Hard-Tea — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 05-13 05:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

77% 50% $-9

Politics

23% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	11	$1.6K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-30 06:10
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$772	397	397	+0	open	—	05-05 04:59
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)	1	$418	435	0	+435	Elche CF	+$17	05-09 07:03
Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)	1	$386	420	0	+420	Qingdao Xihaian FC	+$34	05-05 05:34
dota2 ic shpili 2026 03 12	1	$175	250	0	+250	open	—	03-12 11:39
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	3	$55	810	810	+0	open	—	05-13 04:58
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	2	$50	1,110	0	+1,110	Athletic Club	$-50	05-13 05:04
Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)	2	$9	785	0	+785	RC Celta de Vigo	$-9	05-12 05:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 05:04:21	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	755	5¢	$34	0x1aa4f5…
05-13 05:03:45	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	BUY	355	4¢	$16	0xc4a6f3…
05-13 04:58:21	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	810	3¢	$22	0x8be329…
05-13 03:20:31	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	379	4¢	$16	0xf1da26…
05-13 03:20:30	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	431	4¢	$18	0x723633…
05-12 05:32:20	Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)	Levante UD	BUY	370	1¢	$4	0xdd3a4c…
05-12 05:32:15	Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)	Levante UD	BUY	415	1¢	$5	0x1b2aec…
05-09 07:03:05	Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)	Elche CF	BUY	435	96¢	$418	0xc4380f…
05-05 05:34:04	Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)	Qingdao Xihaian FC	BUY	420	92¢	$386	0xaf4344…
05-05 04:59:24	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	397	97¢	$386	0xf16c94…
05-05 03:01:48	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	397	97¢	$386	0x02c6a5…
03-30 06:10:30	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	443	65¢	$288	0x88a90e…
03-30 06:06:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xa12bbf…
03-30 05:54:48	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xdc97cd…
03-30 05:52:54	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	43	65¢	$28	0xe60d5c…
03-30 05:50:48	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0xef17a5…
03-30 05:45:08	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x3b4973…
03-30 05:42:14	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	538	65¢	$350	0x127b15…
03-30 05:42:10	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	157	65¢	$102	0x5ea55b…
03-30 05:17:22	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	408	65¢	$265	0xe5c17d…
03-30 05:17:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	67	65¢	$44	0xdb73ae…
03-30 05:17:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	725	65¢	$471	0x0b6102…
03-12 11:39:45	dota2 ic shpili 2026 03 12	Inner Circle	BUY	250	70¢	$175	0xaeb7f5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	4	$15.0K	1,228	05-23 21:23
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	4	$4.10K	41	05-13 16:52
(anonymous) 0xc493…e103	4	$2.58K	21	05-09 06:41
Ripe-Witchhunt 0x1a1e…d168	4	$1.96K	5	05-12 05:32
Precious-Coconut 0x02ff…74bb	4	$1.71K	8	05-13 05:04
Frigid-Mailing 0xb989…500f	4	$1.69K	15	05-09 07:08
Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5	4	$1.63K	28	05-13 18:17
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	3	$207.3K	392	06-01 01:46