Faraway-Cravat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$647

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

708

Trades

4,812

lifetime

Volume

$315.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

$6.40K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-06 04:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 187 days

Categories

Other

55% 19% +$3,255

Politics

25% 25% +$6,800

Sports

19% 34% +$5,028

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+7,740	$2,394	23¢	$1.8K	-$579	10-15 13:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+5,100	$1,317	22¢	$1.1K	-$169	11-06 04:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+7,500	$1,267	12¢	$938	-$330	09-20 13:41
Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	+2,010	$433	41¢	$824	+$391	10-31 20:54
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+3,500	$420	24¢	$822	+$402	08-04 10:11
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+4,000	$92	7¢	$294	+$202	10-22 11:12
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+6,000	$108	3¢	$153	+$45	10-28 15:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	+3,000	$210	5¢	$146	-$64	11-06 00:02
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+1,542	$375	8¢	$129	-$246	08-07 10:34
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+2,200	$198	6¢	$126	-$71	08-28 19:24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	+1,950	$234	0¢	$7	-$227	10-31 21:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	62	$7.3K	6,530	4,600	+1,930	Yes	+$404	03-21 23:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	11	$6.2K	7,411	7,411	+0	Yes	+$4,016	06-16 17:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$5.2K	3,900	3,900	+0	No	+$2,106	06-19 21:27
nba por den 2026 04 06	24	$4.6K	6,000	4,406	+1,594	Nuggets	+$1,682	04-07 03:44
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	32	$4.5K	5,200	5,200	+0	Knicks	+$2,622	06-11 03:36
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	19	$4.3K	3,600	3,600	+0	Yes	+$2,734	06-18 00:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	20	$4.2K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$2,970	06-16 20:36
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	10	$3.8K	2,930	2,930	+0	Yes	+$2,011	10-28 20:59
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	2	$3.6K	3,333	3,333	+0	Yes	+$3,063	07-15 21:19
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	7	$3.5K	4,620	3,159	+1,462	Spurs	+$1,266	04-26 21:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	19	$3.3K	3,063	3,063	+0	Yes	+$754	02-28 19:42
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	62	$3.0K	11,240	2,516	+8,724	No	-$1,724	09-01 20:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	19	$2.9K	5,900	3,615	+2,285	Yes	+$1,093	04-07 22:59
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals ousmane dembele gte1	23	$2.8K	2,400	2,400	+0	Yes	+$1,951	07-18 23:04
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.7K	1,700	4,162	-2,462	Yes	-$320	07-19 18:53
will iran strike israel on march 6	7	$2.7K	1,596	1,596	+0	No	+$437	03-10 07:33
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?	30	$2.6K	2,754	2,754	+0	Yes	+$2,004	06-22 19:01
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$2.6K	2,678	2,678	+0	Yes	+$2,015	02-28 06:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	13	$2.5K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	+$474	04-07 22:52
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?	22	$2.5K	2,508	2,508	+0	Yes	+$1,944	07-03 01:06
atp lehecka zverev 2026 07 06	2	$2.4K	1,430	1,430	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$413	07-07 16:18
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	6	$2.4K	3,300	2,944	+356	Knicks	+$1,490	06-06 03:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	51	$2.4K	7,750	10	+7,740	open	—	10-15 13:43
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	4	$2.4K	2,100	2,050	+50	Warriors	+$1,537	04-16 04:46
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$2.4K	3,300	3,300	-0	Yes	+$1,262	07-18 23:04
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	3	$2.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$1,359	06-15 00:56
nba por sas 2026 04 21	7	$2.3K	2,007	1,971	+36	Trail Blazers	+$1,403	04-22 03:11
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?	4	$2.3K	2,203	2,203	+0	Yes	+$1,740	06-17 02:59
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	5	$2.3K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	+$1,128	06-20 21:57
Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 1 - 4 FC Barcelona?	10	$2.3K	2,500	2,500	+0	Yes	+$1,945	10-13 21:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 04:05:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	242	22¢	$53	0xc486b5…
11-06 03:41:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xc67ff2…
11-06 03:36:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	38	22¢	$8	0x0f9dba…
11-06 03:20:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	1,540	22¢	$339	0xfded46…
11-06 01:39:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	47	22¢	$10	0xd3ae60…
11-06 01:26:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x79dd2d…
11-06 01:17:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xb53bb9…
11-06 00:55:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x792c96…
11-06 00:55:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xeb40cd…
11-06 00:55:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	191	22¢	$42	0xc315a2…
11-06 00:02:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xd24922…
11-06 00:00:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x82c8ff…
11-05 23:57:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	2,988	7¢	$209	0xf3f590…
11-05 22:33:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	236	25¢	$59	0xf66d97…
11-05 22:32:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	482	25¢	$121	0xaa891e…
11-05 22:32:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	482	25¢	$121	0x2a10a5…
11-05 22:32:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xfdb6ab…
11-05 22:32:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x6aa760…
11-01 19:35:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	2,601	11¢	$286	0xeb216f…
11-01 19:25:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xf5457b…
11-01 19:14:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	497	11¢	$55	0x701d6a…
11-01 15:36:04	Exact Score: Real Racing Club 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xaee9c7…
11-01 15:26:01	Exact Score: Real Racing Club 1 - 4 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	72	6¢	$5	0xc33a3f…
11-01 15:25:31	Exact Score: Real Racing Club 1 - 4 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	740	6¢	$48	0xd01691…
