Frigid-Curd — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$259

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

354

Trades

525

lifetime

Volume

$3.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 08-06 16:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 50% -$196

Other

24% 60% +$79

Sports

14% 38% -$130

Politics

7% 35% +$2

Tech

1% 67% -$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$169	467	467	+0	Yes	+$25	07-19 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$135	75	75	+0	Up	+$15	05-19 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$105	61	61	+0	Down	+$15	05-21 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$104	405	405	+0	Up	-$96	05-19 16:24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	11	$103	131	92	+39	Yes	+$16	06-12 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$102	63	63	+0	Up	+$22	05-19 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$95	106	0	+106	Up	+$11	05-21 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	7	$89	152	9	+142	Up	+$61	05-19 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$78	110	0	+110	Down	-$78	05-21 09:31
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	2	$78	60	60	+0	Yes	+$42	06-05 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	5	$73	84	49	+35	Down	-$12	05-21 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$60	70	0	+70	Down	-$60	05-21 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$60	79	0	+79	Up	+$19	05-19 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$56	591	0	+591	Down	-$56	05-19 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$52	42	42	+0	Up	+$32	05-21 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$51	58	0	+58	Down	+$5	05-21 09:03
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 U.S. Open?	1	$50	365	0	+365	No	-$50	06-20 15:01
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	236	0	+236	No	-$50	06-20 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$50	57	0	+57	Up	+$7	05-19 16:03
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$44	87	87	+0	open	—	05-31 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	05-21 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$38	53	0	+53	Down	-$38	05-21 09:13
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$37	113	0	+113	No	-$37	07-19 20:02
will ethereum dip to 1500 june 1 7 2026	2	$36	84	84	+0	No	-$29	06-07 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$35	245	0	+245	Down	-$35	05-19 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$35	72	0	+72	Up	+$37	05-19 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$32	73	0	+73	Down	-$32	05-21 08:15
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?	1	$31	93	0	+93	Yes	+$62	06-20 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$30	40	0	+40	Up	+$10	05-21 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$30	65	0	+65	Up	+$35	05-21 08:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 16:30:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0x37400a…
08-06 16:30:26	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$2	0xf031ea…
08-06 16:30:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xfca837…
08-06 16:30:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xa5f939…
08-06 16:30:06	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x72b967…
08-06 16:30:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x9176f7…
08-06 16:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 7?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x90b786…
08-06 16:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 7?	No	SELL	11	79¢	$8	0x725538…
08-06 16:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 7?	No	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x85b21b…
08-06 09:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x21892e…
08-06 07:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 7?	No	BUY	11	80¢	$8	0x34a9fb…
08-06 07:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 7?	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xbe6ec5…
08-06 05:57:42	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0xa3cedc…
08-06 05:57:39	Will Hong Kong have between 550-600mm of precipitation in August?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xf7bd03…
08-06 05:57:35	Will Hong Kong have between 450-475mm of precipitation in August?	No	SELL	14	54¢	$7	0xe076c1…
08-05 00:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x6cd654…
08-03 19:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 4?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x42745f…
08-02 16:26:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf0e901…
08-02 16:26:02	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xb4db8a…
08-01 22:22:45	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x45760a…
08-01 15:19:15	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x59f4b7…
08-01 00:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 2?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x81f7e5…
07-31 05:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 1?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa94b9c…
07-30 05:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xaa67eb…
07-29 06:23:26	Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0xa7f22c…
07-28 20:00:35	Will Hong Kong have between 550-600mm of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x83f2b2…
07-28 20:00:31	Will Hong Kong have between 450-475mm of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xc0bafb…
07-28 15:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x66241f…
07-28 04:06:54	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 28?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2553a4…
07-27 16:29:58	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe8ca0a…
07-27 13:55:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1139e8…
07-27 00:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 28?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x80b8a3…
07-27 00:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	22	70¢	$16	0xeeb555…
07-27 00:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x762652…
07-26 16:16:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 27?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xc8f3d4…
07-26 14:12:07	f1 hungarian grand prix driver podium antonelli 2026 07 26	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xbe6651…
07-26 00:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or below on July 26?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x54187b…
07-26 00:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C or below on July 26?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5b9554…
07-26 00:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xe0649d…
07-26 00:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 27?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x393123…
07-25 21:47:51	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x215855…
07-25 18:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 26?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x02d8f9…
07-25 16:36:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 26?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xcb98c7…
07-25 15:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x22d881…
07-25 09:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x65b022…
07-25 07:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x62556d…
07-25 05:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xcab07a…
07-25 04:00:01	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 25?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xa6d3b0…
07-25 03:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xa6d6eb…
07-25 00:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x771cb3…
07-25 00:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x38be75…
07-25 00:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xf1f0aa…
07-24 23:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 25?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x135bc3…
07-24 21:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 25?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5adce2…
07-24 21:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 25?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xabaebe…
07-24 01:14:36	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x1bbfc8…
07-24 01:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0x2bfeb8…
07-24 01:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on July 24?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2b6b12…
07-24 00:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 25?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2ac844…
07-24 00:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xa71c9c…
07-24 00:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0xd94bcd…
07-24 00:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xa5e0d4…
07-24 00:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 25?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x01ed48…
07-23 21:20:58	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6b1fdf…
07-23 15:45:43	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa4a66e…
07-23 15:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x44c5d1…
07-23 08:41:34	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xbf62e6…
07-23 02:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xd67c2c…
07-23 00:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5d10c5…
07-23 00:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 24?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x099b0e…
07-23 00:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x18741a…
07-22 23:32:45	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0xc42887…
07-22 22:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x2e0b56…
07-22 21:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 23?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x3a14fd…
07-22 17:37:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 23?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x4b7ab7…
07-22 16:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1c8e1c…
07-22 16:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x0a737d…
07-22 15:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xc6ec8c…
07-22 14:10:18	spy up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0x03bf50…
07-22 14:10:12	spx up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x46a8e4…
07-22 07:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x17a59d…
07-22 02:58:25	Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x61e73f…
07-22 00:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 23?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x165ce4…
07-22 00:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 23?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xfaf6ff…
07-21 16:14:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 22?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xbf4ece…
07-21 13:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 22?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x2e92af…
07-21 08:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 22?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6adba9…
07-21 08:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 22?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x244d70…
07-20 23:03:57	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 21?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x7b7044…
07-20 16:15:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 21?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x39e8ca…
07-20 14:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 20?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2884e9…
07-20 12:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 21?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf94022…
07-20 11:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x8d9ecb…
07-20 08:20:48	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 20?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x7a1a8f…
07-20 06:51:09	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0x54593e…
07-20 06:50:49	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	557	1¢	$3	0x1ad4e9…
07-19 20:02:28	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	76	39¢	$30	0xe9e2a3…
07-19 20:00:06	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	46	61¢	$28	0x7c87e0…
07-19 11:27:25	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x82a1a5…
07-19 11:27:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xbb4003…