Cloudy-Geology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.49K

Unrealized P&L

+$37

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,122

lifetime

Volume

$98.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

$1.94K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-24

last 07-03 05:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

66% 43% $-1,487

Crypto

20% — —

Politics

8% — —

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+16,990	$1,900	11¢	$1.9K	+$37	07-02 10:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	23	$8.6K	705,000	705,000	+0	open	—	06-25 06:55
atp mccabe bergs 2026 06 09	9	$3.2K	1,876	1,876	+0	open	—	06-10 12:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	5	$2.2K	1,651	1,651	+0	open	—	06-19 23:22
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	10	$2.1K	1,353	1,353	+0	open	—	05-28 13:45
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$1.9K	16,990	0	+16,990	open	—	07-02 10:17
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	4	$1.9K	1,389	1,389	+0	open	—	06-14 03:29
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	21	$1.8K	2,094	1,413	+681	open	—	06-07 16:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.4K	2,475	2,475	+0	open	—	04-22 00:29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrino	6	$1.1K	1,210	1,210	+0	Andrea Pellegrino	$-297	05-11 12:46
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockx	3	$1.0K	630	630	+0	Alexander Blockx	$-19	05-07 12:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$1000	6,667	0	+6,667	open	—	03-24 01:43
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	2	$1000	1,986	0	+1,986	open	—	06-09 01:42
Roland Garros ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajda	11	$1000	676	676	+0	open	—	05-26 11:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	13	$994	7,485	10,440	-2,955	open	—	06-16 07:39
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherot	2	$981	600	595	+5	open	—	04-24 11:11
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodar	3	$941	586	526	+60	Rafael Jodar	+$111	05-11 01:07
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	3	$906	575	506	+69	Alexander Zverev	+$76	05-10 12:17
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	4	$828	465	465	+0	open	—	06-01 23:08
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic	3	$799	813	563	+250	Dino Prizmic	$-11	05-10 12:32
atp struff galarne 2026 06 08	4	$796	475	475	+0	open	—	06-09 13:50
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	7	$775	894	894	+0	open	—	06-11 03:20
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	19	$745	836	836	+0	open	—	06-30 07:27
Hamburg European Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ignacio Buse	4	$740	654	654	+0	open	—	05-19 11:24
atp shelton sonego 2026 06 17	3	$717	588	380	+208	open	—	06-17 13:21
atp brooksb cerundo 2026 06 17	2	$700	739	0	+739	open	—	06-17 16:20
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	2	$670	286	571	-285	open	—	06-02 23:22
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	6	$631	762	762	+0	open	—	05-31 14:05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Bellucci	1	$600	822	0	+822	Mattia Bellucci	$-600	05-09 01:33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmane	1	$600	833	0	+833	Flavio Cobolli	+$233	05-09 01:33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton	1	$600	769	0	+769	Nikoloz Basilashvili	$-600	05-09 01:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 06:33:11	btc updown 5m 1783060200	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xc6343b…
07-03 06:28:14	btc updown 5m 1783059900	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x804c36…
07-03 05:43:20	btc updown 5m 1783057200	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x490806…
07-03 05:14:11	btc updown 5m 1783055400	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x544caa…
07-03 04:33:40	btc updown 5m 1783053000	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x57c725…
07-03 04:30:44	btc updown 15m 1783053000	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x09ebec…
07-03 04:28:07	btc updown 5m 1783052700	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xfa3332…
07-03 04:04:26	btc updown 5m 1783051200	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x58384c…
07-03 04:00:49	btc updown 15m 1783051200	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x6bdb86…
07-03 03:31:01	btc updown 15m 1783049400	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x46958a…
