(anonymous) 0xe1fa53…9e34ba Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$51
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
76.6%
Resolved
426
Trades
502
lifetime
Volume
$2.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$39
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 11-10 01:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
82% 79% +$20
Sports
10% 55% -$13
Politics
5% 57% +$47
Crypto
2% 56% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-08 02:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 11-01 10:16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5 $4 89¢ $4 +$0 11-01 22:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +5 $3 84¢ $4 +$1 11-04 23:35
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? Yes +5 $3 60¢ $3 $0 11-02 09:52
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 13, 2026? No +5 $1 43¢ $2 +$1 11-04 23:35
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $3 42¢ $2 -$1 11-02 10:04
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +13 $1 15¢ $2 +$1 11-08 02:17
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 360m? Yes +12 $1 15¢ $2 +$1 11-08 02:22
Will Carnell Tate have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +5 $2 26¢ $1 -$1 11-04 23:35
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30, 2026? Yes +15 $1 9¢ $1 +$0 11-08 02:20
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +5 $2 26¢ $1 $0 11-08 02:22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? Yes +13 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 11-08 02:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? No +5 $3 22¢ $1 -$2 11-02 09:52
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +10 $1 11¢ $1 $0 11-08 02:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +5 $1 14¢ $1 $0 11-04 23:35
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +5 $1 14¢ $1 -$1 11-02 10:04
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? No +6 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 11-08 02:19
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026? No +18 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-08 02:21
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +13 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-02 09:58
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 $0 11-01 22:41