Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$413

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-21 07:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

85% 0% -$1,166

Politics

12% 43% -$2

Crypto

3% 50% +$781

Sports

1% 0% -$25

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$1.5K	3,744	3,744	+0	open	—	06-11 06:55
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	7	$758	4,473	0	+4,473	No	-$758	06-21 07:26
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$254	290	290	+0	Yes	-$190	01-30 18:05
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$152	1,361	1,111	+250	No	-$59	01-21 07:57
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	3	$148	3,817	3,457	+359	No	-$72	06-05 10:30
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$139	273	273	+0	No	+$19	01-16 16:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$108	72	72	+0	Yes	+$31	02-28 07:11
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$94	50	50	+0	No	+$5	01-16 02:59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$87	870	0	+870	Yes	+$783	01-07 07:26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$51	714	714	+0	Yes	-$49	01-30 12:15
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$15	1,097	0	+1,097	No	-$15	03-08 12:15
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$15	833	0	+833	No	-$15	03-13 08:39
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	1	$10	323	0	+323	No	-$10	06-12 11:14
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	1	$10	1,442	0	+1,442	No	-$10	06-12 11:14
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$10	625	0	+625	No	-$10	03-06 15:03
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	526	0	+526	No	-$10	06-04 11:28
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	119	0	+119	No	-$10	06-04 11:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	556	0	+556	No	-$10	03-18 16:11
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1	$9	266	0	+266	No	-$9	01-30 07:31
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$5	03-18 13:17
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	1	$5	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$5	03-13 06:41
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$5	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$5	03-14 08:22
bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	1	$5	89	0	+89	No	-$5	03-01 07:24
will iran strike uae in march	2	$3	228	228	+0	Yes	$0	03-03 11:02
bitcoin up or down on february 5	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	-$2	02-05 19:07
spx up or down on february 5 2026	1	$2	118	0	+118	Down	-$2	02-05 19:06
will iran strike bahrain in march	2	$0	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	03-03 11:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 07:26:56	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$34	0x6e55a9…
06-17 19:02:10	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	818	18¢	$149	0x4a333c…
06-17 19:02:02	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,000	18¢	$546	0x6dfd2f…
06-17 19:01:16	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x839b13…
06-17 19:00:25	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd09d60…
06-17 18:58:08	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x22fbce…
06-17 18:58:08	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	86	18¢	$15	0x0c6684…
06-12 11:14:40	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0x857378…
06-12 11:14:33	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,442	1¢	$10	0x973ec5…
06-11 06:55:57	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	148	21¢	$30	0x3faccc…
06-11 06:54:30	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	3,596	21¢	$760	0xf455ab…
06-08 07:50:12	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	3,744	20¢	$750	0x962349…
06-05 10:30:40	Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	359	3¢	$10	0x72b484…
06-04 11:28:43	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	119	8¢	$10	0x862b7d…
06-04 11:28:25	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x31d38f…
06-04 07:03:42	Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,457	1¢	$38	0xb6736d…
06-02 08:08:03	Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,457	3¢	$100	0x10e77c…
03-18 16:11:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	556	2¢	$10	0x277aef…
03-18 13:17:51	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xbebe66…
03-14 08:22:49	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xce282b…
03-13 08:39:11	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	833	2¢	$15	0xb407c3…
03-13 06:41:37	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xc43b73…
03-08 12:15:23	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1,097	1¢	$15	0xb3db9e…
03-06 15:03:03	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x61229c…
03-03 11:02:31	will iran strike bahrain in march	No	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x132b8f…
03-03 11:02:25	will iran strike uae in march	No	SELL	228	0¢	$1	0xa9bc3a…
03-03 11:01:13	will iran strike bahrain in march	No	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x5c57be…
03-03 11:01:07	will iran strike uae in march	No	BUY	228	1¢	$2	0xbc2a71…
03-01 07:24:33	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x8d3ff0…
02-28 07:11:35	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	72	96¢	$69	0xff66d2…
02-05 19:07:19	bitcoin up or down on february 5	Up	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x704dca…
02-05 19:06:59	spx up or down on february 5 2026	Up	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x40f586…
01-30 18:05:54	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	290	11¢	$32	0x559701…
01-30 12:15:16	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	714	0¢	$1	0x334d8f…
01-30 07:31:46	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	266	3¢	$9	0xcb953f…
01-30 07:31:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x41c16e…
01-23 19:49:10	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	72	53¢	$38	0x88a10d…
01-21 07:57:20	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$6	0xeda86a…
01-17 10:24:08	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	220	77¢	$169	0x99249e…
01-16 16:47:16	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	SELL	273	29¢	$79	0x50987b…
01-16 06:33:06	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	70	75¢	$53	0x9525af…
01-16 02:59:16	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd681cb…
01-15 06:32:14	us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x12e20a…
01-14 14:22:14	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,111	4¢	$47	0x78602c…
01-07 07:26:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	870	10¢	$87	0x96cfe8…
01-07 06:53:13	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	BUY	273	22¢	$60	0x0292fa…
01-05 18:02:53	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xb0c75e…