Arid-Gale 0xe21571…3ba3d9
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$991
Unrealized P&L
-$300
Hit rate
84.9%
Resolved
71
Trades
394
lifetime
Volume
$22.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$2.49K
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 10-30 02:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
61% 68% +$75
Politics
26% 86% +$535
Crypto
7% 100% +$121
Sports
5% 75% +$221
Tech
1% 100% +$39
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,000 $845 82¢ $815 -$30 10-29 06:10
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +450 $315 100¢ $449 +$135 05-20 03:58
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +700 $498 62¢ $430 -$67 10-30 02:42
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +400 $385 98¢ $391 +$6 09-25 23:57
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +300 $120 34¢ $100 -$20 10-18 14:31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +300 $111 32¢ $94 -$16 09-29 13:35
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +300 $111 32¢ $94 -$16 10-01 14:27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +100 $83 80¢ $80 -$4 05-21 06:11
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +34 $19 96¢ $32 +$13 05-21 04:47
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +800 $302 0¢ $2 -$300 09-29 18:04