Fumbling-Meatloaf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$138

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 08-29 04:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

45% 57% +$4

Politics

36% 50% -$5

Tech

19% 67% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+12	$10	83¢	$10	$0	08-02 07:38
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+11	$10	81¢	$9	-$1	08-29 04:20
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+17	$10	8¢	$1	-$9	08-29 04:22
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	05-13 22:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	2	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$5	05-14 16:15
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$13	28	0	+28	No	+$15	06-04 06:38
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	08-29 04:16
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$11	29	0	+29	No	-$11	07-30 21:12
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	08-29 04:22
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	08-29 04:20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	08-02 07:38
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	2	$9	547	547	+0	No	-$1	05-20 04:42
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	2	$7	25	25	+0	No	-$3	07-04 03:04
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	1	$6	22	0	+22	No	-$6	05-18 22:47
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?	1	$5	11	0	+11	Yes	+$6	05-14 14:30
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-30 05:46
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	08-29 04:24
trump approval up or down this week september 4	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	-$5	08-29 04:28
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	07-03 05:37
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	07-01 22:14
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-14 15:05
over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	-$2	07-01 22:12
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-13 22:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 04:28:42	trump approval up or down this week september 4	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf42b2f…
08-29 04:24:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4f730e…
08-29 04:22:19	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc91e4b…
08-29 04:20:46	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x33e8df…
08-29 04:16:34	Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x443262…
08-14 10:49:31	Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6e21fb…
08-02 07:38:11	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x020cdb…
07-30 21:12:00	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x76963b…
07-30 21:10:32	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0xae0a18…
07-04 03:04:43	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x82121c…
07-03 05:37:11	Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0721cd…
07-03 05:36:44	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6c7c4b…
07-01 22:14:35	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x19aaeb…
07-01 22:12:07	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x68bd78…
06-04 06:38:57	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x03106f…
05-30 05:46:18	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x90f9bd…
05-20 04:42:11	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	SELL	547	1¢	$4	0x807178…
05-18 22:57:41	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	547	1¢	$5	0xd7714d…
05-18 22:54:02	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xeb3118…
05-18 22:47:01	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0x7e98e8…
05-14 16:15:25	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xea5a4f…
05-14 15:05:40	Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2dd251…
05-14 14:30:33	Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x30bddb…
05-13 23:03:52	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3906d4…
05-13 22:57:54	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xad9cab…