Assured-Rowing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$141

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$18.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 07-13 14:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

74% 100% +$141

Tech

9% — —

Sports

9% — —

Other

4% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?	8	$2.4K	1,442	1,442	+0	open	—	07-01 10:55
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$1.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	07-07 19:42
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	6	$1.3K	883	883	+0	open	—	05-26 15:49
Will Trump say "Hottest" today?	9	$1.2K	1,128	1,087	+41	open	—	04-27 01:37
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	5	$1.1K	882	882	+0	open	—	06-30 10:10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	5	$1.1K	1,290	1,290	+0	open	—	05-28 14:29
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	4	$1.0K	1,309	0	+1,309	open	—	05-18 15:09
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	3	$872	500	500	+0	open	—	06-29 14:23
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	3	$744	500	500	+0	open	—	06-30 17:29
will jared kushner attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044257	2	$679	475	327	+148	open	—	06-29 14:49
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	5	$636	637	637	+0	open	—	06-17 14:51
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$376	1,798	1,090	+708	open	—	05-15 13:48
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	5	$349	686	0	+686	open	—	05-01 20:09
will trump say made in america during no tax on tips roundtable	3	$344	260	256	+4	open	—	04-16 23:31
Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	2	$314	208	208	+0	open	—	05-15 02:14
will trump dance during tpusa event on april 17	2	$303	185	182	+3	open	—	04-17 21:55
jay clayton confirmed as director of national intelligence by june 30 20260611210916706	1	$300	500	0	+500	open	—	06-17 10:01
will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	5	$271	804	804	+0	open	—	06-17 15:24
will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	9	$233	1,741	0	+1,741	open	—	06-26 23:29
Will Drake release a surprise album?	1	$233	260	0	+260	open	—	05-15 03:01
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	6	$209	2,415	2,415	+0	open	—	07-05 21:00
Will Donald Trump dance on May 5, 2026?	2	$208	285	0	+285	Yes	+$77	05-05 16:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	3	$196	328	328	+0	open	—	05-28 14:28
will trump say favored nation during no tax on tips roundtable	1	$193	261	0	+261	open	—	04-16 14:21
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$150	0	437	-437	open	—	06-17 15:13
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (April 20 - 26)	3	$129	1,953	0	+1,953	open	—	04-27 01:17
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	2	$120	300	300	+0	open	—	06-17 14:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$113	392	0	+392	open	—	05-08 19:46
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	1	$105	300	0	+300	open	—	05-28 14:14
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	2	$100	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-05 20:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 14:31:01	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	BUY	588	12¢	$71	0x16ed77…
07-13 14:30:52	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	738	5¢	$37	0x404712…
07-13 14:30:10	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	BUY	165	9¢	$15	0x060055…
07-12 13:43:22	will trump say police this week 20260703145736714	Yes	BUY	748	7¢	$54	0xb489d8…
07-07 19:42:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$998	0x31c00a…
07-07 03:49:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1,000	17¢	$170	0x76313c…
07-06 22:28:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2,000	23¢	$460	0x972b0a…
07-06 14:50:37	will trump post pope on truth social this week 20260703145933671	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x327e86…
07-05 21:00:55	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xa2ae35…
07-05 20:59:01	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$0	0xfb663b…
07-05 20:58:55	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	205	4¢	$7	0xd2bcb3…
07-05 20:58:44	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	2,185	4¢	$88	0x8db45c…
07-05 20:56:14	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$94	0xd359e0…
07-05 20:54:56	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	415	5¢	$19	0xf0fb66…
07-05 20:52:02	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	Yes	BUY	985	10¢	$98	0xdd311c…
07-05 15:39:50	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 4 20260626160825418	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0x720d83…
07-01 10:55:47	Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,442	100¢	$1,435	0x72268c…
06-30 17:29:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	498	92¢	$458	0xd7e93a…
06-30 17:28:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xd892c1…
06-30 10:10:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	475	71¢	$337	0x98d769…
06-29 17:22:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	33	71¢	$23	0xf0e974…
06-29 17:22:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	374	71¢	$266	0x86f020…
06-29 14:49:38	will jared kushner attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044257	Yes	SELL	327	84¢	$276	0xff7177…
06-29 14:38:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x602011…
06-29 14:37:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	847	54¢	$458	0xa13d18…
06-29 14:23:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	499	97¢	$481	0x06ce60…
06-29 12:58:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x302d98…
06-29 12:08:49	will jared kushner attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044257	Yes	BUY	475	85¢	$404	0xec0d98…
06-26 23:35:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	500	78¢	$390	0xa64f60…
06-26 23:29:01	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	497	12¢	$62	0x9b23fb…
06-26 23:28:58	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x73f735…
06-26 23:28:58	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x39bbab…
