Assured-Rowing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$281

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

Trades

361

lifetime

Volume

$53.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$148

Open exposure

$1.72K

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-28 21:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Politics

65% 61% +$8,874

Other

23% 43% +$2,173

Sports

7% 80% +$926

Tech

3% 67% +$184

Pop-Culture

1% 33% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	+2,587	$765	26¢	$673	-$92	10-05 21:15
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+10,000	$700	6¢	$605	-$95	10-19 11:11
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	Yes	+4,419	$397	7¢	$314	-$83	09-02 15:32
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+3,000	$141	4¢	$130	-$10	10-28 16:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	12	$4.3K	3,905	3,905	+0	Yes	+$2,499	10-16 01:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	3	$3.9K	2,699	2,699	+0	Yes	+$432	09-22 18:11
Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?	8	$2.4K	1,442	1,442	+0	Yes	+$425	07-01 10:55
Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	8	$2.3K	3,030	0	+3,030	Yes	+$684	10-28 20:31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	6	$2.3K	1,776	1,776	+0	Yes	+$269	09-22 18:09
trump renames ai by october 31	4	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$190	09-29 19:48
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	5	$1.8K	1,213	1,213	+0	No	+$296	10-28 19:04
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$1.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$708	07-07 19:42
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	6	$1.3K	883	883	+0	No	+$18	05-26 15:49
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	9	$1.3K	1,162	1,160	+2	No	+$181	06-30 16:33
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$1.3K	1,119	1,119	+0	Yes	+$522	06-22 14:00
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	5	$1.2K	1,672	0	+1,672	Yes	+$426	05-18 15:09
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?	3	$1.2K	733	733	+0	Yes	+$166	10-09 20:32
Will Trump say "Hottest" today?	9	$1.2K	1,128	1,087	+41	Yes	+$1,009	04-27 01:37
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	5	$1.1K	882	882	+0	No	+$151	06-30 10:10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	5	$1.1K	1,290	1,290	+0	No	+$81	05-28 14:29
trump renames ai by september 30	6	$1.0K	642	642	+0	Yes	+$216	09-29 19:48
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$992	2,169	1,169	+1,000	Yes	+$723	07-18 21:50
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	3	$872	500	500	+0	No	+$93	06-29 14:23
Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?	11	$851	787	560	+227	open	—	10-28 18:47
Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	3	$806	1,074	0	+1,074	No	-$806	09-22 14:16
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	5	$765	2,587	0	+2,587	open	—	10-05 21:15
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	3	$744	500	500	+0	Yes	+$176	06-30 17:29
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$700	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	10-19 11:11
will jared kushner attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044257	2	$679	475	327	+148	No	-$128	06-29 14:49
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	6	$678	1,411	0	+1,411	Yes	+$733	10-28 01:19
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by October 31?	2	$666	516	516	+0	Yes	+$263	10-05 19:45
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	5	$636	637	637	+0	Yes	+$218	06-17 14:51
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$600	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$600	07-09 15:06
Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	3	$530	955	0	+955	Yes	+$425	10-28 18:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:08:34	Will Trump say "Liar" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	335	72¢	$241	0xa5d02d…
10-28 20:36:59	Will Trump say "Liar" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x423500…
10-28 20:36:29	Will Trump say "Liar" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	399	56¢	$225	0x312ff8…
10-28 20:31:46	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	734	78¢	$571	0xb9364e…
10-28 19:53:41	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	416	74¢	$309	0x6499c5…
10-28 19:36:59	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8efd46…
10-28 19:04:22	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	No	SELL	1,213	85¢	$1,031	0x5f41ab…
10-28 18:47:07	Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?	Yes	SELL	237	37¢	$87	0x0bbcc6…
10-28 18:25:44	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x079f47…
10-28 18:13:35	Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	52¢	$20	0xeb03e9…
10-28 18:13:35	Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	52¢	$9	0x2fff79…
10-28 18:13:32	Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?	Yes	SELL	268	52¢	$140	0x86a75a…
10-28 17:37:40	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	87	68¢	$59	0xe7f593…
10-28 17:25:13	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	201	77¢	$155	0xa165f1…
10-28 17:05:37	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,541	11¢	$174	0x36baa7…
10-28 17:05:23	Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	99	55¢	$54	0x16f74e…
10-28 16:47:41	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0xf8168d…
10-28 16:47:13	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	124	82¢	$101	0xa072af…
10-28 16:46:19	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0x1e299b…
10-28 16:26:56	Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	3,000	5¢	$141	0xca170a…
10-28 16:15:43	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	430	61¢	$262	0x10d514…
10-28 16:15:35	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	230	71¢	$163	0x4882d4…
10-28 15:57:11	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	148	56¢	$83	0x735846…
10-28 15:51:05	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	610	82¢	$498	0x0a2d0a…
10-28 14:05:02	Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	254	77¢	$196	0x369a3b…
10-28 14:04:55	Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x980bf8…
10-28 14:04:55	Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x8a9085…
10-28 14:04:55	Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	79¢	$102	0x602db8…
10-28 14:04:55	Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x135a21…
10-28 14:04:53	Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xca030d…
