Novel-Eleventh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.4%

Resolved

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-01 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$1

Sports

25% 100% +$7

Other

20% 20% $-3

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$455	229	229	+0	open	—	02-03 14:18
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	4	$371	186	186	+0	open	—	04-24 08:07
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$246	123	123	+0	open	—	01-25 06:02
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$245	123	123	+0	open	—	01-25 06:21
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$244	124	124	+0	open	—	03-03 09:37
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$244	123	123	+0	open	—	03-03 10:36
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$231	116	116	+0	open	—	02-02 08:04
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$231	116	116	+0	open	—	02-02 08:44
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$224	112	112	+0	open	—	01-25 06:48
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$224	112	112	+0	open	—	03-02 06:19
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$214	107	107	+0	open	—	04-07 04:01
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$214	107	107	+0	open	—	04-07 04:18
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$207	104	104	+0	open	—	03-10 03:15
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$207	104	104	+0	open	—	03-12 07:32
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$207	104	104	+0	open	—	03-12 08:00
Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$206	103	103	+0	open	—	04-11 11:13
Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$206	103	103	+0	open	—	04-11 11:28
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$204	102	102	+0	open	—	02-02 07:20
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$204	102	102	+0	open	—	04-05 04:03
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$204	102	102	+0	No	$-0	04-05 04:22
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	03-27 03:54
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	$-0	03-27 04:40
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$189	95	94	+0	No	$-0	04-26 06:54
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	2	$182	91	91	+0	open	—	04-23 09:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$179	179	0	+179	open	—	05-24 12:39
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$176	176	0	+176	open	—	05-22 12:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	1	$172	172	0	+172	open	—	05-19 05:40
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	1	$171	172	0	+172	open	—	05-23 10:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	1	$169	169	0	+169	open	—	05-20 07:41
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 11 above $295?	1	$161	161	0	+161	open	—	05-15 08:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 09:54:43	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xfdb0d6…
06-01 09:52:53	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	BUY	13	42¢	$6	0x965167…
06-01 09:50:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x2298fe…
05-31 03:37:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xa7c982…
05-28 12:29:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x685761…
05-27 08:10:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xa0a9f5…
05-27 08:07:29	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	NIP	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x3a5d30…
05-26 11:35:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x8f2d6e…
05-26 08:49:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	949	0¢	$5	0x62d1fd…
05-26 08:47:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	940	0¢	$5	0x4f3899…
05-26 08:35:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	898	0¢	$4	0x48cfd4…
05-26 08:26:00	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Avalanche	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xaf9236…
05-24 12:39:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x73f4fe…
05-23 10:13:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	172	100¢	$171	0xac830a…
05-23 10:06:41	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x349424…
05-22 12:24:03	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x5eee05…
05-20 07:41:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x08bb63…
05-20 07:16:22	Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs	ALGO Esports	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xba20c9…
05-19 05:40:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xa6e509…
05-19 05:36:50	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gustavo Heide vs Dan Added	Dan Added	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xa154c7…
05-18 08:52:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x0492fb…
05-18 08:47:53	Cervia: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Cezar Cretu	Buvaysar Gadamauri	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x88cd77…
05-16 04:40:43	Geneva Open, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Nishesh Basavareddy	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x6f5180…
05-15 08:24:48	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 11 above $295?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xfa6239…
05-14 11:52:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xa1c83c…
05-13 07:51:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x619468…
05-11 10:51:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x0b6559…
05-10 08:57:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x4bda39…
05-09 11:14:13	New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xcc759d…
05-07 07:30:25	Francavilla: Jay Clarke vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Nishesh Basavareddy	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xc35f06…
05-06 05:07:32	Wuxi: Andre Ilagan vs Dane Sweeny	Dane Sweeny	BUY	11	67¢	$8	0x6f47f5…
05-03 04:29:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x1ef2e6…
05-01 05:27:00	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa27800…
04-30 08:35:56	Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in April?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xcea34f…
04-28 10:00:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x30d4e5…
04-27 11:10:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xece610…
04-26 07:11:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x800cdb…
04-26 07:06:46	Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xa6ccd0…
04-26 06:54:36	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x42dd48…
04-26 06:17:06	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0xb24b72…
04-25 11:57:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x9a6bb6…
04-24 08:09:26	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x4e88c1…
04-24 08:07:34	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$94	0xe39cc7…
04-24 07:50:58	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0x6148ae…
04-24 07:48:04	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x06b591…
04-23 10:19:22	ethereum above 2000 on april 23	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xd955ed…
04-23 10:16:52	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xd47962…
04-23 09:57:34	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x4eef45…
04-23 09:56:56	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xea47cf…
04-23 09:40:52	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x235760…
04-23 09:37:56	lol sc ijc 2026 04 23	Ici Japon Corp. Esport	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x356454…
04-22 12:12:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xee27f2…
04-21 07:09:20	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xbc49b4…
04-20 04:32:20	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x5e7bb2…
04-20 03:32:38	Madrid Open, Qualification: Dusan Lajovic vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x942183…
04-19 03:56:00	bitcoin above 70k on april 19	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xb4a381…
04-17 08:38:28	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 17	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x84331c…
04-16 11:18:54	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 16	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x9d566f…
04-15 12:32:32	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x4319a0…
04-14 06:48:33	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x7d4e4f…
04-14 05:09:29	atp nakashi cerund 2026 04 14	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	11	52¢	$5	0x7ec2e1…
04-12 06:34:27	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 12	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xb2a987…
04-12 05:54:09	nba uta lal 2026 04 12	Jazz	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3d8b5b…
04-11 11:30:51	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 115 139	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xc8a6a2…
04-11 11:28:23	Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xb47caf…
04-11 11:14:27	Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x21b982…
04-11 11:13:21	Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xa2e063…
04-11 10:08:47	Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xb73811…
04-11 10:03:23	atp jarry rodiono 2026 04 11	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x98502e…
04-09 04:20:19	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 9	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xf1116c…
04-08 05:04:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 8	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xdbfa22…
04-08 05:00:43	atp cobolli blockx 2026 04 08	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x48c9f2…
04-07 04:24:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x6e33d2…
04-07 04:18:55	Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x0ab847…
04-07 04:02:19	Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x7a8d9d…
04-07 04:01:39	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xbd517a…
04-07 03:29:15	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xf2867e…
04-07 03:27:29	nba cha bos 2026 04 07	Celtics	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0xa5a3aa…
04-06 08:25:21	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 6	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x4c4378…
04-05 04:26:39	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 5	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xf76b5a…
04-05 04:22:19	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xc87297…
04-05 04:04:49	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x09f40f…
04-05 04:03:51	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xb95a10…
04-05 03:47:49	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x0da340…
04-05 03:46:19	nba cha min 2026 04 05	Hornets	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x9c3c54…
04-03 05:37:05	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xa8148b…
04-02 10:32:31	bitcoin above 70k on april 2	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x809783…
03-31 05:06:23	ethereum above 2300 on march 31	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xc93664…
03-30 04:52:26	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 30	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xdd8f62…
03-29 10:10:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 29	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x54b9f3…
03-29 10:08:02	khl tra akb 2026 03 29	Ak Bars Kazan	BUY	15	49¢	$8	0xed7a30…
03-28 12:45:05	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcf9200…
03-27 04:45:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 27	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe5ab47…
03-27 04:40:55	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x090a37…
03-27 03:55:53	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x30782b…
03-27 03:54:45	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x381c03…
03-27 03:34:05	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x06605c…
03-26 11:37:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 26	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2d3ac7…
03-25 06:53:37	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9c8108…
03-24 04:01:13	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x194275…