Realized P&L
+$8.98K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.54K
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
28,129
Trades
313,851
lifetime
Volume
$5.96M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$124.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-05
last 09-07 14:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Other
73% 89% +$11,059
Politics
20% 87% -$2,048
Sports
6% 95% +$401
Tech
1% 82% -$682
Crypto
1% 85% +$252
Pop-Culture
0% 90% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 15608 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +8,222 $7,138 94¢ $7.7K +$549 08-10 17:00
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +5,539 $4,897 96¢ $5.3K +$412 09-06 16:42
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +5,279 $5,274 100¢ $5.3K +$0 09-06 16:42
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +5,279 $5,262 100¢ $5.3K +$9 09-06 16:42
Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +5,279 $5,274 100¢ $5.3K -$3 09-06 16:42
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +5,279 $5,262 100¢ $5.3K +$7 09-06 16:42
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +5,279 $5,188 99¢ $5.2K +$52 09-06 16:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +5,247 $5,192 100¢ $5.2K +$37 09-02 14:08
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +5,170 $4,813 100¢ $5.1K +$334 09-06 16:42
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +5,279 $5,258 97¢ $5.1K -$161 09-06 16:42
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +5,116 $5,075 99¢ $5.1K +$8 09-06 16:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,996 $4,622 99¢ $5.0K +$331 09-02 14:08
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +5,279 $4,753 93¢ $4.9K +$146 09-06 16:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +5,001 $4,935 98¢ $4.9K -$36 09-02 14:08
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +5,279 $4,166 86¢ $4.6K +$400 09-06 16:42
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +4,231 $3,896 99¢ $4.2K +$286 09-06 19:27
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +4,056 $4,046 100¢ $4.0K +$3 09-06 19:27
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +4,056 $4,032 100¢ $4.0K +$18 09-06 19:27
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +4,056 $3,926 100¢ $4.0K +$111 09-06 19:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +5,247 $1,987 74¢ $3.9K +$1,923 09-02 14:08
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +3,905 $3,885 100¢ $3.9K +$11 09-05 21:32
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2,746 $2,743 100¢ $2.7K -$5 09-06 16:42
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,335 $2,320 100¢ $2.3K +$11 09-03 15:46
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,335 $2,332 100¢ $2.3K -$1 09-03 15:46
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,335 $2,332 100¢ $2.3K -$1 09-03 15:46
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,335 $2,322 100¢ $2.3K +$2 09-03 15:46
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +2,335 $2,139 99¢ $2.3K +$172 09-03 15:46
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,254 $2,238 100¢ $2.3K +$13 09-05 16:36
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,254 $2,248 97¢ $2.2K -$54 09-05 16:36
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,076 $2,073 98¢ $2.0K -$33 09-04 06:42