Stiff-Easel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,418

lifetime

Volume

$649.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$269

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-12 02:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

60% 50% $-27

Politics

37% 100% +$2

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	34	$48.7K	25,963	25,900	+63	open	—	04-29 03:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	99	$45.2K	26,616	26,616	+0	open	—	04-25 18:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	39	$44.6K	23,179	23,179	+0	open	—	03-30 17:13
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	107	$37.7K	19,841	20,041	-200	Yes	$-152	04-12 01:53
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	78	$31.8K	16,584	17,014	-430	open	—	03-04 16:24
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	23	$29.2K	15,304	15,304	+0	open	—	03-31 18:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	19	$20.4K	10,830	10,803	+27	open	—	04-30 04:15
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	19	$17.9K	9,226	9,226	+0	open	—	03-31 17:07
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	42	$17.1K	6,723	15,384	-8,661	open	—	01-29 01:51
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	44	$14.6K	7,709	7,709	+0	open	—	02-01 03:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	50	$14.4K	8,345	7,706	+639	open	—	04-29 02:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	64	$13.5K	7,053	7,038	+16	open	—	04-29 05:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$11.4K	5,950	5,950	+0	open	—	05-11 15:55
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	4	$10.5K	5,353	5,353	-0	open	—	01-30 04:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$9.8K	5,005	5,005	+0	open	—	04-27 14:23
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	19	$9.8K	5,156	5,156	+0	open	—	03-31 16:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	36	$9.6K	5,085	5,037	+48	open	—	04-27 03:46
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	21	$9.6K	5,300	5,200	+100	open	—	04-02 18:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$9.4K	4,900	4,900	+0	open	—	05-28 19:43
starmer out by june 22 2026	14	$8.7K	6,368	4,288	+2,079	open	—	06-22 03:26
will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	54	$8.6K	5,473	5,449	+23	open	—	07-01 03:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	5	$7.7K	9,027	0	+9,027	open	—	04-30 00:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	14	$6.8K	3,941	3,917	+25	open	—	04-27 14:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	8	$6.6K	3,647	3,647	-0	open	—	04-10 16:45
will trump say operation epic fury during address to the nation	18	$6.5K	7,154	0	+7,154	open	—	04-01 23:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	13	$6.4K	3,385	3,385	-0	open	—	03-13 06:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	14	$6.3K	3,576	3,553	+23	open	—	04-08 16:43
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	5	$6.3K	3,213	3,213	-0	open	—	05-19 13:53
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	7	$6.1K	3,217	3,217	+0	open	—	02-10 18:08
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	11	$6.0K	4,028	4,028	-0	open	—	07-01 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 02:16:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	1,150	91¢	$1,046	0xfe62c0…
08-12 02:15:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	1,765	3¢	$49	0x977eef…
08-12 00:37:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	400	65¢	$260	0x801190…
08-12 00:15:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	SELL	475	89¢	$423	0xd3293a…
08-12 00:14:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	375	93¢	$349	0x9e84b6…
08-12 00:13:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	SELL	475	89¢	$423	0xa3d2a4…
08-12 00:13:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	600	62¢	$372	0xcf97e2…
08-12 00:12:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	114	72¢	$82	0xb9296d…
08-12 00:12:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	581	73¢	$422	0x80409c…
08-11 13:57:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0x51614c…
08-11 13:56:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	300	65¢	$196	0x62a2b8…
08-11 13:55:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	225	92¢	$208	0xe40b38…
08-11 12:39:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	370	74¢	$272	0x1f16ad…
08-11 12:39:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	300	93¢	$278	0x67dbd6…
08-10 14:22:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	971	6¢	$58	0x9add54…
08-10 14:21:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	98	62¢	$61	0x7bccd4…
08-10 14:20:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	252	61¢	$154	0x45be2b…
08-10 14:19:06	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	300	90¢	$271	0xe523a7…
08-10 11:32:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	450	6¢	$27	0xfc944f…
08-10 11:32:09	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	11¢	$28	0x6cb212…
08-09 22:59:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	450	7¢	$32	0xf42ac5…
08-09 16:13:33	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	13	86¢	$12	0x78122b…
08-09 16:13:00	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x5e201a…
08-09 16:12:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x6487b5…
08-09 16:12:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x5a2c7e…
08-09 16:11:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x36bcfa…
08-09 16:11:28	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	442	10¢	$44	0x93fbc5…
08-09 16:09:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	1,400	88¢	$1,235	0x5dfa02…
08-09 15:49:21	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	942	10¢	$94	0x57d700…
08-09 15:47:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	250	53¢	$132	0xa1aece…
08-09 15:46:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	300	81¢	$243	0x537f9a…
08-09 15:42:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	854	99¢	$841	0x52d602…
