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Realized P&L (7d)
-$342
Unrealized P&L
+$100
Hit rate
47.0%
Resolved (7d)
109
Trades (7d)
263
2,640 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.08K
$36.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$1.47K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-01
last 11-08 01:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
97% 43% -$1,852
Tech
3% 0% -$30
Politics
0% — —
Crypto
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 291 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No +90 $44 82¢ $74 +$29 10-04 17:38
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO? No +76 $59 84¢ $64 +$4 11-06 04:44
Will Anthropic sell between 4% and 5% of its shares in its IPO? No +91 $68 69¢ $63 -$6 11-07 20:13
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +95 $52 64¢ $61 +$9 11-07 21:23
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? No +62 $45 96¢ $59 +$14 10-05 18:50
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026? No +79 $61 72¢ $57 -$4 10-24 06:49
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? Yes +136 $71 42¢ $57 -$14 11-02 08:30
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026? No +108 $66 49¢ $53 -$13 10-31 09:39
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0.5% and 1%? No +78 $52 68¢ $53 +$0 11-04 03:24
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026? Yes +98 $52 51¢ $50 -$2 11-05 04:24
Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings? Yes +76 $55 66¢ $50 -$5 11-07 12:34
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026? No +53 $42 94¢ $50 +$8 11-05 03:37
Will Anthropic IPO on November 24, 2026? No +52 $46 96¢ $49 +$3 10-28 03:38
Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) in November? No +52 $41 94¢ $48 +$8 11-04 04:48
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027? Yes +86 $36 55¢ $48 +$12 10-23 07:03
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +58 $30 76¢ $45 +$15 10-13 15:27
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? Yes +61 $10 72¢ $44 +$34 11-03 03:48
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027? No +52 $49 84¢ $44 -$5 10-25 05:36
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026? No +65 $51 68¢ $44 -$7 11-07 15:02
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027? No +51 $43 85¢ $44 +$1 10-31 08:12
salesforce q3 current rpo growth cc 14 to 15 No +60 $46 72¢ $43 -$3 10-17 16:48
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +52 $36 84¢ $43 +$8 11-01 20:06
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026? No +83 $63 51¢ $42 -$20 11-01 17:37
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? No +50 $28 84¢ $42 +$14 10-31 23:12
Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO? No +52 $39 80¢ $42 +$2 11-07 19:24
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T? No +74 $52 55¢ $40 -$11 11-07 03:44
Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026? No +52 $39 78¢ $40 +$1 10-31 09:35
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026? Yes +63 $20 63¢ $40 +$19 10-30 07:16
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO? No +50 $31 78¢ $39 +$9 11-07 10:33
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be below 0%? No +44 $38 89¢ $39 +$1 10-28 02:39