Favorite-Fleck — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

92.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

19 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$4.58K

$11.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$604

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 10-17 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

98% 33% -$4

Crypto

2% 60% -$5

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No		+4	$1	88¢	$4	+$3	10-12 17:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$8.9K	4,453	4,453	+0	open	—	08-08 08:26
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$1.3K	667	667	+0	No	-$1	05-21 20:59
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$1000	500	500	+0	No	+$0	05-21 20:59
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	10-12 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$100	104	0	+104	Up	+$4	05-08 18:14
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:25 UTC	1	$25	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	08-08 08:29
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	-$10	10-12 18:00
Will Ron Cannan win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	10-17 16:40
Will Racing Club vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	-$3	05-21 21:00
Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-05-21?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	05-21 21:00
Will CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano end in a draw?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-21 21:00
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	10-12 17:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 16:30 UTC	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	-$1	10-17 16:41
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	1	$1	29	0	+29	No	-$1	07-24 21:21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	-$1	05-08 18:11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	-$1	05-21 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 16:41:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7ef79c…
10-17 16:40:24	Will Ron Cannan win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xac8ecf…
10-12 18:00:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x7eb4f7…
10-12 17:59:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3a5456…
10-12 17:58:20	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x79ba51…
08-08 08:29:22	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6b3231…
08-08 08:26:43	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	4,453	100¢	$4,444	0x519732…
07-24 21:22:15	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	4,453	100¢	$4,444	0x049e60…
07-24 21:21:48	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x066228…
05-21 21:00:24	Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-05-21?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xb3c65b…
05-21 21:00:17	Will Racing Club vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xf250b8…
05-21 21:00:08	Will CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xc43fc0…
05-21 20:59:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa3bec4…
05-21 20:59:33	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xf8e096…
05-21 20:59:26	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	667	100¢	$665	0xcd2704…
05-12 10:00:33	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	667	100¢	$666	0x40bd22…
05-08 18:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x0ae57c…
05-08 18:12:27	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xd5cab0…
05-08 18:11:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x912422…