Bewitched-Marimba — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.66K

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

Trades

426

lifetime

Volume

$56.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$132

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-03

last 11-04 02:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Sports

44% 56% +$519

Politics

37% 38% -$3,069

Other

19% 62% -$111

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No		-265	-$26	0¢	$-0	+$25	09-26 09:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	27	$5.3K	3,613	3,613	+0	No	+$144	11-04 01:41
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	35	$4.2K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$133	07-11 22:18
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	21	$4.1K	4,236	666	+3,570	Yes	-$119	05-24 17:04
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	9	$2.9K	3,569	0	+3,569	Yes	+$665	10-30 05:21
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	25	$2.4K	1,943	1,943	+0	Yes	+$80	10-04 09:45
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	14	$2.2K	5,561	5,561	+0	No	-$1,039	11-04 01:09
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	9	$2.1K	1,061	1,327	-265	open	—	10-31 12:58
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$1.9K	3,220	2,000	+1,220	Yes	-$343	10-25 23:25
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$1.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$330	06-24 17:47
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	4	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$112	06-14 14:27
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$2	07-10 11:49
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	9	$1.6K	1,863	1,863	+0	Yes	-$1,191	11-04 02:13
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	6	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-19 16:49
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	6	$1.4K	1,385	0	+1,385	Yes	+$10	05-17 02:01
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$1.4K	2,440	2,440	+0	Yes	+$49	11-02 03:40
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	6	$1.2K	4,222	4,222	+0	open	—	11-04 01:14
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	9	$1.1K	659	659	+0	Yes	+$28	10-11 12:49
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	56	$1.1K	30,000	30,000	+0	No	+$0	06-12 02:45
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.1K	1,406	1,311	+95	Yes	-$917	05-30 11:27
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?	3	$1.0K	1,009	0	+1,009	Yes	+$6	05-22 10:15
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	1	$988	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$12	07-02 01:53
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	13	$975	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	+$525	10-26 16:46
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	3	$828	1,882	1,882	+0	No	-$339	11-04 01:12
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	14	$828	1,882	1,882	+0	Yes	-$301	11-04 01:12
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?	6	$810	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$190	05-03 18:33
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	3	$750	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$470	11-04 01:12
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	3	$734	0	1,708	-1,708	No	+$734	05-24 19:56
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	4	$734	768	0	+768	Yes	+$34	05-30 04:37
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$700	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$300	06-16 20:23
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	7	$665	773	533	+240	Yes	-$134	11-04 02:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 02:35:40	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	90¢	$216	0xe7e49b…
11-04 02:13:34	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	464	11¢	$51	0xae0b5b…
11-04 02:13:27	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	120	11¢	$13	0xff75ee…
11-04 02:13:27	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x8fe23a…
11-04 02:13:25	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	59	11¢	$6	0xac21c3…
11-04 02:13:22	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	698	11¢	$77	0x7e1509…
11-04 02:13:22	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	500	11¢	$55	0x39f564…
11-04 02:11:57	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x2feeef…
11-04 01:42:19	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,782	75¢	$1,336	0x346792…
11-04 01:42:19	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	81	75¢	$60	0x2b9d27…
11-04 01:41:45	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,810	77¢	$1,394	0x8a7bb4…
11-04 01:38:30	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	74¢	$59	0x96ed75…
11-04 01:38:30	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	301	74¢	$223	0x78af90…
11-04 01:38:30	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	74¢	$178	0x762e3d…
11-04 01:38:30	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	74¢	$59	0x6bb35b…
11-04 01:38:30	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	74¢	$740	0x150ef3…
11-04 01:38:30	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x06318c…
11-04 01:38:21	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0xce294c…
11-04 01:38:21	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xaa8542…
11-04 01:38:21	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x6f2154…
11-04 01:36:22	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	688	75¢	$516	0x3e7a78…
11-04 01:35:04	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	281	75¢	$211	0xcdd38c…
11-04 01:35:03	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	670	75¢	$503	0x3105c6…
11-04 01:34:19	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	165	75¢	$123	0xadc7f7…
11-04 01:32:34	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	70¢	$56	0xe284ec…
11-04 01:32:34	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	70¢	$221	0xe17194…
11-04 01:32:34	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	70¢	$99	0xd5478f…
11-04 01:32:34	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	70¢	$56	0x72db98…
