French-Saint — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$247

Unrealized P&L

-$142

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

234

1,521 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$18.2K

$181.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 11-08 05:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

94% 42% -$95

Crypto

6% 36% -$279

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes		+1,419	$144	0¢	$2	-$142	11-08 05:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	3	$17.0K	8,979	8,932	+47	Yes	+$925	04-17 15:40
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	3	$8.9K	8,891	8,467	+424	Yes	+$8,472	04-14 16:01
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	4	$7.9K	5,693	5,587	+107	Yes	+$908	04-07 15:56
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$7.7K	5,795	5,610	+185	Yes	+$3,689	04-28 15:47
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	6	$6.8K	7,031	8,140	-1,110	Yes	-$2,179	05-05 12:59
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	30	$5.9K	8,148	8,148	+0	No	+$568	05-12 06:33
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	27	$5.6K	10,712	4,931	+5,782	Yes	-$154	04-29 20:35
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$4.6K	3,602	3,602	+0	Yes	+$252	05-07 23:57
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	20	$4.4K	11,268	11,268	+0	No	-$320	03-10 04:27
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	3	$4.2K	10,000	9,997	+3	No	-$344	04-15 21:48
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	5	$3.9K	10,411	10,408	+3	No	-$1,572	05-08 06:41
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	6	$3.5K	6,082	6,082	+0	Yes	+$1,771	03-24 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	3	$3.3K	6,238	44	+6,194	No	-$137	05-06 00:11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	14	$3.1K	11,310	12,420	-1,110	No	-$851	05-04 21:08
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$2.9K	3,389	3,389	+0	Yes	+$380	01-29 22:03
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	4	$2.4K	3,220	3,220	+0	Yes	+$257	02-27 07:53
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	2	$2.4K	2,676	2,592	+84	Yes	+$484	04-10 12:33
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 280 299	6	$2.4K	6,465	6,465	+0	No	-$337	03-08 19:51
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	8	$2.2K	11,146	11,146	+0	No	+$843	04-03 03:10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	3	$2.1K	4,380	4,374	+6	No	-$49	05-10 00:09
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$2.1K	6,306	6,306	+0	Yes	-$805	05-10 22:25
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	12	$2.0K	9,545	9,528	+17	No	-$1,985	04-24 15:02
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	4	$2.0K	3,982	3,982	+0	No	-$187	03-26 07:16
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	2	$2.0K	9,241	0	+9,241	No	-$2,000	04-12 22:39
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	70	$2.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$2,000	04-22 14:10
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	4	$2.0K	7,323	8,433	-1,110	No	-$32	05-03 09:12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	6	$1.9K	5,469	5,469	+0	No	-$210	10-01 19:29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$1.9K	3,336	3,219	+117	No	-$63	04-26 15:11
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	4	$1.9K	5,022	5,022	+0	No	-$772	02-27 08:15
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	7	$1.9K	6,331	6,331	+0	Yes	-$144	03-09 16:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 05:35:27	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	1¢	$1	0x0677e4…
11-07 17:51:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	1¢	$2	0x5c8c8f…
11-04 14:38:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	6¢	$10	0xd56699…
11-04 06:21:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,545	9¢	$136	0xafd500…
10-29 02:53:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	186	36¢	$68	0x537eda…
10-28 04:22:19	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	29¢	$54	0x549c08…
10-22 04:13:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	313	3¢	$10	0x8aad5f…
10-21 22:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	3¢	$6	0x11a0e3…
10-21 10:51:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	362	28¢	$102	0x2970c6…
10-21 10:50:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	7¢	$6	0x67f06c…
10-21 10:49:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,177	8¢	$97	0xfe177a…
10-21 10:42:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x23bc3a…
10-20 19:58:41	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	570	20¢	$113	0xd961f5…
10-20 04:21:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	16¢	$4	0x296a37…
10-20 04:20:06	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x33511f…
10-19 04:18:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	5¢	$9	0xa76159…
10-18 23:24:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	4¢	$5	0x6dbfbd…
10-18 15:15:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	5¢	$9	0x2fb307…
10-18 03:19:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	5¢	$9	0xbbf345…
10-17 17:20:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	373	4¢	$14	0x35a8eb…
10-17 17:19:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	10¢	$16	0x4c3982…
10-17 16:31:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x144fba…
10-17 04:18:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	12¢	$19	0x57e1c3…
10-08 15:07:50	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x56070e…
10-08 14:56:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,065	0¢	$6	0xd9f665…
10-08 05:38:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	562	2¢	$9	0x2990d8…
10-07 17:17:29	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xac616a…
10-07 17:16:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,487	13¢	$187	0x0ab167…
10-07 00:11:23	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x10be0e…
10-07 00:10:42	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x128ffc…
