Mundane-Divider — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$425

Unrealized P&L

-$1.03K

Hit rate

50.1%

Resolved

Trades

331

lifetime

Volume

$40.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$122

Open exposure

$497

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 10-05 10:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

49% 29% -$2,518

Politics

40% 50% +$1,782

Tech

11% 21% +$377

Sports

1% 0% -$65

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	+3,000	$600	14¢	$420	-$180	08-02 14:51
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,500	$90	3¢	$44	-$46	05-07 12:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	+2,258	$825	1¢	$33	-$792	10-03 10:47
will wti dip to 85 in october 2026	Yes	+28	$16	2¢	$1	-$15	09-28 07:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	5	$6.1K	4,938	4,938	+0	open	—	07-20 14:23
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$3.9K	13,045	3,045	+10,000	Yes	+$359	03-30 18:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$3.0K	3,077	0	+3,077	No	+$77	05-28 12:44
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	5	$2.4K	2,748	2,748	+0	No	-$109	03-10 19:51
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	3	$1.8K	1,852	1,852	+0	No	-$184	08-13 06:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?	1	$1.5K	3,593	0	+3,593	No	-$1,500	09-04 08:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3	$1.3K	1,017	1,017	+0	No	-$132	06-14 18:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$1.2K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	09-28 04:56
will iran strike israel on march 10	6	$978	1,230	1,230	+0	Yes	-$122	03-11 12:18
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	11	$919	6,474	6,474	+0	open	—	06-08 08:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	6	$861	1,562	1,562	+0	No	-$139	06-13 17:35
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?	4	$826	1,226	982	+244	No	+$6	07-21 12:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	3	$825	2,258	0	+2,258	open	—	10-03 10:47
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	1	$800	1,615	0	+1,615	No	+$815	05-22 18:27
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	1	$800	1,924	0	+1,924	No	+$1,124	05-22 18:29
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	2	$781	4,232	4,232	+0	open	—	08-27 12:17
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?	8	$691	1,135	1,135	+0	Yes	+$349	08-30 21:04
Iran leadership change by December 31?	1	$600	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	08-02 14:51
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?	5	$575	453	453	+0	Yes	+$311	09-28 07:26
will claude go down 11 times in march	2	$456	429	429	+0	Yes	+$396	03-26 07:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	2	$438	1,143	1,143	+0	No	-$162	06-09 15:10
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by march 13 797 448 955	5	$413	1,271	60	+1,211	No	-$387	03-10 10:45
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$372	277	277	+0	No	+$172	03-29 07:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	2	$362	952	952	+0	open	—	06-14 16:24
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$356	5,584	5,584	+0	open	—	08-27 12:18
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?	3	$353	1,537	768	+768	No	-$267	07-15 00:12
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	13	$315	327	327	+0	Yes	+$255	03-22 08:07
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	1	$300	501	0	+501	No	-$300	03-16 06:52
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by march 13 518 745 483	3	$300	356	0	+356	No	+$56	03-12 14:08
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$294	680	625	+55	No	+$46	03-22 18:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 10:37:07	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x38d6dd…
10-04 11:53:49	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	Yes	BUY	132	36¢	$48	0xdfbfad…
10-03 10:47:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	BUY	2,185	37¢	$800	0x09654b…
10-02 12:46:32	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	Yes	BUY	102	35¢	$36	0x3dd517…
09-28 07:29:06	will wti dip to 80 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x9f3c4f…
09-28 07:28:26	will wti dip to 85 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0f456c…
09-28 07:26:32	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?	Yes	SELL	453	98¢	$443	0xf94761…
09-28 05:01:57	will wti dip to 85 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x01ef81…
09-28 05:00:57	will wti dip to 80 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	52	33¢	$17	0x58f6c2…
09-28 04:56:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,500	15¢	$525	0xb0461d…
09-28 04:54:45	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September?	Yes	SELL	224	0¢	$0	0xc5c50c…
09-08 19:30:40	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	306	4¢	$11	0x4d78f1…
09-05 17:02:55	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?	Yes	BUY	146	21¢	$30	0x27c676…
09-04 08:30:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,389	18¢	$250	0xda7061…
09-04 08:30:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?	Yes	BUY	3,593	42¢	$1,500	0x92e9a4…
09-03 11:53:16	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September?	Yes	BUY	194	5¢	$10	0x4ffe49…
09-03 11:41:03	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?	Yes	BUY	171	35¢	$60	0x20eaef…
08-31 17:17:31	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?	Yes	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x3fd9eb…
08-31 17:11:52	will wti reach 85 in september 2026	No	SELL	600	3¢	$16	0xc8bb9f…
08-30 21:04:46	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?	Yes	SELL	184	73¢	$135	0xbb033a…
08-30 18:36:16	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?	Yes	BUY	45	27¢	$12	0x67b80d…
08-30 18:33:07	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?	Yes	SELL	184	78¢	$144	0xc7096c…
08-30 06:22:19	will wti reach 85 in september 2026	No	BUY	600	10¢	$58	0x6441a2…
08-30 06:13:25	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x9fe124…
08-30 06:08:19	Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August?	Yes	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0x6261c3…
08-29 19:39:28	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?	Yes	SELL	368	47¢	$173	0x08af6b…
08-27 12:18:52	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$4	0xc957f6…
08-27 12:18:30	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,584	3¢	$156	0xbb6b48…
08-27 12:17:40	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,232	9¢	$381	0x1231c5…
