Grateful-Leash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.0%

Resolved

Trades

269

lifetime

Volume

$1.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-16 02:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 25% $-3

Politics

23% — —

Sports

15% 67% +$43

Other

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$265	183	183	+0	open	—	03-01 22:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$62	203	0	+203	open	—	03-01 02:02
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	6	$55	315	315	+0	open	—	01-31 22:12
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	5	$46	205	298	-93	open	—	01-25 22:54
btc updown 5m 1772905500	1	$33	178	0	+178	open	—	03-07 17:50
btc updown 5m 1772920800	1	$31	32	0	+32	open	—	03-07 22:05
btc updown 5m 1772919000	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-07 21:35
btc updown 5m 1773018600	1	$30	87	0	+87	open	—	03-09 01:14
btc updown 5m 1773498900	1	$29	31	0	+31	open	—	03-14 14:39
btc updown 5m 1773498000	2	$29	63	0	+63	open	—	03-14 14:24
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$28	96	0	+96	open	—	01-18 01:36
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$26	400	400	+0	open	—	03-04 18:51
btc updown 5m 1772921700	1	$26	2,349	0	+2,349	open	—	03-07 22:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$25	100	100	+0	open	—	01-21 13:28
btc updown 5m 1772917200	1	$25	102	0	+102	open	—	03-07 21:04
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	3	$24	81	234	-153	open	—	01-11 00:43
us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	1	$24	50	0	+50	open	—	02-28 09:58
btc updown 5m 1773486600	2	$24	61	0	+61	open	—	03-14 11:15
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$23	102	102	+0	open	—	02-03 22:17
btc updown 5m 1773018900	1	$23	92	0	+92	open	—	03-09 01:20
btc updown 5m 1773484800	1	$23	29	0	+29	open	—	03-14 10:44
btc updown 5m 1772918100	1	$21	83	0	+83	open	—	03-07 21:20
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	1	$20	100	0	+100	open	—	01-18 22:39
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	2	$20	154	0	+154	No	$-20	05-10 03:49
super bowl lx overtime	2	$20	200	200	+0	open	—	02-09 02:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$19	0	100	-100	open	—	01-25 20:30
btc updown 5m 1773018000	1	$18	42	0	+42	open	—	03-09 01:03
btc updown 5m 1773889500	1	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	03-19 03:09
bad bunny wears a dress at the super bowl	3	$17	100	100	+0	open	—	02-09 01:33
btc updown 5m 1773491400	1	$16	30	0	+30	open	—	03-14 12:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 02:52:30	btc updown 5m 1781578200	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0a5ed3…
06-15 02:56:04	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x0b52cb…
06-15 02:29:03	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x28dcad…
06-15 01:33:27	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 go the distance	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf3af4f…
06-15 01:32:46	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xeaf42d…
06-11 02:59:13	btc updown 5m 1781146500	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xae768d…
06-11 02:54:07	btc updown 5m 1781146200	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x602953…
06-11 02:39:37	btc updown 5m 1781145300	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe6c39c…
05-23 03:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x924a3d…
05-23 03:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x69657e…
05-23 03:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x7c51e0…
05-23 03:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x0264f8…
05-23 02:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x1f2003…
05-23 02:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7ef15…
05-23 02:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xcf13d4…
05-23 02:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x322444…
05-23 02:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x2a3e07…
05-23 02:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xd7fd19…
05-23 02:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x09d989…
05-23 02:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0033cd…
05-15 11:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd00aef…
05-14 00:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x829ed2…
05-14 00:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x1e0dd0…
05-14 00:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd0d86b…
05-14 00:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x10699f…
05-10 19:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7c27d1…
05-10 04:04:59	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0xd989ae…
05-10 04:02:07	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x123631…
05-10 03:49:07	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xd869b1…
05-10 03:48:58	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xde7c83…
05-08 04:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe2498c…
03-25 01:42:17	btc updown 5m 1774402800	Down	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0xcef4cf…
03-25 01:39:57	btc updown 5m 1774402500	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x83c5c2…
03-25 01:07:45	btc updown 5m 1774400700	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdf2362…
03-22 20:41:47	btc updown 5m 1774212000	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x8f007f…
03-22 20:14:45	btc updown 5m 1774210200	Down	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x9a0eae…
03-22 16:39:29	btc updown 5m 1774197300	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe31abf…
03-22 16:09:33	btc updown 5m 1774195500	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8a9487…
03-22 03:38:19	btc updown 5m 1774150500	Down	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x6a8ef1…
