French-Hospice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$115

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-31 18:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

44% 0% $-5

Other

39% 50% $-1

Sports

17% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$16	0	17	-17	open	—	07-07 23:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$15	22	0	+22	open	—	05-11 18:20
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$10	17	0	+17	Cavaliers	+$7	05-11 22:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-30 15:59
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 4?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-04 12:21
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-30 15:59
flavio bolsonaro charged or arrested by september 30 20260609144215531	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	06-10 23:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	07-28 15:09
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-22 14:40
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	07-31 18:20
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-22 14:41
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$5	6	0	+6	Thunder	+$1	05-11 18:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	$-5	05-04 12:13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev	1	$5	6	0	+6	Luciano Darderi	$-5	05-11 22:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-09 16:46
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$5	6	0	+6	Spurs	+$1	05-11 22:05
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-22 14:15
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$2	14	0	+14	open	—	08-03 19:16
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	07-28 15:12
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 22:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 19:16:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xbe5026…
07-31 18:20:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xfc8455…
07-28 15:12:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xec4e0c…
07-28 15:09:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5142d7…
07-07 23:46:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xe9af9a…
06-10 23:36:54	flavio bolsonaro charged or arrested by september 30 20260609144215531	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf47519…
06-09 16:46:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x655035…
05-11 22:05:32	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x51038a…
05-11 22:05:06	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x190f7a…
05-11 22:04:15	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0cf725…
05-11 18:21:27	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x97796d…
05-11 18:21:22	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x29d5ec…
05-11 18:20:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x5f8c21…
05-04 12:21:14	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd3511c…
05-04 12:13:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x420965…
04-30 15:59:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xfa96a3…
04-30 15:59:12	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa0f112…
04-23 22:21:14	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x2a938e…
04-22 14:41:28	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa422ff…
04-22 14:40:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xcbcf1a…
04-22 14:17:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8439f4…
04-22 14:15:38	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc04a86…
04-22 14:14:42	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xac97d4…