Official-Tofu — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

44.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$290

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 11-03 20:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

44% 55% +$27

Politics

24% 33% -$21

Crypto

24% 53% -$8

Sports

7% 50% +$1

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	+7	$5	94¢	$7	+$2	09-04 20:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	+10	$3	30¢	$3	+$0	10-03 19:31
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+27	$3	4¢	$1	-$2	10-11 19:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	2	$23	19	19	+0	No	-$7	04-28 17:31
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	2	$15	36	0	+36	Yes	-$15	07-19 18:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$13	21	0	+21	No	+$8	04-17 20:09
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	1	$10	23	0	+23	No	-$10	10-11 19:28
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	+$4	04-06 19:44
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	1	$10	17	0	+17	No	-$10	04-30 16:01
will steve witkoff visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126051	2	$8	116	116	+0	Yes	-$4	09-05 18:00
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	1	$5	16	0	+16	Yes	+$11	07-19 18:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	1	$5	12	0	+12	No	+$8	04-18 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	11-03 20:45
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	11-03 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	11-02 20:29
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	10-03 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	04-28 18:53
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	34	0	+34	No	-$5	06-23 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	05-15 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	-$5	04-29 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	09-04 20:22
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	-$5	09-04 20:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$5	21	0	+21	No	+$16	04-18 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	05-15 19:34
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 20c	1	$5	13	0	+13	No	-$5	04-06 19:51
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	1	$5	11	0	+11	Yes	-$5	05-12 20:02
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$5	22	0	+22	Argentina	+$17	07-15 20:43
highest temperature in munich on april 9 2026 16corhigher	1	$5	14	0	+14	No	-$5	04-06 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	04-28 18:41
will jim parillo win the legend trade series	1	$5	12	0	+12	Yes	+$7	04-09 20:58
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	05-14 19:59
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	26	0	+26	No	-$5	06-23 20:38
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	+$2	05-14 20:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 20:49:09	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xa6f33c…
11-03 20:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4bbbb2…
11-02 20:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3c28fb…
11-02 20:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x05df56…
10-11 19:40:30	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x193112…
10-11 19:28:25	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xd48f37…
10-03 19:31:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4ebf5f…
10-03 19:29:25	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa5f4c9…
10-03 19:28:09	Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa94a48…
09-05 18:00:28	will steve witkoff visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126051	No	SELL	116	2¢	$2	0xd77ddb…
09-04 20:37:15	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xf49d0b…
09-04 20:34:37	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbbc45e…
09-04 20:33:37	will steve witkoff visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126051	No	BUY	116	5¢	$6	0x9b18b9…
09-04 20:23:42	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe1aa46…
09-04 20:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xed39e8…
07-19 18:40:57	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9ffae0…
07-19 18:39:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lionel messi gte3	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd57014…
07-19 18:26:13	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xbe988d…
07-19 18:24:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xed5241…
07-19 18:21:40	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc95ce4…
07-15 20:43:17	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x6676f7…
07-15 19:32:08	Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xeafc29…
07-14 21:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x84b311…
07-14 19:29:34	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5e95bc…
07-14 18:39:56	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xd64e7f…
06-23 20:38:47	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x6488eb…
06-23 20:38:28	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xfca421…
06-07 20:47:25	Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x810d4a…
05-15 19:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x647871…
05-15 19:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x38bf4b…
05-15 19:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xed12da…
05-15 19:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x07da8a…
05-14 21:15:02	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xac36e5…
05-14 20:12:15	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x74a4e0…
05-14 20:11:54	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd198ae…
05-14 19:59:07	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x437ab2…
05-12 20:02:33	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf3bc0e…
04-30 16:03:26	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0bf24b…
04-30 16:01:44	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x8a660b…
04-29 12:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5ec3ad…
04-28 18:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x904182…
04-28 18:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xe1b090…
04-28 18:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x46da1a…
04-28 18:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1e7b70…
04-28 18:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa2485a…
04-28 18:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x67627b…
04-28 17:31:46	Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0x71e694…
04-28 14:52:40	Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x9bfbc4…
04-18 18:53:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5bce0d…
04-18 07:53:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf07573…
04-17 20:09:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x8a53bd…
04-09 21:02:05	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x68fe22…
04-09 20:58:35	will jim parillo win the legend trade series	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x961132…
04-06 19:51:41	highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x410292…
04-06 19:50:39	highest temperature in munich on april 9 2026 16corhigher	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7f24d1…
04-06 19:44:37	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x980e9b…
04-06 19:38:45	lol vit mkoi 2026 04 06	Team Vitality	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x80582d…