Tragic-Sector — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$104

Unrealized P&L

+$101

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

Trades

242

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$1.20K

9 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 10-04 06:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Sports

45% 37% +$294

Other

32% 44% -$122

Politics

24% 50% -$276

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	+9,010	$558	5¢	$446	-$112	09-26 16:54
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1,348	$50	18¢	$236	+$186	05-11 18:31
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+557	$156	42¢	$231	+$75	09-17 17:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1,250	$100	8¢	$96	-$4	09-17 16:57
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+2,667	$40	2¢	$52	+$12	05-11 18:31
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1,700	$46	3¢	$45	-$1	09-22 05:30
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+207	$51	20¢	$42	-$9	09-18 16:28
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1,667	$50	2¢	$38	-$12	05-11 18:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+104	$50	16¢	$16	-$34	05-20 03:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	14	$827	1,757	1,757	+0	No	+$227	05-19 21:44
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	3	$803	547	547	+0	Yes	+$203	09-22 05:27
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	19	$723	6,549	1,727	+4,822	No	-$77	05-23 02:52
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	20	$558	9,010	0	+9,010	open	—	09-26 16:54
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$446	249	249	+0	No	+$46	04-01 02:28
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	5	$428	325	318	+6	Yes	+$215	05-04 00:57
Will Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	7	$309	3,464	0	+3,464	open	—	10-01 06:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	5	$280	490	0	+490	Yes	-$280	04-14 08:16
nhl mon car 2026 03 29	3	$275	205	205	+0	Canadiens	+$135	03-29 23:41
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	3	$275	903	0	+903	No	-$275	10-03 04:37
nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy connor mcdavid winner	4	$271	236	236	+0	Yes	+$161	04-11 07:32
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$270	25,443	0	+25,443	Yes	-$270	04-08 01:16
will 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day april 812	3	$254	170	170	+0	Yes	+$54	04-13 00:31
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	2	$249	172	172	+0	Yes	+$49	09-27 10:02
Will Tampa Bay Lightning advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	3	$244	175	174	+1	No	+$105	05-04 00:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	4	$210	546	0	+546	Yes	-$210	04-10 02:43
nhl mon tb 2026 03 31	2	$172	122	122	+0	Canadiens	+$72	04-01 02:01
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?	3	$165	225	225	+0	Yes	-$35	05-20 03:13
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	4	$156	557	0	+557	open	—	09-17 17:37
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	2	$154	125	125	+0	Golden Knights	+$94	05-23 02:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$144	133	130	+3	No	+$44	04-07 20:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$143	1,060	1,020	+40	No	+$43	04-06 18:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$141	312	302	+10	No	+$41	04-07 10:25
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	3	$140	567	0	+567	Yes	-$140	05-04 05:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	4	$140	206	0	+206	No	+$66	04-21 06:36
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	1	$125	0	267	-267	Yes	+$125	05-22 06:41
nhl mon phi 2026 04 14	3	$121	126	126	+0	Flyers	+$41	04-14 23:42
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	3	$120	254	0	+254	No	-$120	05-30 04:20
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	2	$110	365	0	+365	Yes	+$255	05-21 01:03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$100	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	09-17 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 06:52:35	Golden Knights vs. Canucks	Canucks	BUY	130	32¢	$42	0xb083ea…
10-03 04:37:47	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	300	30¢	$90	0xf9c07f…
10-01 20:12:44	Flyers vs. Devils	Flyers	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x9bf825…
10-01 16:06:48	Blues vs. Stars	Blues	BUY	119	36¢	$43	0xf69618…
10-01 12:53:29	Blues vs. Stars	Blues	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x659f0b…
10-01 11:57:11	Blues vs. Stars	Blues	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa1f663…
10-01 06:35:03	Will Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	318	7¢	$22	0xe834e4…
10-01 05:39:12	Blues vs. Avalanche	Blues	BUY	21	36¢	$8	0xc15f27…
10-01 03:38:09	Blues vs. Avalanche	Blues	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x83a9b7…
10-01 02:40:06	Blues vs. Avalanche	Blues	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x8c0b47…
10-01 00:54:51	Blues vs. Avalanche	Blues	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xdd251c…
10-01 00:34:08	Blues vs. Stars	Blues	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc90a93…
09-30 16:38:57	Oilers vs. Canucks	Canucks	BUY	124	36¢	$45	0x8c8a33…
09-30 13:51:53	Oilers vs. Canucks	Canucks	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xd0df20…
09-30 07:05:44	Blues vs. Avalanche	Blues	BUY	93	36¢	$33	0x657281…
09-30 07:04:57	Blackhawks vs. Sabres	Blackhawks	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0xdd92ea…
09-30 07:02:54	Blackhawks vs. Utah	Blackhawks	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0x318dc6…
09-30 06:59:24	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x1cab4b…
09-30 02:03:41	Will Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	323	9¢	$30	0x948390…
09-30 02:02:23	Canucks vs. Oilers	Canucks	BUY	222	27¢	$60	0x2c6cdd…
09-28 06:28:42	Will Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,996	10¢	$200	0x0a16b6…
09-27 10:03:00	Will Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x489826…
09-27 10:02:08	Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	172	87¢	$149	0x22c8f2…
09-27 10:01:36	Will Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	140	7¢	$10	0xb45a7d…
09-27 10:00:15	Will Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	584	7¢	$40	0x516031…
