Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

Trades

556

lifetime

Volume

$23.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-08 15:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Tech

21% — —

Politics

20% 100% +$4

Sports

12% 100% +$11

Crypto

2% 0% $-1

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	20	$1.6K	1,578	1,578	+0	open	—	07-01 00:50
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.3K	665	665	+0	open	—	06-30 00:22
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	3	$1.1K	592	592	+0	open	—	06-27 04:45
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	5	$1.1K	617	617	+0	open	—	06-27 10:42
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$517	334	334	+0	open	—	02-11 02:03
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$482	439	147	+292	open	—	06-15 19:01
will send help or iron lung gross more on their opening weekend	2	$455	286	286	+0	open	—	02-01 04:42
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the new york knicks	2	$410	229	229	+0	open	—	01-31 21:06
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	4	$407	234	233	+1	open	—	04-25 11:54
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$406	204	204	+0	open	—	01-31 22:29
israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	7	$394	225	225	+0	open	—	06-07 18:58
will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	2	$376	200	200	+0	open	—	07-08 13:50
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	6	$363	270	270	+0	open	—	04-11 23:29
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	29	$360	317	317	+0	open	—	04-12 09:40
us forces seize another oil tanker by february 21 2026	3	$356	219	219	+0	open	—	02-21 06:23
north korea missile launch by february 28 534	4	$328	158	267	-110	open	—	02-24 15:59
another us government shutdown by february 14	3	$328	328	328	+0	open	—	02-04 15:12
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	2	$305	166	166	+0	open	—	03-07 18:45
will axiom be accused of insider trading	4	$295	327	327	+0	open	—	02-26 13:44
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	4	$290	231	140	+91	open	—	04-16 20:29
abnb up or down on april 13 2026	7	$280	364	355	+9	open	—	04-12 13:13
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$264	140	140	+0	open	—	03-03 14:40
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	2	$262	138	138	+0	open	—	03-04 16:03
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	33	$256	660	1,205	-545	open	—	04-12 09:31
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	2	$250	136	136	+0	open	—	03-02 15:55
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	2	$248	130	130	+0	open	—	06-16 01:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$240	147	147	+0	open	—	05-24 05:37
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks	2	$239	141	141	+0	open	—	04-30 23:50
will rob rausch win the traitors us season 4	3	$233	120	120	+0	open	—	02-27 03:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$226	120	120	+0	open	—	04-27 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 15:16:22	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	209	68¢	$142	0x3dde1a…
07-08 14:12:55	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0xb944db…
07-08 14:08:46	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x23f27a…
07-08 13:50:47	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	SELL	200	94¢	$187	0xa3d52e…
07-08 01:04:26	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0x7f8f89…
07-01 00:50:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	295	95¢	$280	0x08eb82…
06-30 22:44:41	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xd06f0f…
06-30 22:35:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	295	68¢	$200	0x2d1d3a…
06-30 22:34:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	742	22¢	$163	0xc83bc7…
06-30 14:09:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	88	89¢	$78	0x20b41d…
06-30 14:03:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x69a0e7…
06-30 14:03:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x66a64e…
06-30 14:03:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x44823c…
06-30 13:57:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xf008e2…
06-30 13:48:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xa7d8a7…
06-30 13:45:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x382cd3…
06-30 13:42:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	48	90¢	$43	0x4e73e2…
06-30 13:42:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	78	90¢	$70	0x98bbc2…
06-30 13:41:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	480	90¢	$431	0x72555a…
06-30 00:22:47	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	665	100¢	$663	0x4ddfb8…
06-29 20:30:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	150	67¢	$101	0xa2b46a…
06-29 20:24:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	150	66¢	$99	0x562eef…
06-29 02:44:37	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0xadc39e…
06-28 22:57:37	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x5b0f4b…
06-27 20:30:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	665	95¢	$632	0x039b62…
06-27 10:42:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	448	90¢	$404	0x299a2a…
06-27 10:41:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	34	90¢	$31	0x5ec0db…
06-27 10:23:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	73	90¢	$66	0x579ac6…
06-27 10:21:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	61	90¢	$55	0x06efc8…
06-27 04:46:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	617	81¢	$500	0xe0f832…
06-27 04:45:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	592	100¢	$592	0x7d4fde…
06-24 14:44:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	98	92¢	$90	0xa48741…
