Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.39K

Unrealized P&L

-$8.91K

Hit rate

19.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,765

lifetime

Volume

$123.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

$3.78K

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 10-21 23:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

53% 16% -$6,418

Politics

47% 6% +$5,038

Crypto

0% 69% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+73,282	$10,559	4¢	$3.1K	-$7,445	09-17 01:32
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+74,737	$1,851	1¢	$561	-$1,290	10-21 21:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+5,884	$288	2¢	$109	-$179	10-21 23:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	77	$42.7K	126,165	126,165	+0	open	—	09-28 17:27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	160	$28.4K	113,564	40,282	+73,282	open	—	09-17 01:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	25	$8.2K	60,000	60,000	+0	No	-$230	07-11 22:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	28	$6.3K	50,593	27,047	+23,546	No	-$1,437	09-23 11:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	32	$5.1K	99,827	65,209	+34,617	No	+$560	08-25 09:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	82	$4.8K	21,209	13,967	+7,243	Yes	-$755	09-20 07:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$2.2K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$320	08-25 21:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	21	$2.2K	63,335	59,235	+4,100	No	-$232	09-20 18:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$1.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$50	09-14 11:58
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	98	$1.9K	78,106	3,369	+74,737	open	—	10-21 21:30
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	7	$1.9K	65,565	50,894	+14,672	No	-$437	07-11 15:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	16	$1.8K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	09-10 14:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	42	$1.3K	19,498	19,498	+0	Yes	-$569	10-18 00:11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	154	$1.3K	94,931	0	+94,931	No	-$1,304	09-14 14:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	19	$1.2K	116,667	116,667	+0	No	+$171	09-03 14:56
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	149	$1.1K	257,462	1,778	+255,684	No	-$1,031	09-30 18:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	17	$1.1K	22,427	1,375	+21,052	No	-$996	09-20 19:33
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	75	$1.1K	39,103	0	+39,103	No	-$1,059	08-19 17:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	86	$1.1K	110,307	0	+110,307	No	-$1,056	09-07 19:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	78	$1000	11,270	11,270	+0	Yes	-$468	10-21 17:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	15	$836	17,268	17,267	+1	Yes	-$465	10-17 12:14
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	77	$794	46,965	10,000	+36,965	No	-$554	07-27 18:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	27	$784	12,345	0	+12,345	Yes	+$11,561	06-10 19:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	5	$780	4,276	4,276	+0	open	—	10-21 12:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	17	$717	120,224	0	+120,224	No	-$717	09-04 11:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	71	$592	8,941	233	+8,708	No	-$525	09-14 22:35
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?	23	$502	33,785	0	+33,785	No	-$502	08-02 02:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	28	$324	36,031	0	+36,031	Yes	-$324	09-20 20:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	12	$288	5,884	0	+5,884	open	—	10-21 23:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	67	$214	9,872	10,000	-128	No	-$194	06-08 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 23:17:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$15	0xcbc31b…
10-21 21:30:08	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,020	1¢	$12	0x182028…
10-21 21:01:02	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,980	1¢	$18	0xc8b2e6…
10-21 19:15:30	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$30	0xd280e1…
10-21 17:23:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	9,247	2¢	$197	0x5f4e70…
10-21 16:09:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	68	3¢	$2	0xa4173a…
10-21 16:09:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0xd02cc8…
10-21 16:05:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x695914…
10-21 16:03:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	1,901	3¢	$65	0x40c078…
10-21 14:50:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xb3739b…
10-21 12:24:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,092	2¢	$17	0x7fef9e…
10-20 15:34:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	73	6¢	$5	0xa7d007…
10-20 15:03:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	62	6¢	$4	0x4d2351…
10-20 14:45:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xeaaa41…
10-20 14:42:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	70	6¢	$5	0x5b6155…
10-20 14:39:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x031489…
10-20 14:33:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x5520be…
10-20 13:41:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	65	7¢	$4	0x8538af…
10-20 13:41:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xabdd95…
10-20 13:24:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	135	7¢	$9	0x9f4d7e…
10-20 13:19:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x188150…
10-20 13:18:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0xdfa059…
10-20 13:13:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	94	7¢	$7	0xb77a82…
10-20 12:48:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc8f3c2…
10-20 12:47:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x3739bf…
10-20 12:47:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x32e125…
