Respectful-Keystone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

229

Trades

619

lifetime

Volume

$1.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 10-09 04:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Other

85% 44% -$62

Sports

14% 58% +$107

Crypto

1% 0% -$10

Pop-Culture

1% 50% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	1	$146	200	0	+200	Yes	+$54	07-07 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 20?	15	$133	400	70	+330	Yes	-$127	08-20 06:45
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$92	100	0	+100	No	+$8	06-24 07:02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 18?	9	$83	75	75	+0	Yes	+$1	07-18 02:34
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$57	50	50	+0	Yes	+$38	07-19 22:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 20?	9	$45	75	0	+75	No	+$30	08-20 03:05
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	2	$40	100	0	+100	Yes	+$60	07-07 14:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 29?	4	$40	50	0	+50	No	+$10	07-29 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 15?	4	$40	40	40	+0	Yes	-$19	07-15 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 20?	16	$38	200	200	+0	No	-$28	08-20 06:51
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$35	100	0	+100	Yes	+$65	07-16 05:25
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$33	30	27	+3	Yes	+$17	07-19 19:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?	7	$25	25	14	+11	Yes	+$2	07-29 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?	6	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	07-19 01:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 17?	4	$20	20	20	+0	No	$0	07-17 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?	3	$20	30	0	+30	No	+$10	07-27 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?	8	$20	25	25	+0	No	-$1	07-28 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 23?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?	8	$18	22	15	+7	No	+$3	07-27 01:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 18?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$2	07-18 00:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 17?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$2	07-17 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 22?	5	$17	15	15	+0	No	+$4	08-22 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?	2	$17	20	20	+0	No	-$3	08-18 05:13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 19?	3	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$4	07-19 01:37
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?	3	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	07-17 14:48
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 28?	4	$14	10	10	+0	No	$0	07-28 04:18
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	4	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	05-18 19:57
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 17?	2	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	-$1	07-17 04:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 17?	5	$14	20	10	+10	No	+$5	07-17 04:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?	5	$14	10	10	+0	No	+$1	08-18 04:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 04:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xef91e4…
10-09 04:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x6a159b…
10-09 04:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe5df6a…
10-09 03:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 9?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x77acf2…
10-09 03:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 9?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x565b63…
10-08 04:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xa6252e…
10-05 16:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x3509ed…
10-05 11:17:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x11bda7…
10-05 11:17:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x271081…
10-05 05:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x7951ab…
10-05 05:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x06c3a2…
10-05 04:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x344c1d…
10-04 14:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x43b3c7…
10-04 14:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf5a809…
10-04 13:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 4?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x162714…
10-04 10:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x045ea9…
10-04 09:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 4?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe448f0…
10-04 09:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 4?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x04cf48…
10-04 09:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x15a0f5…
10-04 08:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1b1a91…
10-03 16:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 3?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x61b94e…
10-02 11:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 2?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5fa459…
10-02 10:56:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 2?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xdab17b…
10-02 10:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 2?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x900b5c…
10-02 05:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 2?	No	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x558e88…
10-02 05:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 2?	No	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x4e47cd…
10-02 03:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 2?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xdf2282…
09-27 03:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3bbb0a…
09-27 02:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8c4310…
09-26 15:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 27?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdae67c…
09-22 04:43:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x4859ac…
09-22 04:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x8ce4c7…
09-22 04:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x654d01…
09-22 02:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x441c66…
09-22 02:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbb581d…
09-21 09:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x125d08…
09-19 10:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 19?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd806cd…
09-12 10:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xa113a2…
09-12 10:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xda65f2…
09-12 10:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xbd59d3…
09-12 10:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa02b59…
09-12 08:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on September 12?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xcb27d8…
09-12 08:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on September 12?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x28fb86…
09-12 04:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 12?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc5ab0c…
09-08 08:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 8?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1c025e…
09-08 06:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 8?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x5c47ec…
09-08 06:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 8?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x278b8f…
09-04 13:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xba6f7e…
09-04 07:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd0bcd0…
09-04 07:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb8db6e…
09-04 06:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x7ddd24…
09-04 06:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6fe651…
09-04 06:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb2531c…
09-04 06:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x3a99ef…
09-04 04:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x768b7e…
09-04 04:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2d8349…
09-04 04:27:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5cc0fb…
09-04 03:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x230763…
09-04 03:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xca2051…
09-03 12:11:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xec467a…
09-03 10:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x64ada3…
09-03 10:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x40df64…
09-03 08:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 3?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7ecb27…
09-03 08:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 3?	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x7ccea8…
09-01 19:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x46dbf1…
09-01 15:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8ecf06…
09-01 11:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 1?	No	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xa975a4…
09-01 11:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 1?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4391f6…
09-01 11:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 1?	No	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x11d5f1…
09-01 11:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe48631…
09-01 11:29:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 1?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x58fe60…
09-01 10:44:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 1?	No	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x093297…
09-01 10:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcc6239…
09-01 10:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xde2391…
09-01 10:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x401252…
09-01 09:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on September 1?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xea1437…
09-01 09:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on September 1?	No	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x794045…
09-01 08:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xad6871…
09-01 08:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 1?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x680e9f…
09-01 06:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbd8a9a…
09-01 06:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 1?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x804c32…
09-01 06:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 1?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xde5b3d…
09-01 04:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x650b7e…
09-01 04:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe91717…
09-01 04:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 1?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5d0d9c…
09-01 04:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x04b8f0…
09-01 04:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2edcb0…
09-01 03:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xce8c79…
09-01 02:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 1?	No	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x3f917f…
09-01 02:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x22969c…
08-25 04:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 25?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x53ee38…
08-23 04:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 23?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xcb4a63…
08-23 04:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 23?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x6636af…
08-22 07:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x4d88f4…
08-22 07:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xfc93b6…
08-22 07:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x33e5e4…
08-22 06:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 22?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x33d4dd…
08-22 06:41:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 22?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x0749a7…
08-22 06:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5a3c90…
08-22 05:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3344cc…