Impossible-Pinto — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

178

Trades

197

lifetime

Volume

$5.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 23:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 98% -$43

Other

35% 100% +$6

Politics

11% 94% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 26-November 1?	No		+24	$24	100¢	$24	+$0	10-31 23:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$99	99	0	+99	No	+$0	07-01 09:16
Will Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	3	$91	91	0	+91	No	+$0	06-06 09:45
will bitcoin reach 66k august 10 16 2026	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	08-16 11:17
will ethereum dip to 1700 july 13 19 2026	1	$75	76	0	+76	No	+$0	07-19 05:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$74	75	0	+75	No	+$0	07-27 11:58
ethereum above 2200 on april 23	1	$71	71	0	+71	Yes	+$0	04-23 11:37
bitcoin above 64k on july 4 2026	1	$66	66	0	+66	No	+$0	07-04 12:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	1	$66	66	0	+66	Yes	+$0	05-18 23:28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	08-11 22:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 20	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	04-20 02:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?	2	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	05-24 07:03
Will "GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	2	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	05-20 18:29
bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	1	$58	59	0	+59	No	+$0	06-24 14:13
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 340 359	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	04-20 02:01
Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?	3	$57	57	0	+57	Yes	+$0	06-01 10:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	1	$56	56	0	+56	Yes	+$0	04-25 05:45
Will Assen Vassilev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	04-20 02:02
bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	1	$51	51	0	+51	Yes	-$51	08-18 23:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?	1	$51	51	0	+51	Yes	+$0	05-26 16:43
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-18 09:13
israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	07-13 15:56
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	09-01 10:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	05-02 20:40
bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	1	$47	47	0	+47	Yes	+$0	07-11 10:34
will analilia mejia win the nj 11 special election	1	$46	47	0	+47	Yes	+$0	04-14 03:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 15?	1	$46	46	0	+46	Yes	+$0	09-14 14:19
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	09-19 20:10
ethereum above 2900 on september 24 2026	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	09-24 08:27
bitcoin above 78k on april 14	2	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	04-14 12:48
bitcoin above 66k on april 21	2	$44	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	04-20 13:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 23:43:42	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xad0a5e…
10-27 12:46:14	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x6bb9ea…
10-27 08:19:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x822d13…
10-21 20:11:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0x7fd344…
10-20 09:43:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd262eb…
10-19 12:51:54	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x14eb82…
10-17 18:33:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x711147…
10-11 16:28:10	Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x336e20…
10-09 22:33:11	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xe7ac41…
10-09 04:49:28	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9d7218…
10-06 04:27:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x37b63e…
10-03 05:00:39	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x67c730…
10-02 16:49:47	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x9e51c3…
09-26 10:27:20	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 21-27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9c2319…
09-26 01:02:42	will bitcoin reach 96k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x80dba7…
09-24 08:27:59	ethereum above 2900 on september 24 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x024d32…
09-23 16:49:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2e3865…
09-19 20:10:56	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xcbb3ef…
09-19 08:58:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7c219c…
09-14 14:19:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x9de656…
09-07 13:03:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x17c76c…
09-06 19:46:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf0af75…
09-03 19:53:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x97156f…
09-01 10:50:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0xb4a78a…
08-30 19:43:34	Will Solana reach $140 in August?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xce884d…
08-27 08:17:51	Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x337f32…
08-26 17:19:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x0075f6…
08-19 15:11:19	ethereum above 2100 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2adc97…
08-18 23:35:51	bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x496e92…
08-16 11:17:39	will bitcoin reach 66k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x60feb3…
08-15 17:22:39	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3898eb…
08-13 01:30:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x700915…
08-11 22:00:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x0e718c…
08-07 05:07:27	will bitcoin dip to 58k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x69db91…
07-31 23:48:42	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd61324…
07-29 13:52:47	bitcoin above 70k on july 30 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4cb109…
07-28 22:58:19	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xd3cdf2…
07-27 11:58:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x62d2e5…
07-26 02:09:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xa3c85f…
07-22 23:41:19	bitcoin above 72k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5e4c20…
07-19 05:12:19	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	76	100¢	$75	0x4552ff…
07-16 12:08:35	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x051775…
07-14 15:11:47	bitcoin above 60k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x8882f3…
07-13 18:17:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xead84b…
07-13 15:56:43	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x20ebbf…
07-12 06:48:23	will ethereum reach 2000 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6412de…
07-11 10:34:43	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x5d140d…
07-11 06:23:19	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xc04c09…
07-10 09:31:23	will bitcoin dip to 52k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x34106d…
07-09 03:32:40	bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc0bcd6…
07-06 09:03:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5bf692…
07-05 11:37:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x0c8a53…
07-04 17:43:53	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc30e72…
07-04 12:52:56	bitcoin above 64k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x9a257d…
07-03 08:21:22	will bitcoin reach 68k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xac5473…
07-02 15:39:20	ethereum above 1400 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc55f5f…
07-02 11:50:49	bitcoin above 56k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc7c6ff…
07-01 09:16:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x84708b…
07-01 07:42:49	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xec4d04…
06-30 14:07:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xef7815…
06-29 18:06:59	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf0103d…
06-24 14:13:17	bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$58	0x3ea853…
06-24 11:28:26	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff2a00…
06-23 03:20:14	ethereum above 1600 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd36c0c…
06-22 02:06:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2b91b9…
06-06 09:45:34	Will Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0f91b2…
06-06 01:13:00	Will Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc0aa9a…
06-05 16:38:07	Will Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x029944…
06-03 10:49:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8a2902…
06-02 23:30:44	Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xce72af…
06-02 08:04:27	Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x54ed0f…
06-02 05:51:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1618bf…
06-01 10:03:32	Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd6ae52…
05-31 17:07:11	Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa40712…
05-31 16:47:00	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x0baeab…
05-30 18:37:46	Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x63b3ec…
05-30 05:47:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc0e541…
05-30 00:34:59	Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8212d6…
05-29 18:25:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xec6731…
05-28 20:50:45	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc0ba7d…
05-28 13:33:45	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x97908e…
05-28 11:34:59	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x958c22…
05-27 19:40:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x977d42…
05-27 04:38:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x029b3a…
05-26 16:59:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0c1732…
05-26 16:43:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x2128c1…
05-26 06:37:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x32835e…
05-25 22:20:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf4feed…
05-25 03:34:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x328885…
05-24 23:05:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xf11f61…
05-24 10:58:53	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf946df…
05-24 07:03:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x29c07a…
05-23 19:46:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x716043…
05-23 05:33:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb4873c…
05-22 15:52:27	Will "AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb3d1dc…
05-22 09:37:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x1663f8…
05-22 04:50:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe95deb…
05-21 21:23:07	Will "AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x37ff1d…
05-21 05:51:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc0967a…
05-20 18:29:11	Will "GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xb6a65a…