11-01 15:25:31	Exact Score: Real Racing Club 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	3,020	2¢	$69	0x44155f…
11-01 15:24:00	Exact Score: Real Racing Club 1 - 4 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0x2a377d…
11-01 15:22:22	Exact Score: Real Racing Club 1 - 4 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	186	6¢	$12	0x1dcdc6…
11-01 15:22:21	Exact Score: Real Racing Club 1 - 4 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	209	6¢	$14	0x8258c3…
10-31 21:25:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	94	12¢	$11	0x3ab9e1…
10-31 21:11:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd2f3a3…
10-31 21:11:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x0883ae…
10-31 20:54:54	Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0xf1ddaa…
10-31 20:04:22	1st Half Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Deportivo Alavés?	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x2aabc9…
10-31 20:03:31	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 5 - 1 Deportivo Alavés?	Yes	BUY	1,260	5¢	$66	0xbab90c…
10-31 20:03:31	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 5 - 1 Deportivo Alavés?	Yes	BUY	690	5¢	$36	0x3f1ec0…
10-31 19:50:03	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Deportivo Alavés?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x61abd1…
10-31 19:33:34	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 5 - 1 Deportivo Alavés?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x68328b…
10-31 19:13:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x6ca654…
10-31 18:50:52	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Deportivo Alavés?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xf59449…
10-31 18:50:43	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Deportivo Alavés?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x439f1f…
10-31 18:46:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xd7e6fb…
10-31 17:51:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x4b56b1…
10-31 17:14:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x5357cc…
10-31 14:43:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	1,632	12¢	$196	0x95c219…
10-31 14:23:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x496d54…
10-31 14:22:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xfd16f3…
10-31 12:25:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	51	12¢	$6	0x063e0a…
10-28 21:27:20	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	900	30¢	$270	0x67c3af…
10-28 21:21:01	Spurs vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	212	15¢	$32	0x0ffe90…
10-28 21:20:53	Spurs vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	1,415	15¢	$212	0x7facf4…
10-28 21:06:10	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xe86409…
10-28 21:05:40	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	436	2¢	$7	0x4fbcd3…
10-28 21:05:07	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	2,318	2¢	$35	0x8c56a7…
10-28 21:05:02	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	226	2¢	$3	0x919397…
10-28 21:05:01	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	226	2¢	$3	0x4ff40c…
10-28 21:04:49	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xf7fc20…
10-28 21:04:35	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	124	2¢	$2	0x54a130…
10-28 21:03:08	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x555e67…
10-28 20:59:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2,930	100¢	$2,918	0xc3620e…
10-28 15:23:49	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5,810	2¢	$105	0x0945da…
10-28 14:55:55	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	190	2¢	$3	0x2f5c3b…
10-28 12:45:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	910	32¢	$291	0x7448e3…
10-28 12:37:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xccdc43…
10-28 12:30:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd263e2…
10-28 12:23:44	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x001e9d…
10-28 11:54:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdcb0a0…
10-28 11:54:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x47840c…
10-28 11:40:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xfac4bd…
10-28 11:36:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2635b3…
10-28 11:26:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xef1277…
10-28 11:25:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x907c6a…
10-28 11:20:20	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xb5907b…
10-28 11:16:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x1b632f…
10-28 11:11:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	441	32¢	$141	0x02acdd…
10-28 11:10:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xd0f804…
10-28 11:06:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xb9a6db…
10-28 10:58:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1eae8b…
10-28 10:52:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x153700…
10-28 10:48:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x74adf6…
10-28 10:44:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe163f2…
10-28 10:43:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x72b21d…
10-28 10:43:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	51	32¢	$16	0x57aeb9…
10-28 10:19:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x6581ea…
10-28 10:17:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x7a9ad5…
10-28 10:16:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x7553ca…
10-28 10:15:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x51d950…
10-28 10:14:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x951c38…
10-28 10:14:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x9f3df1…
10-28 10:13:20	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x1b88ea…
10-28 10:12:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xa9cc4e…
10-28 10:12:20	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe08147…
10-28 10:11:47	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x07dec9…
10-28 10:11:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x35d78e…
10-28 10:10:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x646c98…
10-28 10:09:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x31d035…
10-28 10:08:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xb87b90…
10-28 10:07:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x8fc973…
10-28 10:07:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x26aa73…
10-28 10:06:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x8c3b81…
10-28 10:05:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x21a181…