11-04 01:32:34	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0x07882e…
11-04 01:32:28	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0x8419ce…
11-04 01:29:40	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xef8a43…
11-04 01:25:43	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	743	70¢	$520	0x9a63ae…
11-04 01:25:43	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x761127…
11-04 01:25:40	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x8ec0df…
11-04 01:25:39	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	70¢	$66	0xce44bd…
11-04 01:25:36	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x9d5b1f…
11-04 01:25:36	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0x3378c6…
11-04 01:20:54	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x23766d…
11-04 01:14:48	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	1,351	3¢	$36	0xa18095…
11-04 01:14:30	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	58	27¢	$16	0xdb943b…
11-04 01:14:03	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	556	3¢	$15	0xf291cc…
11-04 01:13:43	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x49bbc2…
11-04 01:13:43	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$5	0x37ac1c…
11-04 01:13:24	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	236	28¢	$66	0xbc8704…
11-04 01:13:13	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	264	28¢	$74	0x2c238e…
11-04 01:12:49	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,858	13¢	$242	0xef760e…
11-04 01:12:49	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1,415	14¢	$198	0x964758…
11-04 01:12:43	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	450	28¢	$126	0x5e6b21…
11-04 01:12:34	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	971	14¢	$136	0x699a09…
11-04 01:12:34	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0x5c3abe…
11-04 01:12:18	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	13¢	$3	0x53d4e1…
11-04 01:12:12	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	124	14¢	$17	0xe19ec9…
11-04 01:12:12	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	90	14¢	$13	0x3bb10d…
11-04 01:12:10	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	253	14¢	$35	0x091e82…
11-04 01:09:25	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,561	6¢	$274	0x0999a3…
11-04 00:15:57	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	93¢	$298	0xaa0541…
11-04 00:03:21	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2,111	12¢	$253	0xfd99b8…
11-02 16:44:42	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	4,222	22¢	$929	0x53db62…
11-02 03:40:45	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2,440	29¢	$708	0x7acd12…
11-02 01:15:37	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	57¢	$285	0x37bb02…
11-01 19:11:58	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,561	29¢	$1,323	0xbbbd03…
11-01 17:08:54	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x9e0aaa…
11-01 17:08:54	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x90a126…
11-01 17:08:54	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x6826e4…
11-01 17:08:51	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x88eae5…
11-01 17:08:13	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,882	31¢	$583	0x11cfd7…
11-01 17:07:54	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	305	30¢	$92	0x5b2e8f…
11-01 17:07:40	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xf0630f…
11-01 17:07:36	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x9729fb…
11-01 17:07:36	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x3e66df…
11-01 17:07:36	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x339430…
11-01 17:07:09	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	498	30¢	$149	0xdba33e…
11-01 11:13:24	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	2,440	27¢	$659	0x6069a5…
11-01 06:37:19	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	58¢	$38	0x4d6c6c…
10-31 13:06:12	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	351	50¢	$175	0x2a1758…
10-31 13:06:12	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0x0e5d22…
10-31 13:06:10	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	411	50¢	$205	0x489843…
10-31 12:58:16	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	247	100¢	$246	0x66408f…
10-30 05:21:16	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	961	98¢	$943	0x768c94…
10-30 04:46:42	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x8cb4a6…
10-29 23:39:24	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x455d8d…
10-28 19:18:14	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x83ec19…
10-28 18:53:16	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x6a56ee…
10-28 18:52:23	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	600	100¢	$598	0x1a4cf3…
10-28 18:51:19	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	133	100¢	$132	0xc81555…
10-28 15:58:34	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	33¢	$330	0x47fb0e…
10-28 06:53:35	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	59	70¢	$41	0xd5f8ca…
10-28 06:53:05	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xcfe0d7…
10-28 06:48:47	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	75¢	$750	0x659faa…
10-28 00:39:59	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	93	75¢	$70	0x87b76c…
10-28 00:17:39	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	356	75¢	$267	0x7ed877…
10-28 00:17:18	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,051	75¢	$788	0xfce52e…
10-27 20:55:23	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x261dae…
10-26 16:46:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	75	65¢	$49	0xcf4b21…
10-26 16:46:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	385	65¢	$250	0x5d2178…
10-26 16:46:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x5cc899…
10-26 16:46:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	110	65¢	$71	0x63c02b…
10-26 16:46:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf8b381…
10-26 16:46:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	114	65¢	$74	0xf28de2…
10-26 16:46:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd9aeac…