10-07 00:07:52	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0x58367a…
10-07 00:06:00	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x5e758b…
10-06 23:56:28	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	95	10¢	$10	0x315b23…
10-06 23:50:59	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0xacbdf0…
10-06 23:48:59	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xcac58d…
10-06 23:43:50	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0x0e8479…
10-06 23:38:08	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0x4c6805…
10-06 23:32:28	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	297	2¢	$7	0xd3fc49…
10-06 23:30:25	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0xeac871…
10-06 23:29:19	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	166	84¢	$139	0x87dee0…
10-06 23:28:16	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0x1a9adc…
10-06 23:23:14	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	151	1¢	$2	0xa7c764…
10-06 23:22:25	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	151	7¢	$10	0xef6d7c…
10-06 23:16:58	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	292	3¢	$10	0x960a63…
10-06 23:11:01	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	144	70¢	$100	0x679851…
10-06 23:07:58	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0xccf07e…
10-06 22:27:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	945	22¢	$213	0x9329a0…
10-06 20:58:14	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	945	26¢	$250	0x90a03d…
10-06 19:04:29	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,126	24¢	$273	0x539c69…
10-06 19:04:29	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	237	17¢	$41	0x4256da…
10-06 14:44:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,363	23¢	$307	0x2ceab6…
10-06 14:41:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,363	24¢	$331	0xa29ce8…
10-06 14:40:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,363	27¢	$366	0xb0aefe…
10-06 14:39:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,595	25¢	$398	0x4788b8…
10-06 09:07:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x412b35…
10-06 08:58:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,583	30¢	$476	0x08ae48…
10-06 08:54:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	800	63¢	$506	0xe9c704…
10-05 20:43:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xfdabe0…
10-05 20:24:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	690	8¢	$54	0x903705…
10-05 20:24:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	59¢	$58	0x05cf24…
10-05 02:18:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	35¢	$35	0xc68102…
10-02 19:05:36	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	763	19¢	$148	0x008163…
10-02 19:02:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	763	19¢	$144	0xac6724…
10-02 19:02:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,744	9¢	$155	0x090cc7…
10-02 16:18:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,744	14¢	$243	0x0bb295…
10-02 16:17:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	912	29¢	$263	0xfa170a…
10-02 04:43:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	912	25¢	$230	0x422ffd…
10-01 20:48:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,326	14¢	$477	0xc4ce49…
10-01 20:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	12¢	$6	0xf86f9b…
10-01 20:14:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,423	25¢	$350	0xd7a6d4…
10-01 19:49:33	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	905	47¢	$421	0x8af57d…
10-01 19:36:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	382	30¢	$114	0xf96da5…
10-01 19:29:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	522	29¢	$151	0x5b75c9…
10-01 19:29:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,341	3¢	$40	0xc04ce7…
10-01 01:43:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,341	26¢	$349	0x3d5cac…
10-01 01:02:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,950	19¢	$375	0xf43eb2…
09-30 02:44:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,950	19¢	$369	0xe787ec…
09-30 02:44:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,412	28¢	$401	0x83d27b…
09-30 01:19:15	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,383	3¢	$42	0xcf32ff…
09-30 01:15:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,412	30¢	$420	0x918d60…
09-30 01:14:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,179	21¢	$454	0xed9b4f…
09-29 22:20:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,430	1¢	$14	0x6bc52a…
09-29 13:59:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,430	1¢	$10	0x0b0a32…
09-29 13:59:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	29¢	$10	0x2ab2e9…
09-29 05:12:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,383	5¢	$66	0xe59fda…
09-29 04:07:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,179	17¢	$362	0xc33518…
09-29 04:07:23	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,986	26¢	$520	0xb94153…
09-29 01:45:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,437	0¢	$5	0x7a9291…
09-29 01:45:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,500	2¢	$32	0x6f291e…
09-29 01:44:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,129	37¢	$421	0x67ef13…
09-28 22:26:08	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	762	64¢	$486	0x32987c…
09-28 04:12:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	421	2¢	$9	0x56689f…
09-28 01:46:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	578	0¢	$2	0xaf8627…
09-26 04:40:20	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	762	33¢	$250	0xb904a4…
09-25 20:39:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xf35080…
09-25 20:16:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	214	2¢	$4	0x3bdeae…
09-25 20:07:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	609	8¢	$49	0xe87efd…
09-25 20:04:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	730	2¢	$15	0x879240…
09-25 20:04:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x73641a…
09-25 20:03:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x7c3efd…