06-26 23:18:58	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	128	18¢	$23	0xb1caf5…
06-26 23:06:14	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xc0873e…
06-26 22:59:29	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0x171900…
06-26 22:55:50	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x19ee53…
06-26 22:55:49	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x52495c…
06-26 22:55:44	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x62d4f4…
06-26 22:40:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	500	57¢	$284	0xe257fb…
06-26 22:38:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	500	17¢	$85	0x33f86d…
06-25 14:04:38	Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6f70c2…
06-25 13:21:32	Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	287	76¢	$218	0xd1e484…
06-25 13:20:08	Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	262	76¢	$199	0xaf4b4a…
06-25 13:17:55	Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	259	75¢	$194	0xb247dd…
06-25 13:17:43	Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	64¢	$43	0x478d6f…
06-25 13:17:01	Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	282	72¢	$203	0xdc0f2a…
06-25 13:16:38	Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	280	53¢	$150	0x40b4c2…
06-21 20:38:11	will trump say swamp the vote this week 20260612151047658	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x368d61…
06-17 15:24:23	will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	SELL	304	14¢	$43	0x8694cb…
06-17 15:23:43	will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x8bc505…
06-17 15:23:31	will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	SELL	401	15¢	$60	0xc8ba14…
06-17 15:20:05	will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0xff95b5…
06-17 15:13:55	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	437	34¢	$150	0xb780f9…
06-17 14:53:58	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	300	16¢	$49	0xeee6a6…
06-17 14:53:05	will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	No	BUY	745	19¢	$140	0xa4b7f4…
06-17 14:51:50	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	637	67¢	$427	0x4488d8…
06-17 10:01:25	jay clayton confirmed as director of national intelligence by june 30 20260611210916706	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x6043fa…
06-16 04:13:09	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	198	30¢	$59	0x1c2add…
06-16 04:07:31	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x359b1b…
06-16 04:07:25	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xe51b7b…
06-16 04:01:00	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	300	24¢	$71	0x367f21…
06-16 03:57:10	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	437	34¢	$149	0x26ba33…
06-12 16:23:31	will trump announce location or date of us and iran deal signing by june 12 2026 20260611220617200	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x208af9…
06-10 17:57:09	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	152	34¢	$52	0x690f4c…
05-28 14:29:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x64f854…
05-28 14:28:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x1a1882…
05-28 14:28:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	184	45¢	$83	0x1c5260…
05-28 14:28:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	327	33¢	$108	0x4d451f…
05-28 14:28:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	1,106	45¢	$498	0x82c299…
05-28 14:15:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	290	41¢	$119	0x46ad4d…
05-28 14:15:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	1,000	38¢	$380	0x0ff7c7…
05-28 14:14:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	Yes	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0x02c030…
05-28 14:14:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	328	27¢	$88	0x3d3bbe…
05-28 14:14:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x0708ac…
05-26 15:49:29	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x1d24a9…
05-26 15:49:06	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	326	75¢	$245	0x45c4a9…
05-26 15:48:50	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	544	77¢	$420	0x132c90…
05-26 15:48:19	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0xc8fa76…
05-26 15:38:04	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	104	72¢	$74	0x141ddf…
05-26 15:35:50	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	779	75¢	$584	0x74f597…
05-26 00:05:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	2,000	2¢	$50	0x433b80…
05-26 00:02:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	2,000	2¢	$44	0x711923…
05-22 13:54:44	Will Warsh say "Wife" or "Family" during swearing-in?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x5165e4…
05-20 03:44:21	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	8¢	$77	0x8e40d8…
05-20 00:31:39	Will Donald Trump dance on May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x63b3d3…
05-19 14:42:48	Will Trump say "Mamdani" this week?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x3153c5…
05-18 15:09:30	Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	Yes	BUY	325	85¢	$278	0x17edc4…
05-17 19:26:28	Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?	Yes	BUY	847	82¢	$693	0x4ed4b2…
05-17 19:18:31	Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	2,626	1¢	$29	0x1083a5…
05-17 19:15:48	Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	1,929	1¢	$21	0x273ed0…
05-17 18:58:14	Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf017d4…
05-17 18:58:13	Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	440	1¢	$5	0x0d380c…
05-15 22:22:35	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	79	43¢	$35	0x7f3f2b…
05-15 13:48:47	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1,090	33¢	$361	0x7adae8…
05-15 12:41:36	Will Trump say "Wind" this week?	Yes	BUY	31	23¢	$7	0xe139c1…
05-15 05:24:45	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,798	1¢	$14	0x52a042…
05-15 05:08:44	Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe793cb…
05-15 03:01:03	Will Drake release a surprise album?	Yes	BUY	260	90¢	$233	0x3dad75…
05-15 02:38:18	Will "Virgil" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x5ea91c…
05-15 02:27:18	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb87295…