Separate-Amnesty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

14.5%

Resolved

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$6.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-18 09:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Sports

52% 0% $-0

Crypto

16% — —

Other

16% — —

Politics

14% 100% +$0

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+12	$11	92¢	$11	$-0	06-15 17:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	8	$319	170	170	+0	open	—	02-14 20:26
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	11	$287	147	147	+0	open	—	02-12 05:38
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	8	$276	148	147	+1	open	—	04-27 23:48
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$204	106	106	+0	open	—	04-18 07:21
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	9	$197	105	105	-0	open	—	03-30 15:38
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	4	$178	92	92	+0	open	—	02-12 05:29
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$163	84	84	+0	No	$-0	02-13 20:57
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	4	$162	83	83	+0	open	—	02-14 20:30
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	7	$157	81	81	+0	open	—	02-07 06:51
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$154	79	79	+0	open	—	02-14 20:35
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$150	79	79	+0	open	—	04-12 01:41
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$134	69	69	+0	open	—	04-21 20:23
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	4	$127	66	66	+0	open	—	04-28 02:16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$125	65	65	+0	open	—	02-14 20:27
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$118	62	62	-0	open	—	02-01 11:49
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	8	$117	61	61	+0	open	—	01-27 18:10
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	4	$112	58	58	+0	open	—	04-27 09:03
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	4	$105	54	54	+0	open	—	02-06 15:18
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	7	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	02-02 05:44
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	02-13 20:42
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	6	$95	51	51	+0	No	$-0	02-14 20:33
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$95	48	48	+0	open	—	01-23 08:54
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$92	46	46	+0	open	—	01-15 10:48
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	5	$90	46	46	+0	open	—	01-26 15:03
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	2	$88	45	45	+0	open	—	02-13 20:56
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$87	45	45	+0	open	—	02-13 20:55
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	2	$84	44	44	+0	open	—	02-13 21:04
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$84	43	43	+0	open	—	02-07 06:49
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$84	43	43	+0	open	—	02-12 05:36
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	3	$84	43	43	+0	open	—	02-13 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 09:50:34	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xd24a5d…
06-18 02:48:16	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xd62623…
06-18 02:15:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x6a1f3a…
06-17 21:12:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x8f2b33…
06-17 08:27:25	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0xdd2f25…
06-17 00:25:59	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x9de594…
06-15 17:27:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xb9e951…
06-10 23:31:15	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0xed9599…
06-10 18:30:42	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x009c16…
06-10 10:19:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x4f72de…
06-10 02:14:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x1d5732…
06-09 20:07:42	will turkiye reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149724	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xe1a356…
06-09 13:07:13	will turkiye reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149724	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x8ab965…
06-09 12:34:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xcc6a88…
06-09 07:31:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x22ca7e…
06-08 05:29:52	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xa55ae3…
06-07 21:26:12	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x8f2814…
06-07 13:19:39	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xbe8519…
06-07 05:18:33	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xe06868…
06-07 04:45:07	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x4c83d9…
06-06 21:44:48	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0xb80c2e…
06-06 08:00:36	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xf3279f…
06-06 00:59:03	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x16ce6c…
06-04 02:17:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xd8aa1f…
06-03 19:11:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xf0ee8d…
05-26 15:10:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xad7f34…
05-26 07:07:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x8a200f…
05-21 07:43:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xef02a9…
05-21 00:38:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0x6b4a81…
05-19 07:19:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0xfa4954…
05-19 00:13:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x646d87…
05-17 12:09:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x8bc03b…
05-17 05:06:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xf7a6b2…
05-12 14:26:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$23	0x1ac309…
05-12 10:23:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$23	0x425678…
05-10 11:58:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x1745bb…
05-10 04:58:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$29	0xe6d305…
04-28 02:16:44	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0xed434c…
04-27 23:54:28	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xd44fc6…
04-27 23:48:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x71d816…
04-27 15:45:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$36	0x923e35…
04-27 09:03:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x53b4d2…
04-22 16:35:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x8bb74c…
04-22 07:34:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0xf17301…
04-22 00:50:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x41b8fc…
04-21 20:23:10	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$37	0x2d3745…
04-21 12:56:52	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$37	0x8a69b8…
04-21 12:51:02	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x5e4bde…
04-21 08:44:00	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$30	0xee9903…
04-20 18:09:20	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xb75b56…
04-20 12:34:36	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x4606ea…
04-18 07:21:28	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x5e9c8d…
04-18 01:41:00	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xd81d64…
04-16 08:39:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x518f7f…
04-16 01:33:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0xc27208…
04-15 03:31:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	42	92¢	$38	0xec07e7…
04-14 19:54:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	42	92¢	$38	0x7300b3…
04-13 19:24:17	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x9e8556…
04-13 14:15:29	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xef197c…
04-12 23:22:33	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xc7ff7c…
04-12 19:20:41	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x513e50…
04-12 16:51:35	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	35	93¢	$32	0xcd212d…
04-12 10:31:43	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	35	93¢	$32	0x73e933…
04-12 09:39:49	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	37	93¢	$35	0x65c4c1…
04-12 02:16:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$35	0xf47862…
04-12 01:41:25	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x7031b9…
04-11 19:39:55	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0xf77763…
04-10 09:21:39	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x03de96…
04-10 04:34:55	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x29a2a3…
04-09 05:14:27	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	42	94¢	$39	0x2022e4…
04-08 22:02:59	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	42	94¢	$39	0x5cac5e…
04-08 15:42:09	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0xa102ef…
04-08 09:35:09	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0xe2a312…
04-08 01:31:43	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x97a350…
04-07 16:05:59	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xddadb8…
03-31 13:05:11	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0x3c394a…
03-31 06:04:25	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0xe1319f…
03-31 05:52:05	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0x098d84…
03-30 21:50:55	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xb1c472…
03-30 15:38:23	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	44	94¢	$41	0xc600ca…
03-30 09:03:54	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x5cd14a…
02-14 20:35:51	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x389360…
02-14 20:35:29	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x1aaa77…
02-14 20:33:07	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x415e10…
02-14 20:32:27	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x950391…
02-14 20:30:11	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x28d123…
02-14 20:29:51	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x598a65…
02-14 20:29:29	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x694595…
02-14 20:29:05	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x9c95de…
02-14 20:28:03	will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x680421…
02-14 20:27:41	will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x2f3ffe…
02-14 20:27:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0x50e753…
02-14 20:26:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x86a567…
02-14 20:26:07	Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	46	94¢	$43	0xc8e006…
02-14 20:25:47	Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0x67f466…
02-14 20:16:49	Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	43	94¢	$40	0x3e77af…
02-14 20:16:27	Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x1e80df…
02-13 21:04:03	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	No	SELL	44	97¢	$42	0xa4b227…
02-13 21:03:41	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	No	BUY	44	97¢	$42	0xdcce0e…
02-13 21:01:23	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0xe82e96…