Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
12.5%
Resolved
3
Trades
912
lifetime
Volume
$1.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$35
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 06-13 17:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
66% 0% $-1
Other
20% 100% +$0
Crypto
14%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +12 $11 91¢ $11 $-0 06-12 20:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $8 99¢ $11 +$3 06-11 19:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +37 $6 24¢ $9 +$3 06-12 13:42
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-15 16:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-11 16:13
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-13 07:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 $0 $-1 06-08 22:41