10-28 14:04:50	Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	265	71¢	$187	0x1d6ad8…
10-28 13:20:20	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	321	58¢	$186	0xdfaab6…
10-28 13:17:19	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	441	76¢	$335	0x6cad42…
10-28 02:09:45	Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x8b8495…
10-28 02:09:02	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	575	57¢	$327	0x2e7559…
10-28 01:19:59	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	64	64¢	$41	0xbe6287…
10-28 01:19:56	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	92	59¢	$54	0xb3c38b…
10-27 18:23:36	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x1f72d9…
10-27 17:34:47	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	410	51¢	$209	0xc7aafe…
10-27 17:34:42	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	300	44¢	$132	0x565375…
10-27 17:12:48	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x7b3560…
10-27 17:10:23	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	655	47¢	$311	0xde9779…
10-27 17:10:02	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x865bc6…
10-27 17:09:44	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	Yes	BUY	525	49¢	$257	0x37ceda…
10-26 23:18:36	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	65	50¢	$32	0x24a9ec…
10-26 21:19:26	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	120	30¢	$36	0xc5405b…
10-26 19:55:14	Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	BUY	314	80¢	$252	0xfdfc37…
10-26 19:54:02	Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	BUY	299	59¢	$176	0xb7e71b…
10-26 19:30:45	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,016	24¢	$242	0xe4e254…
10-23 17:05:44	Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	567	79¢	$448	0xfb5ac0…
10-20 00:49:51	Will Terry McLaurin have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	61	78¢	$48	0x806b6f…
10-20 00:49:15	Will Terry McLaurin have 749.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	70	58¢	$41	0x2a09cb…
10-19 20:53:12	Will Davante Adams have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	64	37¢	$24	0x7f9d3d…
10-19 20:52:51	Will Davante Adams have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	90	82¢	$74	0x80e1bc…
10-19 20:52:45	Will Davante Adams have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x21a79f…
10-19 20:52:24	Will Davante Adams have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0xbbe447…
10-19 14:16:51	Will Jalen Hurts have 16.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	510	81¢	$413	0x9f4492…
10-19 14:16:33	Will Jalen Hurts have 199.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	95	89¢	$84	0x868bfd…
10-19 11:11:41	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	9,920	7¢	$694	0x60474b…
10-19 09:26:56	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	80	7¢	$6	0x059f83…
10-16 01:44:46	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	SELL	229	12¢	$28	0x1f54f1…
10-16 01:44:10	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	SELL	28	12¢	$3	0xf2dea6…
10-16 01:37:10	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xf434f0…
10-16 01:36:03	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	SELL	656	12¢	$80	0x3d3df6…
10-16 01:35:46	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	SELL	500	14¢	$72	0xbdba7b…
10-16 01:32:18	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	SELL	87	30¢	$26	0xbb29a3…
10-16 01:26:46	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	1,148	12¢	$140	0xe245d0…
10-16 01:22:43	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x1f7ec9…
10-16 01:22:10	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	120	10¢	$12	0x12c015…
10-16 01:19:13	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	143	5¢	$7	0x868f50…
10-16 01:14:46	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	2,721	90¢	$2,449	0x8c664e…
10-16 01:12:45	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	546	90¢	$491	0xe27296…
10-16 01:12:39	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	153	90¢	$137	0xc9650f…
10-16 01:10:00	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	558	29¢	$162	0x81b72c…
10-16 01:09:58	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	442	29¢	$128	0xe32a51…
10-16 01:08:55	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	297	20¢	$59	0x73268b…
10-16 01:07:12	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0xffb0a2…
10-16 01:06:36	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x69859c…
10-16 01:06:31	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	55	22¢	$12	0x5962a7…
10-16 01:04:01	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	2,000	10¢	$200	0x03fbb3…
10-15 23:59:48	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	486	62¢	$303	0xa7edbf…
10-15 23:58:39	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	486	64¢	$309	0xf90ed6…
10-09 20:32:43	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?	Yes	SELL	595	96¢	$571	0xabcccf…
10-05 21:15:14	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	482	26¢	$125	0xc90e10…
10-05 19:45:31	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by October 31?	Yes	SELL	516	90¢	$464	0x9fe35a…
10-05 17:42:34	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0xbeb497…
10-05 13:32:29	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?	Yes	SELL	138	96¢	$133	0xeb65cd…
10-03 00:11:33	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Claudia Sheinbaum by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	89¢	$68	0xb04c79…
10-02 15:25:20	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by October 31?	Yes	BUY	516	39¢	$201	0xf8254a…
10-02 15:24:51	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?	Yes	BUY	733	73¢	$538	0xadfb57…
10-01 13:36:33	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	33¢	$94	0xc65135…
10-01 13:36:33	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x630d45…
10-01 13:35:26	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,799	30¢	$540	0xd924af…
09-29 19:48:11	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	SELL	642	97¢	$623	0xc8a96f…
09-29 19:48:02	trump renames ai by october 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	98¢	$980	0xee6ddd…
09-29 18:16:26	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x8bab8a…
09-29 18:16:26	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	409	64¢	$261	0x2f9ba6…
09-29 18:16:20	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	107	62¢	$66	0xda9418…
09-29 18:16:20	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	61	63¢	$39	0xd13716…
09-29 18:16:20	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	51	63¢	$32	0x4c2972…