Wobbly-Cornet-Icebreaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$11.8K

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

367

Trades

3,418

lifetime

Volume

$592.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$173

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-19

last 10-26 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Politics

43% 75% -$40,673

Other

39% 58% +$1,585

Sports

17% 58% +$5,436

Crypto

0% 50% -$109

Tech

0% 100% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+0	-$11,760	92¢	$0	+$11,760	10-25 23:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	32	$155.2K	88,836	88,836	+0	open	—	10-25 23:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	10	$77.5K	159,540	30,503	+129,037	Yes	-$20,802	06-17 03:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$57.0K	32,630	32,630	+0	No	+$8,186	06-01 04:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$41.0K	21,277	21,277	+0	No	+$986	06-06 02:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$34.4K	41,273	41,273	+0	Yes	-$34,313	06-17 03:53
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	17	$20.3K	20,311	0	+20,311	Yes	+$41	09-13 15:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$20.1K	12,734	12,734	+0	No	+$5,157	05-26 23:42
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	10	$19.9K	12,281	12,281	+0	open	—	05-29 02:16
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	165	$16.9K	18,242	0	+18,242	No	+$1,345	09-06 14:53
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	263	$16.6K	20,445	0	+20,445	No	+$3,800	09-12 15:00
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	74	$13.7K	14,230	0	+14,230	No	+$562	09-05 14:59
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	122	$9.5K	10,313	0	+10,313	No	+$776	09-13 13:50
dota2 synaps yes 2026 09 25	40	$7.6K	5,576	5,576	+0	Team Synapse	+$1,582	09-25 19:28
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	5	$5.4K	5,713	441	+5,272	GamerLegion	+$125	10-26 12:30
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	9	$4.6K	4,560	0	+4,560	Yes	+$5	09-06 15:00
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	23	$4.2K	4,226	0	+4,226	Yes	+$4	09-12 15:48
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Level UP - Game 2 Winner	24	$3.6K	2,664	2,664	+0	Level UP	+$434	09-04 20:59
Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger	11	$3.5K	2,101	2,101	+0	Valerio Aboian	+$305	09-03 10:54
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	13	$3.4K	4,011	0	+4,011	No	+$593	09-25 10:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$3.1K	3,214	0	+3,214	No	+$112	05-21 21:50
Plovdiv 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Juan Manuel La Serna	4	$2.7K	1,342	1,342	+0	Juan Manuel La Serna	+$9	09-03 12:35
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$2.1K	1,111	1,111	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	+$110	09-03 05:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$2.1K	1,087	1,087	+0	No	+$62	05-23 23:39
cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04	7	$2.1K	2,325	256	+2,069	Vitality	+$120	10-04 18:56
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	8	$2.0K	1,106	1,106	+0	Yes	+$22	06-11 20:30
dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	2	$2.0K	2,244	0	+2,244	TEAM VISION	+$227	08-22 09:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$2.0K	1,042	1,042	+0	No	+$14	05-24 11:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$2.0K	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	06-11 02:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$2.0K	1,136	1,136	+0	No	+$11	05-24 14:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	5	$2.0K	1,351	1,351	+0	open	—	05-25 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:50:54	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	SELL	109	56¢	$61	0xa1bc6e…
10-26 14:40:06	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x03c5c3…
10-26 12:30:20	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	GamerLegion	BUY	5,272	95¢	$5,000	0x0f319c…
10-26 12:28:33	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	OG	SELL	306	10¢	$30	0xcadb7f…
10-26 12:22:51	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	OG	BUY	306	49¢	$150	0x5a33da…
10-26 12:22:12	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	GamerLegion	SELL	135	54¢	$73	0xe6f00c…
10-26 12:16:26	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	GamerLegion	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x68e1a6…
10-25 23:24:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	44,410	94¢	$41,745	0x49e36a…
10-25 22:01:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	44,410	94¢	$41,745	0x1f2482…
10-24 12:31:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	26,984	94¢	$25,365	0x3579c9…
10-24 12:07:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	638	94¢	$600	0xe6c31b…
10-24 11:34:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0ef6d0…
10-24 11:25:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x97ca45…
10-24 11:11:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,227	94¢	$1,153	0x38369a…
10-24 11:10:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x1d85d2…
10-24 09:36:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0x2502fe…
10-24 09:31:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0xf97bb8…
10-24 09:22:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	93	94¢	$88	0x3f9d78…
10-24 09:11:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x68670e…
10-24 08:39:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	680	94¢	$639	0xa57924…
10-24 08:31:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	319	94¢	$300	0xb86da9…
10-24 08:25:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	800	94¢	$752	0x16c411…
10-24 08:18:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	199	94¢	$187	0xc67832…
10-24 08:15:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10,314	94¢	$9,695	0x3b433a…
10-24 08:14:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x108ea7…
10-24 08:06:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,816	94¢	$2,647	0x4c580a…
10-22 05:10:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	88¢	$13	0xbaf640…
10-21 18:48:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,141	88¢	$1,876	0x2bf9a6…
10-11 16:05:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,600	83¢	$2,158	0x73e998…
10-10 10:03:49	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	2,000	10¢	$190	0x78412f…
10-10 10:03:42	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	SELL	679	47¢	$321	0xa3ff47…
10-07 04:55:56	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	No	BUY	679	74¢	$500	0xa19e8b…
10-07 04:54:56	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2,000	25¢	$495	0x6a1aad…
