Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$152

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.5%

Resolved

490

Trades

1,377

lifetime

Volume

$2.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-17 02:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

47% 38% -$53

Crypto

18% 45% -$17

Politics

17% 30% -$9

Sports

17% 35% -$61

Tech

1% 50% -$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	8	$62	41	41	+0	Yes	-$1	01-30 09:54
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	10	$58	81	81	+0	Alcaraz	+$4	02-01 13:34
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	6	$52	51	51	+0	Yes	-$1	01-30 08:59
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	10	$52	34	34	+0	Yes	-$1	01-28 19:55
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	4	$52	36	36	+0	Yes	+$0	01-30 09:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$50	33	33	+0	No	+$1	07-11 20:56
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	12	$48	51	51	+0	Yes	-$2	02-04 16:27
lol jdg tes 2026 02 24	8	$44	44	44	+0	JD Gaming	-$2	02-24 08:01
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	2	$39	22	22	+0	No	+$3	01-30 07:08
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$38	21	21	+0	No	+$1	07-03 13:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	8	$36	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	07-14 13:51
will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	2	$36	24	24	+0	No	$0	01-30 22:50
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	2	$36	24	24	+0	Yes	-$1	01-30 22:06
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$35	1,144	1,000	+144	No	-$5	07-11 23:53
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	3	$29	19	19	+0	No	$0	07-04 02:26
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$29	62	62	+0	No	+$1	07-17 02:39
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	3	$26	25	25	+0	No	-$3	07-04 02:26
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	4	$26	29	29	+0	Seahawks	$0	02-09 01:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	16	$25	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	03-07 11:35
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 4pt5	4	$25	26	26	+0	Seahawks	-$2	02-09 00:41
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	16	$22	347	347	+0	No	-$1	02-01 10:36
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	8	$22	82	82	+0	No	+$0	02-03 20:44
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$21	21	21	+0	Yes	$0	01-25 12:57
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	4	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	02-19 13:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	20	$19	47	47	+0	open	—	07-17 02:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	11	$18	36	36	+0	No	+$0	07-14 11:36
nba sas det 2026 02 23	4	$18	19	19	+0	Spurs	-$2	02-24 00:23
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	14	$18	242	242	+0	Yes	-$1	02-01 13:54
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	12	$18	18	13	+5	Yes	-$2	03-16 18:11
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	12	$17	18	18	+0	No	-$1	03-07 14:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 02:39:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x10b2ac…
07-17 02:39:27	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x0a7817…
07-17 02:39:25	atp bublik halys 2026 07 15	Alexander Bublik	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x7180cf…
07-17 02:39:24	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xa22cff…
07-17 02:39:24	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x446244…
07-17 02:39:22	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xb05662…
07-17 02:39:22	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x9cab02…
07-17 02:39:21	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x134af5…
07-17 02:39:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xe8fe46…
07-17 02:39:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x9ded4d…
07-17 02:39:18	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xb7ed7e…
07-17 02:39:18	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x87ac5a…
07-17 02:39:16	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xd82659…
07-17 02:39:16	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xd4eaa8…
07-17 02:39:15	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x4b5671…
07-17 02:39:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x041cc9…
07-17 02:39:13	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x0da119…
07-17 02:39:12	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x6463a5…
07-17 02:39:12	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x5cf9b7…
07-17 02:39:10	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xc61cf4…
07-17 02:39:09	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x5dcd6b…
07-17 02:39:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x1d9229…
07-17 02:39:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x053193…
07-17 02:30:31	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcabfa0…
07-17 02:30:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xee510f…
07-17 02:30:30	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb82883…
07-17 02:30:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9ce2d2…
07-17 02:30:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa974ba…
07-17 02:30:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb07cce…
07-17 02:18:04	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xe959e6…
07-17 02:00:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdc9532…
07-17 02:00:30	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x65e4d7…
07-17 02:00:28	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe84df9…
07-17 02:00:27	atp bublik halys 2026 07 15	Alexander Bublik	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb5638d…
