Clear-Gang — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

50.1%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$3.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$80

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-14 14:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

37% 0% $-0

Other

33% 100% +$0

Politics

30% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		+43	$40	94¢	$40	$-0	06-14 14:11
Will Alberta join the US?	No		+41	$40	97¢	$40	+$0	06-03 22:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$438	232	232	+0	Yes	+$0	04-22 20:52
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$438	226	226	+0	open	—	04-25 05:24
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$437	247	247	+0	No	$-0	04-25 22:14
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$436	230	230	+0	open	—	04-22 09:32
Will Alberta join the US?	9	$289	209	168	+41	open	—	06-03 22:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	10	$202	200	200	+0	open	—	06-05 17:30
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	11	$157	194	194	+0	open	—	06-06 21:39
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	4	$153	78	78	+0	open	—	06-03 09:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	5	$153	101	101	+0	open	—	06-12 16:06
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	4	$116	83	40	+43	open	—	06-14 14:11
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	11	$106	170	167	+3	open	—	06-13 16:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$96	103	103	+0	open	—	06-05 04:56
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	7	$88	123	123	+0	open	—	06-07 15:50
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$73	60	60	+0	open	—	06-10 21:28
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$73	40	40	+0	open	—	05-28 07:04
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	4	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	05-16 17:07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	3	$69	56	56	+0	open	—	06-12 23:50
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	6	$59	106	106	+0	open	—	05-25 11:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$18	40	40	+0	open	—	05-26 07:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	1	$17	0	18	-18	open	—	05-22 02:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$16	41	41	+0	open	—	05-29 14:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$14	133	133	+0	open	—	05-17 10:30
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$6	82	82	+0	open	—	05-21 05:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$6	82	82	+0	open	—	05-17 12:34
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	2	$5	41	41	+0	open	—	06-15 15:19
Iran leadership change by June 30?	2	$4	39	39	+0	open	—	06-03 23:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	06-01 08:29
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	41	41	+0	open	—	06-08 23:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 15:19:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	41	6¢	$3	0x63afa4…
06-15 13:56:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	6¢	$3	0x47777a…
06-14 14:11:37	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x17359d…
06-14 09:33:57	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0xf5623a…
06-14 09:33:57	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x05fa22…
06-14 07:30:49	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$41	0x92ef12…
06-13 16:27:07	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x148acf…
06-13 14:58:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0x62700e…
06-13 11:53:27	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	32	84¢	$27	0xd12867…
06-13 11:53:27	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x89072b…
06-13 08:24:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	44	85¢	$38	0xd2133c…
06-13 04:46:09	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x4caa6c…
06-13 03:26:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x6248a6…
06-12 23:50:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0x85b67f…
06-12 23:50:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	61¢	$27	0x8faf48…
06-12 22:37:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0x46683b…
06-12 16:06:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	53	74¢	$39	0x842dee…
06-12 14:07:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	44	76¢	$34	0xf6962e…
06-12 14:06:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xb98663…
06-12 10:20:33	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	68	13¢	$9	0x1eaf7f…
06-12 08:15:37	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x776af1…
06-12 08:15:36	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x49807f…
06-12 08:15:36	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x2353fc…
06-10 21:28:19	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	60	61¢	$37	0x115991…
06-10 11:30:12	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	60	61¢	$37	0x635bc0…
06-10 07:40:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	48	76¢	$36	0x293829…
06-10 05:30:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0x0078a6…
06-08 23:10:46	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0x5e9ed1…
06-08 22:07:51	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x2a6ea3…
06-07 15:50:04	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x5c9deb…
06-07 09:39:21	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xa6f8e1…
06-07 03:39:12	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0x950f39…
06-07 01:18:18	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x711e1f…
06-07 01:18:18	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0x34e21a…
06-06 21:39:01	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	41	19¢	$8	0xe53c40…
06-06 19:38:07	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x5354c1…
06-06 19:38:07	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x2b8685…
06-05 17:30:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0xcf6a5d…
06-05 17:30:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x96a35d…
06-05 15:19:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xeefbd2…
06-05 15:19:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x672f12…
06-05 04:56:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0x4f9aa4…
06-05 04:56:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	23	34¢	$8	0x32d8f2…
06-05 03:00:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xe4a21d…
06-05 03:00:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0x229c8d…
06-03 23:24:46	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x8f112b…
06-03 22:15:55	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0x9d6bc6…
06-03 22:13:51	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x7af16e…
06-03 20:17:00	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x21a062…
06-03 11:58:37	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$2	0x900402…
06-03 10:01:43	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$2	0x686de0…
06-03 09:21:16	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0xbb7cbf…
06-03 07:56:52	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0xeb3cc5…
06-03 03:11:26	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0xc6276e…
06-03 01:18:34	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0xb4998d…
06-02 21:02:18	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	46	82¢	$37	0x553ec3…
06-02 15:15:08	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	46	81¢	$37	0x9ed15b…
06-02 11:34:43	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	31	19¢	$6	0x5e9aff…
06-02 11:34:43	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	52	19¢	$10	0x075079…
06-02 09:17:49	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0xc5648c…
06-02 09:17:49	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	44	19¢	$8	0x269d10…
06-02 05:06:13	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0xe5f8fe…
06-02 02:53:20	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0xe46bc6…
06-01 20:02:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x7eb473…
06-01 20:00:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	46¢	$34	0x8e78cd…
06-01 18:49:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	46¢	$37	0x9ea7ae…
06-01 08:29:14	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x6f31ec…
06-01 01:22:26	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xec903e…
06-01 01:20:59	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x4be56f…
05-31 12:28:54	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xbec261…
05-31 04:06:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0x65ea82…
05-31 04:05:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	27	53¢	$14	0xb5a117…
05-31 02:40:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	67	53¢	$36	0x13ac4e…
05-29 21:25:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x602fbc…
05-29 14:16:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	20¢	$8	0xfba51e…
05-29 11:51:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	20¢	$8	0xb959b0…
05-29 05:01:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	67	56¢	$38	0x5cdac2…
05-29 00:55:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0x53ff5c…
05-29 00:55:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	56¢	$18	0x4f343e…
05-28 22:51:30	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	24	74¢	$18	0xc0671d…
05-28 21:48:43	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0x79e9d2…
05-28 13:31:02	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0xcfbd09…
05-28 11:34:10	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x69276d…
05-28 07:04:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	36	92¢	$33	0xeab173…
05-28 07:04:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0x4ae229…
05-28 04:59:10	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xc8e9de…
05-26 07:22:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0x4d04a8…
05-26 05:41:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	37	22¢	$8	0xf22886…
05-26 05:41:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xb6c11b…
05-25 11:09:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xc14f03…
05-25 11:08:39	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xd1a7ba…
05-22 02:52:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0xd8f872…
05-21 05:10:18	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	82	4¢	$3	0x087def…
05-21 03:49:25	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0xfee4d6…
05-17 12:34:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	82	4¢	$3	0xf49b62…
05-17 11:15:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0x5337f6…
05-17 10:30:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0xfe3e53…
05-17 10:30:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xbfea92…
05-17 10:30:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0x8f7e2c…
05-17 10:30:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0x3b175c…