06-24 14:44:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	500	19¢	$95	0xf37633…
06-24 14:28:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	495	92¢	$455	0x06eb6c…
06-24 03:59:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0xc0031a…
06-22 17:50:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x14d726…
06-20 21:09:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xd890a6…
06-19 22:25:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$2	0x41988a…
06-19 20:15:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x738587…
06-18 20:06:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x94613d…
06-18 14:52:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xef6483…
06-17 15:16:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x598098…
06-17 15:15:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xf351cf…
06-17 14:10:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc802ef…
06-16 01:23:24	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	SELL	130	97¢	$127	0xb97639…
06-15 19:27:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	No	BUY	130	93¢	$121	0xa05111…
06-15 19:01:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	147	96¢	$141	0x3a30f6…
06-14 22:30:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	147	70¢	$102	0xa9130f…
06-13 16:46:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	64	60¢	$38	0x7751e3…
06-13 15:23:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x06758c…
06-12 20:45:09	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 12 2026	No	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x461276…
06-12 19:34:48	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 12 2026	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x7840bc…
06-12 16:58:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0x531707…
06-09 03:18:43	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 09	Australia	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0d77b5…
06-07 18:58:42	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	SELL	161	95¢	$153	0x4daba6…
06-07 18:06:49	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4bf0f5…
06-07 17:20:16	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0x590d65…
06-07 16:03:33	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2d2f5a…
06-07 15:42:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	32	67¢	$21	0x97eacb…
06-06 15:27:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x489eca…
06-05 03:58:13	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	BUY	118	80¢	$95	0x74e05d…
06-04 20:54:07	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	BUY	94	80¢	$76	0x0f0ad5…
06-04 19:32:43	israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x5b7987…
06-02 12:58:13	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	86¢	$31	0x9214e8…
06-01 17:22:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x1d2dfc…
06-01 16:27:27	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xe86bdd…
06-01 16:04:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0xc3f4a5…
05-27 18:39:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	90	91¢	$82	0x3465f4…
05-26 16:14:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	71	96¢	$69	0x9c6f22…
05-25 15:00:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	71	84¢	$60	0xf411b1…
05-25 14:59:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	89¢	$80	0x28a8dc…
05-24 05:37:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	147	95¢	$140	0x09822a…
05-20 00:54:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x98393c…
05-14 13:19:39	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	141	24¢	$34	0x816728…
05-13 22:35:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	67	97¢	$65	0x3ea685…
05-10 06:10:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x79effc…
05-10 05:15:27	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	67	71¢	$48	0x8559b7…
05-10 04:22:32	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	69	71¢	$49	0x05e7d7…
05-10 03:48:34	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9fcff6…
05-10 02:55:41	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x1cf880…
05-08 11:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6f8bf4…
05-08 11:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe5e392…
05-07 15:00:59	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	123	90¢	$111	0xe68c0b…
05-05 13:33:52	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xe2e344…
05-04 18:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x188c3d…
05-04 18:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0881f5…
05-02 15:38:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	110	97¢	$107	0x370555…
05-01 12:28:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	110	94¢	$104	0x4e058c…
04-30 23:50:00	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	SELL	141	98¢	$139	0xae1f70…
04-30 03:16:48	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x49d5fd…
04-30 02:58:26	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	19	88¢	$17	0x5320d3…
04-29 22:08:00	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0xa09ae4…
04-29 00:28:00	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xdf7630…
04-27 21:54:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0xfe1a49…
04-27 21:54:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0x91831b…
04-25 12:00:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	90¢	$108	0x3efb6c…
04-25 11:54:20	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	116	93¢	$108	0x11baec…
04-24 13:22:42	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	116	85¢	$99	0x8b538f…
04-24 13:22:06	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	118	84¢	$99	0x8ec4b1…
04-23 13:28:04	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	118	86¢	$101	0x8a49cc…