Realized P&L
+$35.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$17.7K
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
133
Trades
4,395
lifetime
Volume
$585.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$133
Open exposure
$97.4K
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 10-29 23:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Politics
52% 45% +$12,337
Other
45% 45% +$22,745
Sports
3% 12% +$556
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +36,665 $13,198 48¢ $17.8K +$4,584 10-29 10:23
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +103,285 $12,707 15¢ $15.0K +$2,270 10-29 22:25
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +37,134 $10,677 32¢ $11.7K +$1,020 10-29 14:08
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +15,073 $9,252 70¢ $10.6K +$1,374 10-29 11:05
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,535 $5,981 48¢ $10.0K +$3,979 10-07 22:57
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +30,304 $4,096 26¢ $8.0K +$3,935 10-19 19:53
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +7,278 $4,229 70¢ $5.1K +$901 10-10 17:28
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +34,399 $4,304 14¢ $4.6K +$340 10-29 12:55
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +15,000 $1,950 26¢ $4.0K +$2,025 10-01 22:32
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,060 $3,388 70¢ $3.5K +$129 10-14 15:39
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,673 $2,424 32¢ $2.7K +$308 10-29 17:38
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +4,302 $1,210 39¢ $1.7K +$468 10-12 17:17
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +4,804 $1,920 26¢ $1.2K -$673 10-22 10:22
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +86,973 $1,673 1¢ $652 -$1,021 10-28 12:18
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +1,793 $503 29¢ $520 +$17 10-29 10:41
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +1,766 $736 8¢ $150 -$586 10-25 04:44
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +176 $25 22¢ $40 +$15 09-28 14:58
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +2,047 $103 2¢ $37 -$66 10-06 22:07
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +140 $20 23¢ $32 +$12 09-26 12:06
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 10-21 22:42
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $448 46¢ $0 -$448 10-08 14:03
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +0 $912 0¢ $0 -$912 09-02 16:36