Realized P&L
-$6.82K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.55K
Hit rate
87.2%
Resolved
256
Trades
3,872
lifetime
Volume
$616.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$159
Open exposure
$19.2K
2 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-15 08:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
67%
87%
-$1,118
Crypto
15%
74%
-$2,661
Politics
12%
56%
-$5,611
Tech
5%
100%
+$2,342
Pop-Culture
0%
88%
+$185
Sports
0%
100%
+$42
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | +17,993 | $10,640 | 96¢ | $17.3K | +$6,669 | 07-15 08:40 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | -2,000 | -$1,820 | 97¢ | $-1938 | -$118 | 06-20 05:29 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 87 | $41.2K | 30,000 | 15,000 | +15,000 | No | +$1,108 | 04-04 01:12 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | 98 | $40.3K | 34,281 | 16,288 | +17,993 | open | — | 07-15 08:40 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 119 | $38.9K | 17,912 | 26,719 | -8,807 | No | +$4,776 | 03-24 04:54 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 31 | $28.5K | 15,000 | 15,000 | +0 | No | +$900 | 05-11 14:01 |
| maduro travels outside venezuela by march 31 | 4 | $25.2K | 25,248 | 0 | +25,248 | Yes | +$32 | 01-03 10:53 |
| will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions octdecjan | 19 | $23.4K | 24,685 | 0 | +24,685 | Yes | +$1,254 | 01-15 13:44 |
| maduro out by january 31 2026 318 | 7 | $22.5K | 22,500 | 0 | +22,500 | Yes | +$45 | 01-03 10:55 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 83 | $22.2K | 28,603 | 29,603 | -1,000 | Yes | -$3,188 | 04-08 23:07 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 32 | $21.1K | 11,000 | 11,000 | +0 | No | +$110 | 03-31 11:31 |
| will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026 | 128 | $16.2K | 11,001 | 11,511 | -510 | Yes | +$808 | 02-25 03:53 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 16:25 UTC | 98 | $12.0K | 6,088 | 6,087 | +0 | Up | +$116 | 02-26 16:29 |
| will han duck soo be sentenced to at least 20 years in prison | 34 | $11.2K | 6,406 | 6,406 | +0 | Yes | +$1,613 | 01-21 06:14 |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | 39 | $11.0K | 6,454 | 6,454 | +0 | open | — | 06-23 17:22 |
| yoon out of custody by march 31 | 46 | $11.0K | 11,057 | 0 | +11,057 | No | +$84 | 03-28 19:52 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | 21 | $10.3K | 5,504 | 5,504 | +0 | No | +$145 | 03-28 05:41 |
| highest temperature in seoul on january 6 5c | 18 | $10.1K | 10,114 | 15 | +10,099 | No | +$51 | 01-06 11:43 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 2 | $10.0K | 0 | 10,000 | -10,000 | No | -$30 | 06-23 22:31 |
| will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026 | 92 | $9.3K | 8,499 | 8,600 | -101 | No | -$5,899 | 02-06 22:46 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 11:35 UTC | 4 | $9.2K | 9,310 | 0 | +9,310 | Down | +$128 | 02-26 11:39 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 04:15 UTC | 56 | $8.7K | 4,396 | 4,396 | +0 | Up | +$65 | 02-27 04:19 |
| trump out as president by march 31 | 28 | $8.5K | 4,275 | 4,275 | +0 | No | +$44 | 03-20 06:14 |
| Will Han Duck-soo be sentenced to prison before 2027? | 6 | $7.8K | 4,000 | 4,000 | +0 | Yes | +$217 | 01-21 04:57 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 12:05 UTC | 6 | $6.0K | 6,116 | 0 | +6,116 | Up | +$122 | 02-27 12:07 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | 14 | $5.9K | 3,000 | 3,000 | +0 | No | +$50 | 03-14 08:29 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison? | 28 | $5.5K | 3,186 | 3,190 | -4 | Yes | +$143 | 01-16 10:47 |
| will the us test a nuclear weapon by december 31 2025 | 1 | $5.3K | 5,266 | 0 | +5,266 | No | +$5 | 01-01 00:35 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time? | 19 | $5.0K | 2,637 | 2,637 | +0 | No | +$90 | 02-18 06:49 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 12:10 UTC | 70 | $4.9K | 5,016 | 0 | +5,016 | Down | +$100 | 02-27 12:12 |
| choo kyung ho in jail by december 31 | 1 | $4.9K | 4,920 | 0 | +4,920 | No | +$5 | 01-01 00:32 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 12:20 UTC | 84 | $4.9K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | Up | +$100 | 02-27 12:24 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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