09-26 16:54:56	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe17c72…
09-25 07:51:38	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x06e4df…
09-25 00:48:35	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xd4abc5…
09-24 22:18:53	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x13a244…
09-24 12:21:49	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x0b9756…
09-24 12:19:55	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,857	6¢	$108	0x70a27a…
09-22 17:38:00	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x26314d…
09-22 05:47:54	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x94c918…
09-22 05:32:57	Will Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x732b5d…
09-22 05:30:18	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,700	3¢	$46	0xc52be1…
09-22 05:28:25	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x647c95…
09-22 05:28:24	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xe8b015…
09-22 05:27:07	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	SELL	547	92¢	$503	0x8b8e0e…
09-18 16:28:03	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0x59aca4…
09-17 20:22:24	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3,126	6¢	$188	0x6808a9…
09-17 20:20:51	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	559	6¢	$34	0x528983…
09-17 20:20:39	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	559	6¢	$34	0x5d68d1…
09-17 20:20:34	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	449	6¢	$27	0xed7197…
09-17 20:15:07	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	258	6¢	$15	0x33ff01…
09-17 19:16:30	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,195	8¢	$92	0xb6de75…
09-17 19:16:18	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	105	8¢	$8	0xd77f39…
09-17 19:14:24	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xca9da8…
09-17 19:14:21	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd765c7…
09-17 17:37:52	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	390	24¢	$94	0x67a9aa…
09-17 17:10:22	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	499	6¢	$30	0xc039f2…
09-17 17:05:36	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	180	6¢	$11	0x3d259c…
09-17 17:02:06	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	500	31¢	$155	0xddce49…
09-17 16:59:16	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x412906…
09-17 16:58:52	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x06f145…
09-17 16:57:48	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0xbbccdb…
09-17 16:50:15	Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x8235c7…
05-30 08:12:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xcc885b…
05-30 04:26:07	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7,500	0¢	$30	0x9b3d69…
05-30 04:20:16	Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x37fa9b…
05-30 04:19:51	Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,498	2¢	$30	0x805910…
05-30 00:11:26	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x314d66…
05-28 23:23:48	Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xfc8913…
05-28 00:02:18	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x5e3e5b…
05-24 17:03:26	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7,500	0¢	$30	0x793879…
05-23 02:54:02	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0x49fdb0…
05-23 02:52:26	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,446	19¢	$270	0x1d9948…
05-23 02:51:37	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	107	19¢	$20	0xf0c431…
05-23 02:45:01	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0xd985eb…
05-23 02:44:31	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x8c8a58…
05-23 02:39:32	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0x30b454…
05-23 02:28:52	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	128	19¢	$24	0xcfde81…
05-23 01:17:38	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x6982b4…
05-23 01:01:48	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x349885…
05-23 00:25:36	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x1e8b6e…
05-23 00:19:57	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0xad5c2c…
05-22 06:41:15	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	SELL	267	47¢	$125	0x983fb7…
05-22 00:19:50	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	343	9¢	$30	0xc10b27…
05-21 01:04:46	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	463	11¢	$50	0xe1b3c6…
05-21 01:03:52	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xc89d1a…
05-20 20:50:47	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x261a65…
05-20 20:49:21	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	368	54¢	$200	0xc9d08e…
05-20 03:34:37	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	336	30¢	$100	0x513e3f…
05-20 03:32:18	Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x098412…
05-20 03:29:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xaa0bde…
05-20 03:13:21	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?	No	SELL	225	29¢	$65	0x1d65cf…
05-20 03:11:46	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,006	11¢	$110	0x31816c…
05-19 21:44:16	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	1,264	30¢	$379	0xc23023…
05-19 21:37:35	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xfa41ae…
05-19 21:19:02	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x4241c8…
05-19 19:05:43	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	333	30¢	$100	0x73b771…
05-19 19:05:13	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0x6ecfe8…
05-19 19:03:54	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xe636f3…
05-19 18:57:13	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	27	30¢	$8	0xa041fe…
05-19 18:50:05	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x2b5c21…
05-19 18:31:05	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xebe5f1…
05-19 16:33:12	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	460	11¢	$50	0x846af9…
05-19 02:55:39	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x360bf1…
05-19 02:55:15	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0xad871e…
05-11 18:31:57	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,667	3¢	$50	0xa7f7c4…
05-11 18:31:45	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,348	4¢	$50	0xb6b56b…