Darling-Mosquito 0xe33ddc…ee3fa0
bot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
58.7%
Resolved
5,705
Trades
21,231
lifetime
Volume
$43.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$165
27 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 10-30 11:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Crypto
99% 58% -$58
Politics
1% 40% +$40
Other
1% 38% -$15
Sports
0% 53% +$29
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 856 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $17 92¢ $20 +$3 10-24 17:55
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +19 $11 100¢ $19 +$8 10-26 06:06
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +16 $10 99¢ $16 +$6 10-28 09:04
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +55 $10 29¢ $16 +$6 10-26 23:55
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +19 $15 71¢ $13 -$2 10-26 23:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +10 $2 95¢ $10 +$8 10-29 06:43
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +18 $8 50¢ $9 +$1 10-24 17:51
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +10 $6 83¢ $8 +$3 10-24 02:08
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +7 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 10-25 01:52
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-26 05:40
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 10-26 05:40
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 10-23 22:35
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $5 86¢ $5 $0 10-27 02:27
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +8 $5 56¢ $5 $0 10-26 05:40
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +64 $6 7¢ $4 -$1 10-27 03:55
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? No +45 $5 9¢ $4 -$1 10-26 06:12
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $4 22¢ $4 -$1 10-29 12:41
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +26 $5 8¢ $2 -$3 10-26 05:22
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +40 $2 5¢ $2 $0 10-27 01:16
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +28 $5 7¢ $2 -$3 10-23 23:27
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 10-26 16:24
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +45 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-26 23:00
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? No +23 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 10-26 05:41
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? Yes +11 $2 8¢ $1 -$2 10-24 02:07
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +8 $1 8¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +22 $1 2¢ $0 $0 10-27 05:31
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +0 $0 95¢ $0 $0 10-28 09:02