10-20 12:42:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x934467…
10-20 11:31:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	439	7¢	$31	0xf7a0af…
10-20 11:28:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x0db58a…
10-20 11:27:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x448691…
10-20 11:27:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	468	7¢	$34	0xce47e8…
10-20 11:26:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x946f27…
10-20 11:26:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	267	7¢	$19	0x2dd02b…
10-20 11:25:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x81d1a0…
10-20 11:24:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	227	7¢	$17	0xafbe7a…
10-20 09:33:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	177	7¢	$13	0xfaff73…
10-20 05:21:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x9976c0…
10-20 05:20:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$15	0x00ce18…
10-20 05:08:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	95	7¢	$7	0xdac888…
10-20 05:08:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	500	8¢	$38	0xa18c4a…
10-20 01:41:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	65	7¢	$5	0xf1e015…
10-19 16:35:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	3,184	3¢	$96	0xd3406c…
10-19 15:51:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1,124	9¢	$100	0x771e8a…
10-19 15:22:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	405	5¢	$21	0x5d9d32…
10-18 10:22:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	267	5¢	$13	0x294f1a…
10-18 10:20:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	211	5¢	$11	0x97723a…
10-18 09:48:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7e1cca…
10-18 09:48:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0xcab32c…
10-18 09:37:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x0923cf…
10-18 09:29:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9bb8cb…
10-18 09:26:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	158	5¢	$8	0x2888dc…
10-18 09:06:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x303313…
10-18 08:55:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x6f80af…
10-18 08:53:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xa4a244…
10-18 08:52:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x21ef83…
10-18 08:51:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x047919…
10-18 08:51:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x41ce8b…
10-18 08:51:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x07ebda…
10-18 08:51:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x773ed4…
10-18 08:51:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xa57724…
10-18 08:51:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xa53e76…
10-18 08:34:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xae8059…
10-18 07:41:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1,562	6¢	$94	0x430d4d…
10-18 07:38:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x6895d0…
10-18 07:29:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xa464d6…
10-18 07:27:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x961da5…
10-18 07:24:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xf74e8f…
10-18 07:20:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x2f56c1…
10-18 07:18:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x319577…
10-18 07:14:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x021233…
10-18 07:10:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x449457…
10-18 07:00:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x7055cd…
10-18 06:50:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xce6dd7…
10-18 06:45:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	66	6¢	$4	0xd69b8a…
10-18 03:58:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	788	7¢	$55	0xe7589f…
10-18 03:39:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0x953d43…
10-18 03:09:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x433e21…
10-18 03:09:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	333	7¢	$23	0xa71ce9…
10-18 03:07:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	253	7¢	$18	0x8eed46…
10-18 00:11:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	SELL	19,498	2¢	$388	0x427d82…
10-17 12:14:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	SELL	17,267	1¢	$185	0x40463c…
10-17 11:39:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	900	4¢	$34	0x2f2ea9…
10-17 11:18:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xc67b3f…
10-17 11:16:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x73ae4a…
10-17 11:12:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	339	4¢	$13	0xb26f90…
10-17 09:04:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	696	4¢	$28	0x71bc15…
10-17 08:32:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	184	4¢	$7	0x2078ed…
10-17 08:01:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	870	4¢	$36	0x5794bc…
10-17 07:27:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	500	4¢	$21	0x69c99e…
10-17 07:25:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	236	4¢	$10	0xa6f3ee…
10-17 07:22:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x9b49cb…
10-17 07:21:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xd22bcb…
10-17 07:21:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x56e979…
10-17 07:21:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	837	4¢	$38	0x56bd30…
10-17 07:20:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x4ceab8…
10-17 07:20:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xce7b50…
10-17 07:16:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x6e176d…
10-17 07:07:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4cfa94…
10-17 06:45:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x646b2c…
10-17 06:32:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	480	5¢	$22	0x4ae875…