08-09 12:38:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	156	78¢	$122	0xab0089…
08-09 12:38:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	794	78¢	$619	0x536985…
08-09 02:59:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	500	44¢	$220	0x1e1073…
08-08 19:16:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$990	0x57510b…
08-08 19:15:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x286f69…
08-08 19:14:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xfd46b8…
08-08 19:12:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	845	93¢	$786	0x07fcc1…
08-08 04:07:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	300	42¢	$126	0xdffa67…
08-08 03:23:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	46	21¢	$10	0xfe7f82…
08-08 03:15:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x434256…
08-08 03:13:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$11	0x3ad3c6…
08-08 03:12:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xae9185…
08-08 03:12:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	90	91¢	$82	0xe1f236…
08-08 03:10:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	1,025	99¢	$1,016	0x185b1f…
08-08 03:10:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xe6dd24…
08-08 03:09:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	389	99¢	$386	0xa2ca6a…
08-08 03:08:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	25	79¢	$20	0x6eda72…
08-07 21:06:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0xb8a81b…
08-07 21:06:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	41	38¢	$16	0xfa43a0…
08-07 21:05:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	410	87¢	$357	0x57228f…
08-07 20:59:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	894	39¢	$349	0x923dc1…
08-07 20:59:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	32	39¢	$13	0x772e23…
08-04 14:31:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	86	47¢	$40	0x37f771…
08-04 13:38:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	378	41¢	$155	0x8691df…
08-04 13:37:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	269	59¢	$158	0x851884…
08-04 13:37:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xc28e57…
08-04 13:36:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	517	34¢	$176	0x52f15d…
08-04 13:13:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xdfff1d…
08-04 13:12:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	200	64¢	$129	0x40a114…
08-04 13:12:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0xb21aa0…
08-04 13:12:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	35	64¢	$23	0xfe8fd6…
08-04 02:49:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x4d6550…
08-04 02:49:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	106	82¢	$87	0xe5a08c…
08-04 02:49:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0x5d52fd…
08-04 02:47:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	517	32¢	$165	0x5ef840…
08-03 18:42:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0xfc862b…
08-03 17:56:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	250	64¢	$160	0xc1f0f2…
08-03 17:50:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	300	61¢	$183	0x760f45…
08-03 03:27:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	99	75¢	$74	0x8fe525…
08-03 03:27:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	28	74¢	$21	0x284c08…
08-02 18:38:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0xd9abaf…
08-02 14:18:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	517	34¢	$176	0x2b1c36…
08-02 14:15:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	517	34¢	$176	0x4a6d1f…
08-02 13:16:47	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	600	79¢	$474	0x1ea807…
07-31 23:31:17	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x42122a…
07-31 23:31:00	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	196	99¢	$194	0x7f35dd…
07-31 12:50:53	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 30	Yes	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x72923d…
07-31 02:26:12	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 30	Yes	BUY	78	25¢	$20	0x18d9eb…
07-30 23:47:41	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	77	26¢	$21	0x5f011b…
07-30 23:47:41	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	173	26¢	$46	0x27ef50…
07-27 14:41:07	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,252	12¢	$270	0x38d001…
07-27 14:40:58	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	643	13¢	$84	0xec6ef9…
07-27 14:05:18	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by july 31 2026 20260626210612720	No	SELL	599	95¢	$569	0xe06de4…
07-25 17:08:13	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by july 31 2026 20260626210612720	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xb6e038…
07-25 17:07:24	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	221	17¢	$38	0x0cb732…
07-09 14:39:59	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	82	26¢	$21	0x00a826…
07-09 14:39:23	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	12¢	$13	0x170797…
07-09 14:38:07	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	128	27¢	$35	0xb5b84e…
07-09 14:36:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	903	85¢	$768	0x97dc34…
07-09 14:35:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x51bfd4…
07-09 14:09:35	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	510	12¢	$61	0x207423…
07-09 14:08:10	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	11¢	$5	0x846cb5…
07-09 14:07:47	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	11¢	$10	0x75a2b3…
07-09 14:06:02	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	290	27¢	$78	0x98e95e…
07-09 04:09:14	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by july 31 2026 20260626210612720	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x856a92…
07-08 13:01:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	SELL	412	21¢	$87	0xa164c4…
07-08 13:01:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x5f1bf4…
07-08 13:01:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x390ef9…