07-03 03:03:13	btc updown 15m 1783047600	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xb69818…
07-03 02:46:01	btc updown 15m 1783046700	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x9544d0…
07-03 02:34:55	btc updown 15m 1783045800	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xe0d0ee…
07-03 02:17:32	btc updown 15m 1783044900	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x096db2…
07-03 02:00:38	btc updown 15m 1783044000	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x3828b8…
07-03 01:46:55	btc updown 15m 1783043100	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xd78957…
07-03 01:30:59	btc updown 15m 1783042200	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xb938bc…
07-03 01:25:11	btc updown 15m 1783041300	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xd377b1…
07-03 00:46:02	btc updown 15m 1783039500	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x37017f…
07-03 00:31:31	btc updown 15m 1783038600	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xa1a0e3…
07-03 00:16:23	btc updown 15m 1783037700	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x29b85d…
07-02 19:20:23	atp tiafoe choinsk 2026 07 02	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xf83fa0…
07-02 18:33:40	atp jacquet bublik 2026 07 02	Alexander Bublik	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x8c70ed…
07-02 17:09:08	atp lehecka molcan 2026 07 02	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xba2b26…
07-02 15:50:44	atp khachan hanfman 2026 07 02	Karen Khachanov	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x6b3826…
07-02 15:40:20	btc updown 15m 1783006200	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x5190a3…
07-02 13:13:41	atp jodar busta 2026 07 01	Rafael Jodar	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xd0ed0b…
07-02 10:54:01	atp minaur mannari 2026 07 01	Alex de Minaur	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x13c85b…
07-02 10:23:44	btc updown 5m 1782987600	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x7c5c05…
07-02 10:17:31	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	16,990	11¢	$1,900	0x691de4…
07-02 09:17:22	btc updown 15m 1782983700	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x117e66…
07-02 08:46:02	btc updown 15m 1782981900	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xcf4921…
07-02 08:02:41	btc updown 15m 1782979200	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xd67ced…
07-02 07:55:55	btc updown 15m 1782978300	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x1b3f42…
07-02 07:53:13	btc updown 5m 1782978600	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xa1dce3…
07-02 07:48:14	btc updown 5m 1782978300	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x8e5d50…
07-02 07:31:07	btc updown 15m 1782977400	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x7f1d43…
07-02 07:16:59	btc updown 15m 1782976500	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xb750f5…
07-02 07:07:26	btc updown 15m 1782975600	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x7a5991…
07-02 06:58:08	btc updown 5m 1782975300	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xaf183c…
07-02 06:53:47	btc updown 5m 1782975000	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x77ac67…
07-02 06:13:55	btc updown 5m 1782972600	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xa00bbe…
07-02 06:08:07	btc updown 5m 1782972300	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x315823…
07-02 05:38:22	btc updown 5m 1782970500	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x13625c…
07-02 05:33:53	btc updown 5m 1782970200	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xbce0f5…
07-02 05:16:01	btc updown 15m 1782969300	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x8bccb9…
07-02 04:48:35	btc updown 15m 1782967500	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x871f25…
07-02 04:30:56	btc updown 15m 1782966600	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x536825…
07-02 04:17:53	btc updown 15m 1782965700	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x07063c…
07-02 03:49:43	btc updown 15m 1782963900	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xe67afb…
07-02 03:31:13	btc updown 15m 1782963000	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x0ae660…
07-02 03:16:01	btc updown 15m 1782962100	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x27638e…
07-02 03:01:05	btc updown 15m 1782961200	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x508c90…
07-02 02:46:29	btc updown 15m 1782960300	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x3d0611…
