Realized P&L (90d)
+$50.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$14.8K
Hit rate
65.1%
Resolved (90d)
98
Trades (90d)
2,570
4,379 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$404.7K
$583.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$133
Open exposure
$94.5K
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 10-29 17:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Politics
52% 45% +$12,337
Other
45% 45% +$22,745
Sports
3% 12% +$556
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +36,665 $13,198 48¢ $17.8K +$4,584 10-29 10:23
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +102,696 $12,630 14¢ $14.4K +$1,747 10-29 17:56
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +37,134 $10,677 30¢ $11.1K +$463 10-29 14:08
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +15,073 $9,252 66¢ $10.0K +$771 10-29 11:05
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,535 $5,981 48¢ $9.8K +$3,773 10-07 22:57
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +30,304 $4,096 28¢ $8.3K +$4,238 10-19 19:53
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +7,278 $4,229 68¢ $5.0K +$756 10-10 17:28
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +34,399 $4,304 14¢ $4.6K +$340 10-29 12:55
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +15,000 $1,950 28¢ $4.1K +$2,175 10-01 22:32
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,060 $3,388 70¢ $3.6K +$179 10-14 15:39
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,673 $2,424 30¢ $2.6K +$135 10-29 17:38
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +4,302 $1,210 36¢ $1.5K +$317 10-12 17:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +86,973 $1,673 1¢ $652 -$1,021 10-28 12:18
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +1,793 $503 30¢ $547 +$44 10-29 10:41
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +4,804 $1,920 4¢ $187 -$1,733 10-22 10:22
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +1,766 $736 8¢ $150 -$586 10-25 04:44
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +176 $25 22¢ $40 +$15 09-28 14:58
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +2,047 $103 2¢ $38 -$65 10-06 22:07
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +140 $20 23¢ $32 +$12 09-26 12:06
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +5 $3 96¢ $5 +$2 10-21 22:42
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $448 48¢ $0 -$448 10-08 14:03
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +0 $912 0¢ $0 -$912 09-02 16:36