10-05 18:33:02	dota2 mouz nemiga 2026 10 05 game1	MOUZ	BUY	1,032	97¢	$1,000	0x213228…
10-05 18:32:08	dota2 mouz nemiga 2026 10 05 game1	MOUZ	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x2b57e2…
10-05 18:23:26	dota2 mouz nemiga 2026 10 05 game1	MOUZ	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x98927d…
10-05 12:45:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12,000	83¢	$9,960	0x391221…
10-04 19:37:40	cs2 rustec enjoy 2026 10 04	ex-RUSTEC	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xc62a7b…
10-04 19:18:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x32bfcc…
10-04 19:15:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x58b142…
10-04 19:13:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xb6bcf2…
10-04 18:56:38	cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04	Vitality	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0xc6692d…
10-04 18:43:35	cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04	Vitality	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x5f6fbc…
10-04 18:39:23	cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04	Vitality	BUY	575	87¢	$500	0x737ea5…
10-04 18:37:05	cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04	Vitality	BUY	366	82¢	$300	0x604906…
10-04 18:36:34	cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04	Natus Vincere	SELL	256	20¢	$51	0xc95049…
10-04 18:27:07	cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04	Natus Vincere	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x218a14…
10-04 18:07:14	cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04	Natus Vincere	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x8a2900…
10-04 18:06:07	cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04 game2	Natus Vincere	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x0c9c78…
10-04 12:15:28	lol we bro2 2026 10 04 game2	HANJIN BRION	SELL	182	58¢	$105	0x6e3c06…
10-04 12:10:58	lol we bro2 2026 10 04 game2	HANJIN BRION	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xdaed3a…
10-04 11:40:35	cs2 ts7 prv 2026 10 04	Spirit	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0x3be61f…
10-04 11:31:58	cs2 ts7 prv 2026 10 04	Spirit	BUY	633	79¢	$500	0x5e9bcd…
10-04 11:22:25	cs2 ts7 prv 2026 10 04	Spirit	BUY	549	91¢	$500	0xb7218a…
10-04 10:20:17	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	SELL	1,047	0¢	$2	0x4fc44d…
10-04 10:18:26	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	1,047	2¢	$20	0x69220d…
10-04 10:16:55	f1 bahrain grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 10 04	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xfd7151…
10-04 10:16:14	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	SELL	765	1¢	$9	0x75a571…
10-04 10:12:17	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	223	12¢	$27	0x0b4e32…
10-04 10:11:29	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	SELL	705	4¢	$27	0x68ff22…
10-04 10:04:37	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	355	14¢	$50	0xb2b6fd…
10-04 10:01:34	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	343	15¢	$50	0x8c9b88…
10-04 09:55:55	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	549	18¢	$100	0xc79946…
10-04 09:53:47	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	SELL	1,930	3¢	$56	0x7856d4…
10-04 09:33:34	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	496	10¢	$50	0xd8d31a…
10-04 09:29:17	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x5777aa…
10-04 09:27:28	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0xc5046e…
10-04 08:55:11	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x210008…
10-04 08:52:46	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xac2ec1…
10-04 08:42:13	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xd96dc9…
10-04 07:45:28	Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0xa5284b…
10-04 07:44:07	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xf46733…
10-04 07:39:47	Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	1,015	98¢	$1,000	0xaa6e0b…
10-04 07:34:56	Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xf1656f…
10-03 18:04:06	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x9507f5…
10-02 06:56:30	dota2 iac xe 2026 10 01	Xipto Esports	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x3376c9…
10-02 06:55:14	dota2 iac xe 2026 10 01	Xipto Esports	BUY	272	92¢	$250	0x1b2d96…
10-02 06:53:35	dota2 iac xe 2026 10 01	InterActive Philippines	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x532c01…
10-02 06:53:15	dota2 iac xe 2026 10 01	InterActive Philippines	SELL	128	8¢	$10	0x772e89…
10-02 06:51:12	dota2 iac xe 2026 10 01	InterActive Philippines	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x664dcb…
10-02 06:50:33	dota2 iac xe 2026 10 01	InterActive Philippines	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x052a02…
10-02 06:48:45	dota2 iac xe 2026 10 01	InterActive Philippines	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x75ab21…
10-02 06:48:12	dota2 iac xe 2026 10 01	InterActive Philippines	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xe1f57f…
10-02 06:42:41	dota2 iac xe 2026 10 01	InterActive Philippines	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd8ee33…
10-02 06:41:53	dota2 iac xe 2026 10 01	InterActive Philippines	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa332e9…
09-30 16:49:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	61¢	$3,050	0xd58b58…
09-30 16:26:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	61¢	$3,050	0x6ba735…
09-30 11:56:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	661	55¢	$364	0xb163b1…
09-29 22:52:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,000	56¢	$3,920	0xc13cbb…
09-29 22:51:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb23f89…
09-29 22:45:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,646	56¢	$4,842	0x5769b5…
09-25 19:28:15	dota2 synaps yes 2026 09 25	Team Synapse	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xa6bb89…
09-25 19:27:47	dota2 synaps yes 2026 09 25	Yellow Submarine	SELL	32	29¢	$9	0x18c6cd…
09-25 19:27:35	dota2 synaps yes 2026 09 25	Yellow Submarine	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x032595…
09-25 19:25:12	dota2 synaps yes 2026 09 25	Yellow Submarine	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x00762d…
09-25 19:18:38	dota2 synaps yes 2026 09 25	Team Synapse	SELL	99	91¢	$90	0x996b43…
09-25 19:18:38	dota2 synaps yes 2026 09 25	Team Synapse	SELL	500	91¢	$455	0x13b1c0…
09-25 19:17:27	dota2 synaps yes 2026 09 25	Team Synapse	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x0982b1…
09-25 19:16:23	dota2 synaps yes 2026 09 25	Team Synapse	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xb3aea2…
09-25 19:12:26	dota2 synaps yes 2026 09 25	Team Synapse	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x70b371…