08-26 13:55:09	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xec753c…
08-25 09:01:37	Will Claude go down 14+ times in August?	Yes	SELL	286	1¢	$2	0xa78398…
08-21 12:43:06	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	SELL	229	91¢	$209	0xad1864…
08-20 20:21:28	Will Claude go down 14+ times in August?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x8a4bbc…
08-20 20:20:42	Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August?	Yes	BUY	234	21¢	$50	0x84c6e5…
08-20 20:16:28	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?	Yes	SELL	171	13¢	$23	0x42f296…
08-20 20:13:58	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?	Yes	SELL	228	20¢	$45	0xf601db…
08-13 06:31:16	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	926	38¢	$352	0x03a467…
08-11 09:34:00	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	926	50¢	$464	0x1cbc9d…
08-09 13:23:36	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August?	Yes	BUY	182	20¢	$37	0x27ae1e…
08-08 19:00:39	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August?	Yes	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0xff2f3b…
08-08 18:59:24	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	SELL	1,429	7¢	$102	0x700bbc…
08-07 13:43:37	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	229	15¢	$34	0x5f1e85…
08-07 13:39:09	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0x31a64f…
08-04 13:56:56	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	784	7¢	$55	0x3332af…
08-04 13:47:24	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,500	10¢	$150	0x77cb84…
08-04 12:01:05	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?	Yes	BUY	577	18¢	$106	0x2137d2…
08-04 06:38:03	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?	Yes	BUY	335	13¢	$45	0x13226a…
08-02 14:51:20	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,000	20¢	$600	0xf523c1…
08-02 14:50:45	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0x7a97cb…
08-02 14:46:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,500	20¢	$700	0xc579cc…
08-02 14:44:05	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,852	54¢	$1,000	0xeca469…
08-02 14:42:08	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,438	14¢	$200	0xb54875…
07-28 12:25:20	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 28 2026	No	BUY	1,513	1¢	$10	0xf0cb41…
07-28 08:10:03	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2,128	0¢	$10	0xefd57c…
07-28 07:55:07	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x0e4b8d…
07-26 19:15:01	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,112	4¢	$50	0x9f65d6…
07-26 19:13:10	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 28 2026	No	BUY	1,205	8¢	$100	0x47e48b…
07-26 19:11:18	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 28 2026	No	BUY	1,266	8¢	$100	0xe3b1ad…
07-26 18:56:46	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x4fb1a5…
07-26 18:56:09	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,584	4¢	$200	0x5b8957…
07-26 18:55:00	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,232	9¢	$400	0xd9592b…
07-21 12:53:28	US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	924	2¢	$21	0x1b09ce…
07-21 12:51:54	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?	Yes	SELL	244	14¢	$35	0x0b8e62…
07-20 14:23:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	3,704	82¢	$3,037	0xa1cf34…
07-18 04:26:07	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?	Yes	BUY	489	2¢	$10	0x24fd51…
07-18 00:29:25	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0xf8cfc8…
07-18 00:27:49	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?	Yes	BUY	540	37¢	$200	0xac0c3c…
07-18 00:22:12	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?	Yes	SELL	738	52¢	$382	0xa32cef…
07-16 14:05:05	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xe71b71…
07-16 03:43:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x74d081…
07-15 18:05:19	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x1587ce…
07-15 03:36:37	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x2f99b2…
07-15 03:36:13	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	BUY	924	5¢	$50	0xad64af…
07-15 00:12:56	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?	Yes	SELL	768	6¢	$43	0x04454d…
07-13 19:48:32	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?	Yes	BUY	328	3¢	$10	0x311efb…
07-13 02:30:44	will lionel messi score 12 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232542062	Yes	SELL	773	5¢	$39	0x24c7c3…
07-13 02:26:59	Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?	Yes	BUY	738	54¢	$400	0x06ee3d…
07-10 06:05:29	will lionel messi score 12 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232542062	Yes	BUY	773	13¢	$100	0xf354b8…
07-09 21:26:11	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xbab710…
07-09 21:25:25	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	833	3¢	$23	0x9dd030…
07-09 20:46:32	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0xa051f4…
07-09 05:19:58	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in July?	Yes	SELL	1,247	0¢	$4	0x53ea0b…
07-08 07:01:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0xa2d552…
07-07 22:11:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x933c34…
07-07 01:08:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	67	33¢	$22	0x18001f…
07-06 21:44:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xb0cb2f…
07-06 21:10:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0xb706b8…
07-06 21:04:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xa62cb3…
07-06 15:14:10	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in July?	Yes	BUY	134	7¢	$10	0x131b6c…
07-06 04:12:19	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in July?	Yes	BUY	446	2¢	$10	0x5f2b2a…
07-06 04:09:50	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?	Yes	BUY	1,209	25¢	$300	0x53a15b…
07-06 04:07:43	Will Claude go down 0-2 times in July?	Yes	BUY	668	1¢	$10	0x4383d0…
06-29 17:14:38	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?	Yes	SELL	252	6¢	$15	0x903af5…
06-28 18:43:52	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0x2ee53b…
06-28 18:43:29	Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?	Yes	SELL	51	11¢	$5	0x8c9e60…
06-15 07:00:51	Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?	Yes	BUY	196	5¢	$10	0x35b59a…
06-14 18:55:03	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	1,235	38¢	$472	0xc15244…
06-14 18:53:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1,017	59¢	$603	0x5cea57…
06-14 16:26:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	384	61¢	$235	0xc143e0…
06-14 16:24:01	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	952	17¢	$162	0x3f86e0…