Mature-Clarity — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

47.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

67 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$135

$135 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down		-4	$-2	4¢	$-0	+$1	05-05 22:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	6	$13	6	12	-6	Down	$-1	05-05 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	5	$11	3	11	-9	Up	+$7	05-05 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	3	$7	3	7	-4	Down	+$3	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	3	$6	3	6	-3	open	—	05-05 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	3	$6	4	8	-4	open	—	05-05 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	3	$6	3	6	-4	open	—	05-05 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$5	3	4	-0	open	—	05-05 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$4	0	6	-6	open	—	05-05 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$4	3	2	+1	open	—	05-05 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$4	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-04 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$3	0	6	-6	open	—	05-05 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$2	0	3	-3	open	—	05-05 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$2	0	3	-3	Up	$-0	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$2	0	3	-3	Down	$-1	05-05 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-05 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-05 04:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x80f417…
05-05 21:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x686c15…
05-05 21:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x87c9e2…
05-05 20:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x4c5ff3…
05-05 19:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x7f57a7…
05-05 19:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x84c7db…
05-05 19:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0xb300ab…
05-05 19:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x54c6cd…
05-05 19:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x369d20…
05-05 19:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x9ea3b0…
05-05 18:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x54ac2f…
05-05 18:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x4af50b…
05-05 18:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9109f0…
05-05 18:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$1	0xef2c60…
05-05 18:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf592c5…
05-05 17:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x532637…
05-05 17:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xf84669…
05-05 13:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x469b9d…
05-05 12:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xb5cb47…
05-05 11:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb1775a…
05-05 11:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x59b7a7…
05-05 10:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xce2032…
05-05 10:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x23edc5…
05-05 10:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x39547b…
05-05 09:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x704937…
05-05 09:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5cd15b…
05-05 09:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x3daa16…
05-05 09:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xb074a5…
05-05 09:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x9b690a…
05-05 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x431505…
05-05 08:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x5292b3…
05-05 08:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x899c57…
05-05 07:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x2b3ea8…
05-05 07:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xaee240…
05-05 07:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x57e59e…
05-05 07:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xaf9c36…
05-05 06:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xbd6d79…
05-05 06:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xd8c297…
05-05 06:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xa6297d…
05-05 06:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x8b7be1…
05-05 06:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x2b4389…
05-05 06:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x2b1bd0…
05-05 06:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0xd6eaff…
05-05 06:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xd9e47b…
05-05 06:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x1225d4…
05-05 06:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x792694…
05-05 06:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x259942…
05-05 05:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xb67658…
05-05 05:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x91535a…
05-05 05:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$3	0xd773e8…
05-05 05:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x1c8342…
05-05 05:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xf6ac1b…
05-05 04:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x61bd2f…
05-05 04:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x1d54ba…
05-05 04:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x07ca9a…
05-05 03:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x4a074d…
05-05 02:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc545d7…
05-05 02:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x03e0df…
05-05 02:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x217378…
05-05 02:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x2a0804…
05-05 02:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x54e4f6…
05-05 02:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x7e1d22…
05-05 00:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xe8dbaa…
05-05 00:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe44389…
05-04 23:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xb081b6…
05-04 20:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x83653d…
05-04 20:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0xfaba9b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	43	$1.19K	260	05-05 22:25
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	42	$20.9K	348	05-05 22:25
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	40	$2.20K	222	05-05 22:25
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	38	$1.62K	224	05-05 22:25
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	38	$1.57K	134	05-05 22:25
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	36	$2.28K	153	05-05 22:25
Constant-Relation 0x01b7…2eca	32	$1.71K	82	05-05 22:25
Zesty-Mosque 0xdf65…c36d	30	$1.68K	81	05-05 21:19