Substantial-Twine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

Trades

162

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 05-31 08:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 100% +$1

Other

24% 67% +$7

Sports

18% — —

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$368	184	184	+0	open	—	01-25 08:03
Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$291	146	146	+0	open	—	04-19 07:15
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$291	146	146	+0	open	—	04-19 08:03
Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$291	146	146	+0	open	—	04-21 10:47
Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$286	144	144	+0	open	—	04-23 10:31
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$203	102	102	+0	open	—	01-25 07:26
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$203	102	102	+0	open	—	01-25 07:45
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$190	95	95	+0	open	—	01-19 11:53
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$189	95	95	+0	open	—	03-25 07:01
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$183	92	92	+0	open	—	02-13 04:43
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$183	93	93	+0	open	—	02-13 05:10
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$182	91	91	+0	open	—	02-02 09:37
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$182	91	91	+0	open	—	02-02 10:00
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$182	91	91	+0	open	—	01-19 11:09
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$181	91	91	+0	No	$-0	03-08 03:25
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$180	91	91	+0	open	—	03-08 03:51
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$179	90	90	+0	open	—	03-03 04:54
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$170	85	85	+0	open	—	03-12 11:14
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$165	83	83	+0	open	—	03-03 05:17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	1	$153	153	0	+153	open	—	05-19 05:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	1	$153	153	0	+153	open	—	05-18 11:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	1	$153	153	0	+153	open	—	05-17 10:33
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	05-15 07:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$149	150	0	+150	open	—	05-13 06:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	1	$149	149	0	+149	No	+$0	05-12 11:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	1	$149	149	0	+149	open	—	05-20 12:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	1	$148	148	0	+148	Yes	+$0	05-10 06:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$148	148	0	+148	No	+$0	05-11 12:51
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 13	1	$148	148	0	+148	open	—	04-13 06:13
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 12	1	$148	148	0	+148	open	—	04-12 06:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 08:28:52	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xf207a5…
05-30 07:06:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x08d418…
05-30 07:02:12	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb42757…
05-29 05:15:27	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x9ecfb7…
05-28 08:40:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	631	0¢	$2	0xfa8674…
05-28 08:27:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	875	0¢	$4	0x21bc56…
05-28 08:26:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	No	BUY	1,333	0¢	$4	0x70c98e…
05-28 07:43:15	Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Claire Liu	Maria Sakkari	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x347aa7…
05-27 07:23:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x7e7746…
05-27 07:20:19	Anadolu Efes vs. Turk Telekom	Turk Telekom	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa41c76…
05-26 12:21:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1,327	0¢	$4	0x4975c9…
05-26 12:15:15	Centurion: Alec Beckley vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xe0a955…
05-24 11:39:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x347156…
05-24 11:36:32	LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	LYON	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x727f6a…
05-20 12:27:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0xd0ac92…
05-20 12:08:42	LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs	TLN Pirates	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xcc945e…
05-19 05:06:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x178451…
05-18 11:33:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x009ba3…
05-17 10:33:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x83e0d3…
05-16 10:54:49	Pallacanestro Brescia vs. Pallacanestro Trieste	Pallacanestro Trieste	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x6cebc9…
05-15 07:49:23	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x127a11…
05-13 06:17:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x88a5bf…
05-12 11:18:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0xc0360b…
05-11 12:51:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x11835e…
05-10 06:16:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x8f1c6b…
05-09 07:15:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x6da5fc…
05-09 07:05:43	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	9z	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xeb2f85…
05-07 12:29:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x624b8b…
05-06 10:45:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xe1b264…
05-06 10:43:08	Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Eternal Fire	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xacb16d…
05-04 09:28:00	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $695 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x8f1a4f…
05-02 06:55:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xba3f23…
05-01 12:09:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x952fff…
04-30 06:39:00	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x125055…
04-28 09:30:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x4bf19e…
04-27 05:31:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x2cc8af…
04-26 10:35:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x72e39e…