07-17 02:00:25	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5319c7…
07-17 01:32:08	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xb3fe83…
07-17 01:32:06	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x5e018e…
07-17 01:32:06	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x4dd28e…
07-17 01:32:05	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x2eb351…
07-16 02:32:05	atp kym tsitsip 2026 07 15	Jerome Kym	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xac4c02…
07-16 02:30:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xeadd8d…
07-16 02:30:19	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x135ecc…
07-16 02:26:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xb391bd…
07-16 02:16:05	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x341ccf…
07-16 02:00:22	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd95190…
07-16 02:00:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x529bdf…
07-16 01:55:05	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x9dd8a4…
07-16 01:32:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x10bc65…
07-16 01:31:05	wnba gsv ind 2026 07 15	Golden State Valkyries	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x8da61c…
07-16 01:30:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4ec961…
07-16 01:30:23	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xda1a5e…
07-16 01:30:23	wnba gsv ind 2026 07 15	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc2f5a1…
07-16 01:17:05	wnba gsv ind 2026 07 15	Golden State Valkyries	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x7bcdaa…
07-16 01:15:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xa279be…
07-16 01:00:17	wnba gsv ind 2026 07 15	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1ede3b…
07-16 00:31:05	wnba gsv ind 2026 07 15	Golden State Valkyries	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x85cf04…
07-16 00:30:19	atp kym tsitsip 2026 07 15	Jerome Kym	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2fb60b…
07-16 00:30:19	wnba gsv ind 2026 07 15	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x274e88…
07-16 00:10:05	wnba gsv ind 2026 07 15	Golden State Valkyries	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x10702a…
07-16 00:06:04	atp kym tsitsip 2026 07 15	Jerome Kym	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x72aed6…
07-16 00:00:23	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfad637…
07-16 00:00:22	atp kym tsitsip 2026 07 15	Jerome Kym	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x996f9a…
07-15 23:43:05	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x45229b…
07-15 23:30:23	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf4f660…
07-15 23:30:23	wnba gsv ind 2026 07 15	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4c638c…
07-15 23:20:04	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xf57a00…
07-15 23:00:17	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd95178…
07-15 22:30:22	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x102b06…
07-15 22:00:20	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa14346…
07-15 21:30:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x63895d…
07-15 21:30:17	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0325c1…
07-15 21:11:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xed822b…
07-15 21:03:05	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xe0160d…
07-15 21:00:25	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x90528c…
07-15 21:00:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x434314…
07-15 21:00:23	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2acb50…
07-15 21:00:22	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2ee518…
07-15 20:46:05	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x891a5d…
07-15 20:39:05	Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x2e221e…
07-15 20:34:04	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xc5af6e…
07-15 20:30:23	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfc7023…
07-15 20:30:23	Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x66e623…
07-15 20:30:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0f8ced…
07-15 20:16:05	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x88a0b8…
07-15 20:16:05	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x22ba1f…
07-15 20:09:05	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xff0e81…
07-15 19:59:05	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x752306…
07-15 19:34:04	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x6c39fb…
07-15 19:30:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x22a12b…
07-15 19:30:22	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x926733…
07-15 19:19:04	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x6acff8…
07-15 19:11:04	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x7db1a4…
07-15 17:40:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x54855d…
07-15 16:02:05	wta bondar zidanse 2026 07 15	Anna Bondar	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xd6cd7c…
07-15 16:00:28	wta bondar zidanse 2026 07 15	Anna Bondar	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x34f65c…
07-15 15:35:05	atp rinderk tabur 2026 07 15	Arthur Rinderknech	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0xe7dd18…
07-15 15:31:05	wta bondar zidanse 2026 07 15	Anna Bondar	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xbf5d47…
07-15 15:30:25	wta bondar zidanse 2026 07 15	Anna Bondar	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf4c885…
07-15 15:30:25	atp rinderk tabur 2026 07 15	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc54306…
07-15 14:46:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x5e9def…