07-02 02:00:46	btc updown 15m 1782957600	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x4d5dbe…
07-02 01:46:52	btc updown 15m 1782956700	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x34dda4…
07-02 01:00:46	btc updown 15m 1782954000	Down	BUY	106	57¢	$60	0xbf2a7d…
07-02 00:15:58	btc updown 15m 1782951300	Up	BUY	107	56¢	$60	0x560f70…
07-01 21:53:08	btc updown 5m 1782942600	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x0d85a6…
07-01 21:48:10	btc updown 5m 1782942300	Up	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x41c01d…
07-01 21:38:11	btc updown 5m 1782941700	Up	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0x22181d…
07-01 20:13:07	btc updown 5m 1782936600	Down	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x309c2b…
07-01 19:55:02	atp tsitsip djokovi 2026 07 01	Novak Djokovic	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xf47180…
07-01 19:53:11	btc updown 5m 1782935400	Down	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0xc391f2…
07-01 19:44:08	btc updown 5m 1782934800	Down	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x529d12…
07-01 19:23:05	btc updown 5m 1782933600	Down	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x10ff24…
07-01 19:18:22	btc updown 5m 1782933300	Up	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x07e74f…
07-01 19:13:05	btc updown 5m 1782933000	Down	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0xeb89fd…
07-01 15:48:32	btc updown 15m 1782920700	Up	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0x3a1fe6…
07-01 15:32:16	btc updown 15m 1782919800	Up	BUY	115	52¢	$60	0x835986…
07-01 15:29:37	wta sierra gauff 2026 07 01	Coco Gauff	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xd027f1…
07-01 14:57:53	atp jong fonseca 2026 07 01	Joao Fonseca	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x207b19…
07-01 14:39:46	atp aguilar medvede 2026 07 01	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc697b0…
07-01 14:31:14	btc updown 15m 1782916200	Down	BUY	107	56¢	$60	0x97e435…
07-01 14:18:26	btc updown 15m 1782915300	Up	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xd2d1ba…
07-01 14:10:01	btc updown 15m 1782914400	Down	BUY	68	55¢	$37	0x243d54…
07-01 14:09:59	btc updown 15m 1782914400	Down	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0x88eb1c…
07-01 13:40:08	atp sinner borges 2026 07 01	Nuno Borges	SELL	277	10¢	$28	0xc5a55d…
07-01 13:40:08	atp sinner borges 2026 07 01	Nuno Borges	SELL	300	10¢	$30	0x753fa6…
07-01 13:40:07	atp sinner borges 2026 07 01	Nuno Borges	SELL	1,373	10¢	$137	0x1829dc…
07-01 13:39:46	atp sinner borges 2026 07 01	Nuno Borges	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x488f67…
07-01 13:35:10	atp safiull zandsch 2026 07 01	Roman Safiullin	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x9b4e9c…
07-01 13:32:11	btc updown 15m 1782912600	Down	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x4c4d22…
07-01 13:19:16	btc updown 15m 1782911700	Up	BUY	113	53¢	$60	0xeda18e…
07-01 12:47:56	atp navone cobolli 2026 06 29	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x6b9dd3…
07-01 12:38:17	atp fokina marozsa 2026 07 01	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x82a6cc…
07-01 11:19:40	wta tjen kasatki 2026 07 01	Janice Tjen	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x9feb42…
07-01 10:57:53	atp brooksb buse 2026 07 01	Jenson Brooksby	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x8b3a15…
07-01 09:09:05	btc updown 15m 1782896400	Up	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x1345f4…
07-01 08:28:23	btc updown 5m 1782894300	Up	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x47b770…
07-01 07:56:02	btc updown 15m 1782891900	Up	BUY	76	79¢	$60	0x209ac3…
07-01 07:22:25	atp sinner borges 2026 07 01	Nuno Borges	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0xa908e5…
07-01 07:09:13	btc updown 5m 1782889500	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6226f7…
07-01 07:09:11	btc updown 5m 1782889500	Down	BUY	51	74¢	$38	0x21a486…
07-01 06:58:08	btc updown 5m 1782888900	Up	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0xf2e9d2…
07-01 04:07:50	btc updown 15m 1782878400	Down	BUY	79	76¢	$60	0x8985fc…
07-01 03:43:04	btc updown 15m 1782876600	Up	BUY	81	74¢	$60	0x9972e9…
07-01 03:05:11	btc updown 15m 1782874800	Down	BUY	81	74¢	$60	0xe6684b…
07-01 02:21:14	btc updown 15m 1782872100	Up	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x69e6b9…
07-01 00:10:05	btc updown 15m 1782864000	Up	BUY	78	77¢	$60	0x533bc5…