Realized P&L
-$10.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.64K
Hit rate
46.8%
Resolved
1,138
Trades
24,104
lifetime
Volume
$1.40M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$19.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 02:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 237 days
Categories
Other
38% 47% -$4,036
Sports
32% 54% -$1,056
Politics
24% 52% -$4,338
Crypto
5% 44% -$852
Tech
2% 48% -$889
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$277
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 440 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -3,038 -$794 96¢ $-2902 -$2,108 06-26 21:42
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +2,765 $2,080 100¢ $2.8K +$678 09-11 01:37
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,607 $2,598 59¢ $2.1K -$453 09-05 00:08
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,607 $1,166 41¢ $1.5K +$297 10-15 05:21
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,082 $1,141 61¢ $1.3K +$139 09-05 05:01
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,529 $1,208 82¢ $1.3K +$46 08-11 14:28
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,082 $990 39¢ $803 -$187 09-09 11:43
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +797 $726 100¢ $796 +$71 08-15 15:09
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +858 $742 90¢ $776 +$34 08-04 23:01
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,828 -$338 16¢ $-630 -$291 08-18 16:36
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes -1,327 -$618 44¢ $-590 +$28 09-10 00:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +666 $426 62¢ $413 -$13 07-02 04:08
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +444 $384 85¢ $377 -$8 08-04 18:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +420 $282 76¢ $321 +$40 10-22 20:24
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +323 $171 98¢ $317 +$146 09-20 02:24
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922 Yes +414 $277 70¢ $288 +$10 08-15 01:19
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,529 $316 18¢ $275 -$41 08-08 21:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +666 $233 38¢ $253 +$20 07-01 19:51
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,322 -$450 6¢ $-253 +$197 05-20 06:29
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +423 $267 55¢ $233 -$34 11-01 02:14
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,604 $339 14¢ $217 -$121 11-01 02:14
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +1,019 $196 16¢ $158 -$38 10-25 10:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +218 $140 64¢ $138 -$2 10-06 17:36
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922 No +414 $198 30¢ $126 -$72 08-13 16:54
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +100 $50 88¢ $88 +$38 09-19 08:54
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +858 $110 10¢ $82 -$27 08-11 19:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +150 $72 48¢ $73 +$1 10-21 23:31
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +444 $102 15¢ $67 -$34 07-31 22:04
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +72 $36 88¢ $63 +$28 05-05 16:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +125 $40 48¢ $59 +$19 10-23 05:49