04-26 10:27:06	Rome: Dalibor Svrcina vs Andrea Guerrieri	Andrea Guerrieri	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x3fcfef…
04-25 07:40:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x1d5a56…
04-24 12:48:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x62c84c…
04-23 11:55:58	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x6630b2…
04-23 11:50:38	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	Yes	BUY	1,600	0¢	$3	0x69e18d…
04-23 10:48:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 23	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$1	0x668244…
04-23 10:40:34	ethereum above 2000 on april 23	No	BUY	825	0¢	$2	0x7ea12e…
04-23 10:31:10	Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	144	100¢	$143	0xc5c142…
04-23 09:21:24	Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0x65a268…
04-23 09:15:20	Savannah: Andres Andrade vs Aidan Mayo	Aidan Mayo	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xff7a47…
04-22 06:05:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 22	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xca9536…
04-21 10:53:52	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x265d28…
04-21 10:47:46	Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$145	0xc04cc8…
04-21 09:44:08	Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$145	0x0ccf72…
04-19 08:09:20	will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x5b1cb6…
04-19 08:03:16	Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$145	0x46cf1b…
04-19 07:17:10	Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$145	0x4e6fab…
04-19 07:15:08	Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$145	0x8b9bd1…
04-19 06:56:26	Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x3718bb…
04-16 09:10:34	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 16	No	BUY	146	100¢	$145	0xdec34f…
04-15 07:59:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x98b8cf…
04-14 10:26:55	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x3bf0d0…
04-14 10:22:01	wta chwalin quevedo 2026 04 13	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x3da456…
04-13 06:13:19	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 13	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xd9133d…
04-12 06:41:35	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 12	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x72658a…
04-11 11:09:33	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 115 139	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x54105d…
04-11 11:03:23	ufc kev ran3 2026 04 11	Kevin Holland	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x80ce30…
04-10 06:50:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 10	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x5c15ae…
04-09 11:41:29	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$144	0xdb14ef…
04-08 02:59:13	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x7fef52…
04-07 11:51:53	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x96086f…
04-07 11:43:09	nba chi was 2026 04 07	Bulls	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x2eec13…
04-06 05:56:15	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 6	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0xcbdcf5…
04-05 07:51:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 5	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xf79b49…
04-04 11:42:41	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 4	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x5babb4…
04-04 11:31:39	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x52c819…
04-02 10:54:49	ethereum above 2200 on april 2	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x58cbe0…
04-01 08:57:27	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x03c42b…
03-31 07:15:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 31	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xc63b6b…
03-30 08:48:10	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x84e111…
03-29 07:10:18	will ethereum dip to 1500 march 23 29	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x5a334a…
03-28 09:25:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 28	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x6691e1…
03-27 13:29:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 27	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x084b71…
03-25 07:13:55	bitcoin above 66k on march 25	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xc73deb…
03-25 07:01:55	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x366ca4…
03-25 06:39:47	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xd12bac…
03-24 11:55:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xc584d2…
03-22 07:29:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 22	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xb09bbf…
03-21 11:38:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 21	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xdcff1b…
03-20 10:36:05	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0x46b7e1…
03-18 12:27:15	ethereum above 2500 on march 18	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x196536…
03-18 11:53:17	atp muller berrett 2026 03 18	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x81df04…
03-17 12:03:17	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 320 339	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x0d89b4…
03-16 06:37:33	solana above 110 on march 16	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xa1f704…
03-16 06:31:45	cs2 hin mana 2026 03 16	MANA eSports	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x990b35…
03-14 04:22:57	will elio win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x6c0ea8…
03-13 06:30:41	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x70c7d8…
03-12 11:16:21	bitcoin above 66k on march 12	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xd73b09…
03-12 11:14:13	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x6ab59a…
03-12 10:55:35	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x0b396f…
03-12 10:53:19	atp taverna rocha 2026 03 12	Henrique Rocha	BUY	7	81¢	$5	0xe5c393…
03-09 12:33:51	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 9	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3d562f…
03-08 03:53:37	bitcoin above 60k on march 8	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x7bf70b…