03-21 23:47:25	btc updown 5m 1774136700	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf2ddf4…
03-21 22:59:55	btc updown 5m 1774133700	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0ad4e2…
03-21 14:47:55	btc updown 5m 1774104300	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x048f57…
03-21 14:45:01	btc updown 5m 1774104000	Up	BUY	17	38¢	$7	0xdf4a7e…
03-21 14:44:55	btc updown 5m 1774104000	Down	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xa7ffb3…
03-19 23:43:17	btc updown 5m 1773963600	Down	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x7e390f…
03-19 23:43:17	btc updown 5m 1773963600	Down	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x7b607c…
03-19 23:38:19	btc updown 5m 1773963300	Up	BUY	29	8¢	$2	0x052fc2…
03-19 23:34:23	btc updown 5m 1773963000	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x984e04…
03-19 23:25:03	btc updown 5m 1773962400	Down	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0x7587cd…
03-19 23:24:55	btc updown 5m 1773962400	Down	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x8d7f7f…
03-19 05:24:49	btc updown 5m 1773897600	Down	BUY	16	79¢	$12	0x1baf2b…
03-19 05:19:33	btc updown 5m 1773897300	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x245a93…
03-19 05:09:11	btc updown 5m 1773896700	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7e7ffe…
03-19 03:18:13	btc updown 5m 1773890100	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdbded0…
03-19 03:09:33	btc updown 5m 1773889500	Up	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0x0273e1…
03-19 02:54:59	btc updown 5m 1773888600	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xd9623b…
03-19 00:55:03	btc updown 5m 1773881400	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x06eee3…
03-15 13:08:43	btc updown 5m 1773579900	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8e9fae…
03-14 21:29:43	btc updown 5m 1773523500	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xbbd1b7…
03-14 15:09:59	btc updown 5m 1773500700	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xceb838…
03-14 14:39:55	btc updown 5m 1773498900	Down	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x747516…
03-14 14:24:53	btc updown 5m 1773498000	Up	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x473ae5…
03-14 14:24:31	btc updown 5m 1773498000	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf027d8…
03-14 12:35:05	btc updown 5m 1773491400	Down	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x6d64f3…
03-14 12:03:15	btc updown 5m 1773489600	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x349dae…
03-14 11:15:01	btc updown 5m 1773486600	Down	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x0e6986…
03-14 11:14:57	btc updown 5m 1773486600	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x194d0f…
03-14 11:09:31	btc updown 5m 1773486300	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x4a8c86…
03-14 10:44:57	btc updown 5m 1773484800	Up	BUY	29	77¢	$23	0x9bcd61…
03-13 22:03:09	btc updown 5m 1773439200	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb367c3…
03-09 01:20:01	btc updown 5m 1773018900	Up	BUY	92	25¢	$23	0x404ff6…
03-09 01:14:03	btc updown 5m 1773018600	Down	BUY	87	35¢	$30	0xb0ed6e…
03-09 01:03:19	btc updown 5m 1773018000	Down	BUY	42	44¢	$18	0xa15bdd…
03-09 00:59:39	btc updown 5m 1773017700	Down	BUY	94	4¢	$4	0x1ee54c…
03-09 00:38:47	btc updown 5m 1773016500	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdf6b9f…
03-08 20:30:07	btc updown 5m 1773001500	Up	BUY	970	1¢	$9	0x1a662f…
03-08 19:50:11	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	SELL	143	6¢	$9	0xd409db…
03-07 23:20:05	btc updown 5m 1772925300	Up	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0x6d56dd…
03-07 23:09:15	btc updown 5m 1772924700	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x4fd70a…
03-07 22:40:01	btc updown 5m 1772922900	Down	BUY	82	7¢	$6	0x5e4021…
03-07 22:20:07	btc updown 5m 1772921700	Down	BUY	2,349	1¢	$26	0x5abcbb…
03-07 22:05:01	btc updown 5m 1772920800	Down	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0xac9c21…
03-07 21:35:01	btc updown 5m 1772919000	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x7bcc46…
03-07 21:20:05	btc updown 5m 1772918100	Up	BUY	83	25¢	$21	0xb4d7c7…
03-07 21:14:43	btc updown 5m 1772917800	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x7e866a…
03-07 21:04:57	btc updown 5m 1772917200	Down	BUY	102	25¢	$25	0x549bca…
03-07 17:50:17	btc updown 5m 1772905500	Down	BUY	178	19¢	$33	0x4cdea9…
03-07 17:23:49	btc updown 5m 1772904000	Down	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xd90a66…
03-07 17:23:07	btc updown 5m 1772904000	Down	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0xa09033…
03-07 17:19:57	btc updown 5m 1772903700	Up	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0xa0cdd0…
03-07 16:23:01	btc updown 5m 1772900400	Down	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x8dbec3…
03-07 15:19:39	btc updown 5m 1772896500	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7b2ae6…
03-06 02:44:27	btc updown 5m 1772764800	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x8c4a62…
03-05 02:09:39	btc updown 5m 1772676300	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf7528c…
03-04 18:51:43	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	400	0¢	$0	0xc0f3c7…
03-04 02:27:23	will israel or the us target natanz uranium enrichment facility	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x2aeedd…
03-02 19:57:59	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	136	2¢	$3	0xd76357…
03-02 19:57:49	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x5493b7…
03-02 19:56:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x5b351f…
03-02 19:56:39	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	129	3¢	$4	0x7e26af…