crypto

4% 25% -$11

Tech

3% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	+1,000	$50	6¢	$55	+$5	10-31 21:58
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+110	$15	8¢	$9	-$6	07-22 12:37
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	+100	$13	8¢	$8	-$4	07-22 14:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+167	$10	4¢	$8	-$2	10-31 21:51
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	+6	$5	88¢	$5	+$0	10-18 10:18
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	+6	$5	84¢	$5	+$0	10-18 10:17
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	+34	$10	6¢	$2	-$8	07-05 11:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$50	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-31 21:58
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$48	221	141	+80	Yes	+$68	07-05 11:07
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$43	23	23	+0	Yes	+$3	06-23 20:52
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$29	36	36	+0	No	+$9	09-11 21:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$25	227	0	+227	No	-$25	09-15 12:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$25	36	36	+0	open	—	10-31 21:53
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$22	45	45	+0	open	—	07-05 11:04
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	2	$20	171	0	+171	No	-$20	09-14 20:01
Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	2	$16	312	312	+0	open	—	07-05 11:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$16	20	0	+20	Yes	+$4	07-25 22:03
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$15	110	0	+110	open	—	07-22 12:37
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	1	$13	100	0	+100	open	—	07-22 14:43
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$11	34	34	+0	No	+$1	07-05 11:05
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	1	$10	100	0	+100	Yes	+$90	10-11 20:35
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	363	0	+363	No	-$10	06-17 10:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$10	167	0	+167	open	—	10-31 21:51
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	1	$10	22	0	+22	No	-$10	10-13 11:02
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	1	$10	16	0	+16	Yes	+$6	07-07 19:43
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	07-05 11:10
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	1	$10	167	0	+167	No	-$10	08-14 21:18
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	1	$10	31	0	+31	Yes	+$21	07-14 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Up	-$5	09-12 20:01
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	10-18 10:18
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	10-18 10:17
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	1	$5	238	0	+238	No	-$5	08-14 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:20 UTC	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	-$5	06-20 14:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$5	1,667	0	+1,667	No	-$5	06-20 13:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$5	83	0	+83	No	-$5	06-20 13:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:30 UTC	1	$5	29	0	+29	Up	-$5	08-02 17:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 10:45 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	06-17 10:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 21:58:21	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x2cfa42…
10-31 21:53:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	36	42¢	$15	0x0550de…
10-31 21:51:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x31565c…
10-27 20:19:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd50e98…
10-18 10:18:23	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0b99fd…
10-18 10:17:39	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf738a4…
10-13 11:02:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xae4c18…
10-11 20:35:46	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc13045…
09-15 12:06:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0x6f78f8…
09-14 20:01:37	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x738275…
09-12 20:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa2aa63…
09-11 21:41:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	36	53¢	$19	0x8d9404…
08-14 21:18:27	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x6405b0…
08-14 14:35:42	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x32a853…
08-14 14:28:48	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x6f4907…
08-14 14:26:04	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x91e42f…
08-02 17:33:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xb19fdf…
07-25 22:03:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x89efe5…
07-22 14:43:06	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x82b905…
07-22 12:37:48	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	110	14¢	$15	0x28c227…
07-14 21:08:14	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa8dac7…
07-07 19:43:17	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x00d728…
07-05 11:10:46	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x3e99ab…
07-05 11:07:35	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0xd89fc8…
07-05 11:05:31	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	34	17¢	$6	0x247c83…
07-05 11:05:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	81	12¢	$10	0xf16780…
07-05 11:04:49	Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	312	2¢	$6	0xaab74f…
07-05 11:04:28	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	45	26¢	$12	0xe112b0…
07-04 19:40:43	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x4f1ec0…
06-23 20:52:11	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x9dd128…
06-23 20:08:11	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x7d7f3b…
06-22 10:25:08	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xfc9e0e…
06-21 20:10:16	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc2415a…
06-20 14:23:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x972556…
06-20 13:47:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xef16c5…
06-20 13:45:28	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe212d6…
06-20 13:44:29	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x35a7dc…
06-20 13:43:10	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa2fbb2…
06-20 13:38:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x04b783…
06-17 10:46:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4facd1…
06-17 10:43:49	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	363	3¢	$10	0x01fbb1…
06-16 20:14:29	Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	312	3¢	$10	0xe36d10…
06-16 11:54:52	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xeb1d04…
06-16 11:50:18	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	60	14¢	$8	0x69454b…
06-16 11:48:33	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdae9b8…
06-14 18:53:15	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xba04e6…
06-09 20:01:22	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x879dfc…